Price Level:Volume Sentiment Analysis For NVIDIA Corp. NVDA Stock 2/4/2025

NVDIA Corp. stock trades under the ticker NVDA and has advanced +68.27% over the past year, rising +76.1% since their 52-week low in February of 2024, but has declined -23.82% since their 52-week high on January 7, 2025 (excluding dividends).

The past six days have proven difficult for NVDA, as despite hitting a fresh 52-week high in early January, the news about DeepSeek, tariff jitters & concerns about Federal Reserve policy have all contributed to volatility for the high flying stock that was one of the darlings of 2024.

Yesterday was especially tough, as they gapped down to open below their long-term trend line (200 Day Moving Average), which may signal that there is a large shift on the horizon for NVDA, as well as other names in the technology & A.I. space.

With that in mind, it is important to understand the strength of NVDA’s support & resistance levels in order to get an idea as to how they may trade in the future when prices retest these levels.

Below is a brief technical analysis of NVDA, as well as a price level:volume sentiment analysis of the price levels NVDA has traded at over the ~1 year.

Included in this data is also their recent support & resistance levels so that readers can gain insight into how strong/weak these support/resistance levels may be in the future, based on past investor behavior.

It is not intended to serve as financial advice, but rather as an additional tool to reference while performing your own due diligence on NVDA.

Technical Analysis Of NVIDIA Corp. NVDA Stock

NVIDIA Corp. NVDA Stock's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
NVIDIA Corp. NVDA Stock’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is trending toward the oversold level at 30 & sits currently at 36.81, while their MACD has been bearish for the past week & its histogram is becoming more bearish after yesterday’s -2.84% decline.

Volumes since last Monday have been +38.49% higher than the prior year’s average (508,360,000 vs. 363,455,360), which is a bad sign given that most of that volume has been during declines & consolidation moves.

It is also worth noting that the major index ETFs have had far less volume over this time period, SPY’s last week was -5.93% lower than the prior year’s average, QQQ’s was +3.59% above its average, IWM was -16.66% lower than its average & DIA was -16.99% below its prior year’s average (per last week’s market review note).

That’s a pretty large discrepancy in volume between the indexes & NVDA & should be a cause for concern & something to keep watch of in the coming weeks.

Last Monday’s gap down was written in the stars after the preceding Friday’s high was unable to break above the second highest resistance level of the past year & the day’s candle formed a bearish engulfing pattern with the day prior.

Monday opened on a gap down that skipped through the 10 & 50 day moving averages, tested higher but was unable to touch the $129.51/share resistance point & prices broke down to cross the 200 day moving average’s support bearishly & close beneath it.

The lower shadow on the day’s candle also indicates that there is more downside appetite, but for the day the bulls were able to push prices above it.

Monday’s declining volume also eclipsed all but 3-4 sessions of the previous year based on a quick glance at their chart; sentiment has become questionable.

Tuesday NVDA opened in-line with its 200 day moving average, went lower than Monday’s lowest price, before the bulls stepped in to push prices higher for a gain on the day & a close above the resistance of the 200 day moving average.

Crisis was not averted though, as Wednesday opened lower near the middle of Tuesday’s candle’s real body & broke downward through the 200 DMA’s support, before climbing back up to close just above it, but with a lot of room to the downside covered by its lower shadow.

While Tuesday featured a lot of folks jumping back into the pool, Wednesday saw ~80%+ of that volume as declining, so there is quite a bit of uncertainty in the volume sentiment locally.

Thursday opened on a gap lower, broke down through the long-term trend, but was able to muster up the bullish support to power higher & close the day as an advancing session.

However, two notes of caution: A) that candle resembles a hanging man, but since it is in a consolidation range & not marking a top or bottom it is not a true hanging man (bearish) & B) volumes declined so much from the beginning of the week that it is hard to find anything to be enthusiastic about in terms of losing bearish sentiment.

Friday this was confirmed when NVDA opened slightly lower, pushed higher but got stopped at the $127.85/share level, before puking to close below the 200 DMA.

Monday saw NVDA take another leg lower on an opening gap down to below the $115/share mark & on light volume compared to the prior five days bulls were able to push the prices higher throughout the session to close above their open, but well below Friday’s close & its low.

Monday’s moves also flash a caution sign as the day closed above where it opened, but with that weak of volume vs. the previous five days there was not much bullishness to the move & it seemed more like cautious dip buying & perhaps some monthly rebalancing that was taken as a result of the lower prices.

The next support level to keep an eye on is $115.13, which will be where most market participants’ attention will be for the next week, particularly as over the past year it has been relatively even in that price zone between Buyers & Sellers.

Another area of focus will be the 10 & 200 day moving averages, as after today’s session 5 of the past 7 sessions closed below the long-term trend line & a bearish crossover appears imminent unless prices get squeezed higher.

Should this happen there will be some interesting movement for NVDA’s prices, as the bearish signal may be the catalyst that pushes prices down into a densely concentrated zone of historic Seller dominance over Buyers, which would then allow the 50 DMA time to catch up & also death cross.

There are no support levels between the $115.13 & $100.93/share levels, making it a potential slippery slope, especially when combined with Seller dominance from the $111.99-$97.99/share zone.

It is also worth noting in the section below that there is a NULL zone from $96-97.99/share & that the $95-95.99/share zone is Buyer dominated, but relatively untested as the Seller portion of the ratio (denominator) is 0.

The following section lays out NVDA’s one year support/resistance levels, as well as their Buyer:Seller (Seller:Buyer) ratios at each price level that they’ve traded at over the past ~1 year, which can be used as a barometer for estimating the expected strength/weakness of each of the support/resistance levels.

Price Level:Volume Sentiment Analysis For NVIDIA Corp. NVDA Stock

The top table below shows the support & resistance levels of XLI from the past year’s chart, as well as their price level:volume sentiment at each from data covering the past ~1 year, using Monday 2/3/2025’s closing data for their price & moving averages/other technicals.

The moving averages are denoted with bold.

The next charts show the volume sentiment at each individual price level NVDA has traded at over the past ~1 year.

Beneath them is a copy & pasteable list of the same data, where the support/resistance levels are denoted in bold.

All ratios with “0” in the denominator are denoted with a “*”.

NULL values are price levels that had limited trading volume, whether it be due to gaps, quick advances or they are at price extremes; in the event that they are retested & there is more data they would have a distinct “Buyers”, “Sellers” or “Even” title.

This is not intended as financial advice, but rather another tool to consider when performing your own research & due diligence on NVDA.

Price Level:Volume Sentiment For NVDA Stock Over The Past ~1 Year At Their 1 Year Support & Resistance Levels
Price Level:Volume Sentiment For NVDA Stock Over The Past ~1 Year At Their 1 Year Support & Resistance Levels
Price Level:Volume Sentiment For NVDA Stock Over The Past ~1 Year
Price Level:Volume Sentiment For NVDA Stock Over The Past ~1 Year
NVDA Stock's Price Level:Volume Sentiment Over The Past ~1 Year
NVDA Stock’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment Over The Past ~1 Year
NVDA Stock's Price Level:Volume Sentiment Over The Past ~1 Year
NVDA Stock’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment Over The Past ~1 Year

$154 – NULL – 0:0*, +32.01% From Current Price Level

$152 – NULL – 0:0*, +30.29% From Current Price Level

$150 – NULL – 0:0*, +28.58% From Current Price Level

$148 – Buyers – 3:0*, +26.86% From Current Price Level

$146 – Buyers – 3.38:1, +25.15% From Current Price Level

$144 – Buyers – 1.07:1, +23.44% From Current Price Level

$142 – Sellers – 2.33:1, +21.72% From Current Price Level

$140 – Sellers – 1.46:1, +20.01% From Current Price Level

$138 – Buyers – 1.65:1, +18.29% From Current Price Level

$136 – Buyers – 2.21:1, +16.58% From Current Price Level – 50 Day Moving Average*

$134 – Buyers – 1.31:1, +14.86% From Current Price Level

$132 – Sellers – 2.08:1, +13.15% From Current Price Level

$130 – Sellers – 2.03:1, +11.43% From Current Price Level – 10 Day Moving Average*

$128 – Buyers – 6:1, +9.72% From Current Price Level

$126 – Sellers – 1.6:1, +8.01% From Current Price Level

$124 – Buyers – 2.86:1, +6.29% From Current Price Level

$122 – Sellers – 1.08:1, +4.58% From Current Price Level – 200 Day Moving Average*

$120 – Sellers – 1.6:1, +2.86% From Current Price Level

$118 – Sellers – 1.16:1, +1.15% From Current Price Level

$116 – Buyers – 1.33:1, -0.57% From Current Price Level – Current Price Zone*

$114 – Even – 1:1, -2.28% From Current Price Level

$112 – Buyers – 1.18:1, -3.99% From Current Price Level

$110 – Sellers – 3.1:0*, -5.71% From Current Price Level

$108 – Sellers – 1.85:1, -7.42% From Current Price Level

$106 – Sellers – 1.3:1, -9.14% From Current Price Level

$104 – Buyers – 2.62:1, -10.85% From Current Price Level

$102 – Sellers – 1.03:1, -12.57% From Current Price Level

$100 – Sellers – 2.4:0*, -14.28% From Current Price Level

$99 – NULL – 0:0*, -15.14% From Current Price Level

$98 – Sellers – 1.8:0*, -16% From Current Price Level

$97 – NULL – 0:0*, -16.85% From Current Price Level

$96 – NULL – 0:0*, -17.71% From Current Price Level

$95 – Buyers – 1.4:0*, -18.57% From Current Price Level

$94 – Sellers – 1.29:1, -19.42% From Current Price Level

$93 – NULL – 0:0*, -20.28% From Current Price Level

$92 – Sellers – 1.6:0*, -21.14% From Current Price Level

$91 – NULL – 0:0*, -22% From Current Price Level

$90 – NULL – 0:0*, -22.85% From Current Price Level

*** I DO NOT OWN SHARES OR OPTIONS CONTRACT POSITIONS IN NVDA STOCK AT THE TIME OF PUBLISHING THIS ARTICLE ***

Daily VolTech Stock & ETF Volume & Technical Ratings 2/3/2025

The VIX closed at 18.62, indicating an implied one day move of +/-1.17% & an implied one month move of +/-5.38% for the S&P 500.

Highest Technical Rated S&P 500 Components Per 2/3/2025’s Close:

1 – PLTR

2 – AXON

3 – UAL

4 – TPR

5 – VST

6 – FFIV

7 – GEV

8 – RCL

9 – CEG

10 – IBM

Lowest Technical Rated S&P 500 Components Per 2/3/2025’s Close:

1 – SMCI

2 – MRNA

3 – EIX

4 – AES

5 – CE

6 – MCHP

7 – ON

8 – STZ

9 – ENPH

10 – PCG

Highest Volume Rated S&P 500 Components Per 2/3/2025’s Close:

1 – DECK

2 – BEN

3 – AMCR

4 – GM

5 – UPS

6 – IDXX

7 – CLX

8 – TSN

9 – STZ

10 – HUBB

Lowest Volume Rated S&P 500 Components Per 2/3/2025’s Close:

1 – WDAY

2 – DXCM

3 – BA

4 – CVS

5 – ABNB

6 – ICE

7 – EW

8 – MU

9 – SRE

10 – CCI

Highest Technical Rated ETFs Per 2/3/2025’s Close:

1 – FBL

2 – WEBL

3 – TSLR

4 – TSLT

5 -BITW

6 – TSLL

7 – BITU

8 – AMZZ

9 – TSL

10 – TARK

Lowest Technical Rated ETFs Per 2/3/2025’s Close:

1 – MSOX

2 – BCHG

3 – TSLZ

4 – MRNY

5 – TSDD

6 – TSLQ

7 – CNBS

8 – SBIT

9 – LTCN

10 – KOLD

Highest Volume Rated ETFs Per 2/3/2025’s Close:

1 – VSHY

2 – SIXF

3 – PBFB

4 – VABS

5 – GGME

6 – FEBT

7 – FLHK

8 – UTRN

9 – FEBP

10 – BFEB

Lowest Volume Rated ETFs Per 2/3/2025’s Close:

1 – USCA

2 – CCNR

3 – MDCP

4 – USCL

5 – QMAG

6 – GSID

7 – MDLV

8 – SEPM

9 – OVLH

10 – NPFI

Highest Technical Rated General Stocks Per 2/3/2025’s Close:

1 – BBIG

2 – NVNI

3 – DXF

4 – BSXGF

5 – CAPC

6 – WLGS

7 – CYFRF

8 – RGTI

9 – MNPR

10 – DWTX

Lowest Technical Rated General Stocks Per 2/3/2025’s Close:

1 – CLEU

2 – CYN

3 – MGOL

4 – CHSN

5 – STSS

6 – CRKN

7 – CDT

8 – RTC

9 – GCTK

10 – LPTX

Highest Volume Rated General Stocks Per 2/3/2025’s Close:

1 – HCWB

2 – IVVD

3 – SGLY

4 – ZBAI

5 – SOPA

6 – BCTX

7 – GHRS

8 – UOKA

9 – MAMA

10 – REBN

Lowest Volume Rated General Stocks Per 2/3/2025’s Close:

1 – TIMCF

2 – NSFDF

3 – STEK

4 – BNPQF

5 – LBRMF

6 – SROYF

7 – YJ

8 – PFLC

9 – SNANF

10 – ANKOF

*** THE LIST ABOVE IS STRICTLY FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES – I MAY OR MAY NOT HAVE OR INITIATE A LONG, SHORT, OR LONG/SHORT POSITION IN ANY NAME ABOVE AT ANY TIME ***

Weekly Stock & ETF Market Review 2/2/2025

SPY, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF fell -1.01% last week, while the VIX closed at 16.43, indicating an implied one day move of +/-1.04% & an implied one month move of +/-4.75%.

SPY ETF - SPDR S&P 500 ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
SPY ETF – SPDR S&P 500 ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is trending down towards the neutral level & sits currently at 53.91, while their MACD has curled over bearishly & looks set for a bearish crossover by the end of Tuesday’s session.

Volumes were -5.93% lower than the previous year’s average level (51,584,000 vs. 54,836,494), which is weak participation, but validates that there is indeed some risk aversion settling into stock prices in the near-term.

Monday, the week kicked off on a gap down that opened just below the resistance of the 50 day moving average, but throughout the day market participants rushed back in & managed to push SPY above both the 50 & 10 day moving averages.

Seller volume was the second highest it’s been so far in 2025, indicating that there was a severe urgency to sell SPY & its component stocks, but that there was also quite a few folks hopping back into the pool as well, given that the day ended higher than it opened.

Tuesday showed a glimmer of strength, where on the third highest volume of the week SPY managed to grind higher, but not without testing back below the 10 DMA’s support briefly.

Wednesday flashed the warning signals again, when on the week’s lightest volume SPY opened lower, tested again below the 10 DMA, only to settle in line with it’s support & form a bearish harami pattern with Tuesday’s candle.

Thursday managed to open higher, but again tested below the 10 DMA’s support before powering higher to close as an up day on light volume, indicating that there was not much strength of sentiment behind the move.

The spinning top candle also added a greater sense of uncertainty to SPY’s near-term performance, but the 10 day moving average continued to be straddled & a key area to watch.

Friday saw the brakes get slammed, as SPY opened higher, tested the $610/share limit, before being sent down & breaking through the support of the 10 DMA to close below it on a -0.53% session.

Friday’s volume was the second highest of the week, and third highest of the year, indicating that there was unease among market participants.

It should also be noted that Friday’s candle formed a bearish engulfing pattern with Thursday’s, another bit of negative near-term sentiment.

The coming week holds a plethora of earnings calls, with some of the most notable coming from Amazon, Alphabet & Disney.

Prices look ready to consolidate between the 10 & 50 DMAs until given a direction to break out in, which will likely come from the earnings reports of the week, else from any of the number of Fed speakers that are scheduled for the coming days.

As noted in prior weeks’ notes, any move to the upside will require a great deal of advancing volume to have sticking power, particularly as SPY is so close to all-time highs.

To the downside, if the 50 day moving average’s support doesn’t hold up, SPY may have some trouble as there are no support levels until $584.15/share.

The reason that this is troublesome is that while the price zones between there & Friday’s close are historically dominated by Buyers, the $580-584.99/share price zone is Seller dominated over the past 2-3 years, at a rate of 2.1:1.

If we see that break down there is not much strength of historic buyers until the $580-584.99/share price level, which contains two support levels.

Volume will be a key factor to watch in any market movement, as at these price levels it will be important to have confirmation by active market participation, as even in the event of a consolidation range continuing all week it will give clues into which way market participants are leaning, be it more risk-on or risk-off.

The chart below gives insight into volume sentiment at the price levels SPY has traded at over the past 2-3 years.

SPY has support at the $596.43 (50 Day Moving Average, Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.5:1), $584.15 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.1:1), $580.91 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.1:1) & $575.35/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.08:1) price levels, with resistance at the $602.48 (Volume Sentiment: Even, 1:1), $603.73 (50 Day Moving Average, Volume Sentiment: Even, 1:1), $607.03 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 0.8:0*) & $610.78/share (All-Time High, Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) price levels.

SPY ETF's Price Level:Volume Sentiment Over The Past ~2-3 Years
SPY ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment Over The Past ~2-3 Years

QQQ, the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF declined -1.39% last week, as investors were most weary of the tech-heavy index out of the four major ETFs.

QQQ ETF - Invesco QQQ ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
QQQ ETF – Invesco QQQ ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI has flattened out just above the neutral 50 mark at 52.07, while their MACD is still bullish but has also flattened out & their histogram indicates that there will be a bearish crossover by Tuesday.

Volumes were +3.59% higher than the previous year’s average (37,378,000 vs. 36,082,271), which is a slight cause for concern given that the week ultimately resulted in declines & the top two highest volume sessions were declining.

Much like SPY, QQQ opened the week on a gap down on the highest volume of the week, setting the stage for near-term weakness to set in.

QQQ however, opened below the 10 & 50 day moving averages, temporarily broke above them, before closing below both, but higher than the day opened, indicating that market participants were willing to accept some risk as the session went on.

Tuesday opened higher, retraced down almost to Monday’s opening level, before tearing above the 50 day moving average’s resistance & the 10 DMA’s resistance & managed to settle for the day atop both, with a small upper shadow indicating that there was a slight bit of more upside appetite.

On Wednesday reality set in to remind QQQ investors that it’s not out of the woods just yet, as the session opened slightly higher, before tumbling below the 10 day moving average’s support, going so far down as to test the 50 day moving average, before regaining some of its losses to close below the 10 DMA.

Volume on Wednesday was the lightest of the week, which is a bit alarming when you consider the wide range of prices that were touched intraday, as well as the fact that there were multiple tests & retests of the 10 & 50 DMAs.

Thursday the risk off sentiment continued, as despite gapping higher on the open, the day resulted in a spinning top candle that closed lower than its open, indicating that there was a bit on uneasiness in the market for QQQ, which when coupled with the week’s second lowest volume becomes even more apparent.

Friday, much like SPY, QQQ formed a bearish engulfing pattern after opening on a gap up, temporarily testing higher, before dropping to below the support of the 10 day moving average & closing below it.

Volume was second highest for the week on Friday, which when paired with Monday’s highest volume of the week session paints a bit of a bleak picture for QQQ in the near-term.

Much like SPY, this week expect to see QQQ oscillate between the support of the 50 day moving average & the resistance of the 10 day moving average until a catalyst pushes it to break out either up or down.

For any staying power to an upside move there will need to be volume as strong as this past week, if not stronger, especially given that their price is currently in a Seller dominated zone historically.

This will require a bit of an extra push to continue prices moving higher from, as the next resistance levels after the 10 DMA are all in Seller dominated zone as well, so there will need to be a great deal of added enthusiasm for QQQ to continue higher.

To the downside, there’s Seller pressure for the next -2.35% before the Buyers have historically stepped in.

However, if the $508.47/share level breaks down there will be additional losses given that the next support level doesn’t occur until $499.70.

QQQ has support at the $517.82 (50 Day Moving Average, Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.33:1), $514.75 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.38:1), $510.15 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.38:1) & $508.47/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.6:1) price levels, with resistance at the $524.25 (10 Day Moving Average, Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.18:1), $531.24 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 0.6:0*), $533.82 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 0.6:0*) & $538.28/share (All-Time High, Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 0.7:0*) price levels.

QQQ ETF's Price Level:Volume Sentiment Over The Past ~2-3 Years
QQQ ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment Over The Past ~2-3 Years

IWM, the iShares Russell 2000 ETF dropped -0.97% last week, as even small cap names were shunned by market participants.

IWM ETF - iShares Russell 2000 ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
IWM ETF – iShares Russell 2000 ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is about to cross down through the neutral 50 level & currently is at 50.62, while their MACD has curled over bearishly & should cross through the signal line by mid-week.

Volumes were -16.66% lower than the prior year’s average (25,104,000 vs. 30,121,000), as there was muted participation among investors for IWM.

Monday began on a cautious note, as the day tested the 10 day moving average’s support, as well as the 50 day moving average’s resistance, but ultimately settled as a spinning top candle on the second highest volume of the week after opening on a gap down.

Tuesday opened higher, tested higher, then temporarily went below the support of the 10 day moving average, in a session that closed as a doji on the week’s lowest level of volume.

This signaled that there was bearish sentiment on the horizon, but prices managed to close above the 10 DMA.

Wednesday this theme of weakness carried on, as on lackluster volume the day resulted in a high wave spinning top candle that opened in line with the 10 DMA, but closed below it, indicating that there was a lot of confusion and speculation about where to value IWM, but at the end of the day the result was resoundingly lower.

Thursday opened on a gap higher, but uneasiness was abound as the high wave candle broke above the 50 DMA’s resistance & below the 20 DMA’s support, only to close in-line with its opening price.

Friday opened on a gap higher & went above the 50 DMA again & also briefly crossed $230/share again, but ultimately was unable to find any footing & on the week’s strongest volume IWM declined through the 10 DMA’s support to close below it.

For this coming week expect to see IWM continue to straddle the 10 day moving average until there is a catalyst that pushes it higher or lower.

Much like SPY & QQQ, any upside movement will require a large increase in volume, as IWM is currently in a Seller dominated zone & will enter another in the event that they advance +2.44%.

A unique trouble for IWM though is that in this current price zone sit the next four resistance levels & the $227.17-18 mark will require a large push to break through & stay above.

To the downside there is some Buyer pressure once the $23.99 share price is hit, but if IWM loses -4.63% from Friday’s close it will find itself in another Seller zone & the strength of the Buyers on the two zones in between will become more diluted (unless they are completely gapped over, which will present a unique set of challenges).

Also, the current price is 5.2% above the long-term trend (200 DMA) & that will become something to begin thinking about in the next two weeks, especially if there is no catalyst higher, as the 200 DMA is currently in a Seller dominated zone 1.29:1, which increases the risk of the long-term trend breaking down for IWM.

IWM has support at the $225.73 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 3:1), $225.20 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 3:1), $223.51 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.92:1) & $221.04/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.92:1) price levels, with resistance at the $226.50 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 3:1), $227.17 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 3:1), $227.18 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 3:1) & $227.61/share (10 Day Moving Average, Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 3:1) price levels.

IWM ETF's Price Level:Volume Sentiment Over The Past ~2-3 Years
IWM ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment Over The Past ~2-3 Years

DIA, the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF advanced +0.29% last week, as the blue chip index was the only major index that market participants viewed favorably.

DIA ETF - SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
DIA ETF – SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is trending back towards neutral after flirting with the overbought 70 level & sits currently at 61.43, while their MACD has curled over bearishly & their histogram has begun to wane, indicating that there is likely going to be a bearish crossover by mid-week.

Volumes were -16.99% lower than the prior year’s average level (2,738,000 vs. 3,298,566), which makes the small weekly gain rather insignificant.

Most of DIA’s gains for the week can be attributed to Monday’s performance, which resulted in a bullish engulfing candle that set up the rest of the week for a bit of floundering & consolidation.

Monday had the highest volume of the week, which also speaks to the true strength of the move, as there was not much eagerness for market participants to ride the wave higher during the rest of the week.

Tuesday opened on a gap higher, but the enthusiasm waned quickly as the week’s lightest volume session pushed higher, but was rejected at the $450/share price level & closed at $448.41.

Wednesday the cracks began to show in DIA, as while the day’s candle did not result in a bearish engulfing pattern, it was close to one & ultimately the day ended as a declining spinning top on low volume, showing a severe level of confusion lack of interest among market participants.

Thursday resulted in a bullish engulfing candle, but again the volume came in very underwhelming & yet again the $450/share price level held up, making a run at the all-time high seem less & less likely.

Friday wiped any potential enthusiasm away though, with a gap up open that led to a -0.76% declining session on the week’s second highest volume, as the all-time high held up & the day’s candle created a bearish engulfing pattern.

This week all eyes will be on whether or not the all-time high holds up or if the $450/share gets rejected once & for all & a double top forms.

Should this occur, keep in mind that DIA’s current price & first level of support (the 10 DMA) are both in a Seller dominated zone.

While Buyers have historically stepped in for the next -3.9% from Friday’s closing price, if the 50 day moving average breaks down the $428.24/share price level will become the next-most important place to watch, as it leads into another historically Seller dominated zone (3:1).

Without a major surge in volume & should there be no major splashes due to earnings, expect prices to consolidate between the 10 & 50 day moving averages until there is a reason for a breakout.

Once there is a breakout, ensure that there is proper volume supporting the move, given that DIA is just off of all-time highs.

DIA has support at the $444.25 (10 Day Moving Average, Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.25:1), $443.15 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.67:1), $436.53 (50 Day Moving Average, Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.6:1) & $433.51/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.67:1) price levels, with resistance at the $450.08/share (All-Time High, Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 0.4:0*) price levels.

DIA ETF's Price Level:Volume Sentiment Over The Past ~3-4 Years
DIA ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment Over The Past ~3-4 Years

The Week Ahead

Monday the week begins with S&P Final U.S. Manufacturing PMI data at 9:45 am, followed by Construction Spending & ISM Manufacturing data at 10 am & Fed President Bostic speaking at 12 pm.

IDEXX Laboratories, Napco Security Systems, Saia, Twist Bioscience & Tyson Foods all report earnings before Monday’s opening bell, with AECOM, BellRing Brands, Cabot, Capital Southwest, Clorox, Equity Residential, Fabrinet, Healthpeak Properties, J&J Snack Foods, Kforce, Kyndryl, MGIC Investment, NJ Resources, NXP Semiconductors, Palantir Technologies, Rambus, Tempus AI & Woodward scheduled to report after the session’s close.

Job Openings & Factory Orders data are released Tuesday at 10 am, followed by Fed President Bostic speaking on Housing at 11 am, Fed President Daly speaking at 2 pm & Fed Vice Chairman Jefferson speaking at 7:30 pm.

Tuesday morning’s earnings calls include Amcor, Ametek, Aramark, Archer-Daniels-Midland, ATI Inc., Atkore International, Ball Corp, Berry Global, Centene, CNH Industrial, Colliers International Group, Cummins, Energizer, Enterprise Products, Estee Lauder, Ferrari, Fox Corp, Gartner, Graphic Packaging, Hamilton Lane, Hubbell, Ingredion, InMode, Jacobs Solutions, Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals, KKR, Lancaster Colony, Marathon Petroleum, Merck, MPLX LP, MSG Sports, Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp, PayPal Holdings, Pentair, PepsiCo, Pfizer, PJT Partners, Silicon Labs, Spotify Technology, Transdigm Group, UBS, UL Solutions, WEC Energy Group, Willis Towers Watson & Xylem, before Alphabet, 8×8, A10 Networks, Advanced Micro Devices, Allegiant Travel, Amdocs, American Financial Group, Amgen, Artisan Partners Asset Management, Aspen Technology, Atmos Energy, AZEK, Carlisle Companies, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Cirrus Logic, Columbia Sportswear, Douglas Emmett, DXC Technology, Electronic Arts, Enova International, Enphase Energy, Essex Property, Fair Isaac, FMC Corp, Golub Capital, H & R Block, Hanover Insurance, ICHOR Corp, IDEX Corp, Intapp, Jack Henry, Juniper Networks, Kulicke & Soffa, Lumen Technologies, Match Group, Mattel, Mercury, Modine Manufacturing, Mondelez International, Mueller Water, NOV Inc., O-I Glass, Omnicom, Oscar Health, Prudential, Rush Enterprises, Simon Properties, Skyline Champion, Snap, Unum Group, Varonis Systems, Veralto, Voya Financial, Western Union & Zurn Elkay Water Solutions report following the session’s closing bell.

Wednesday morning features ADP Employment data at 8:15, followed by U.S. Trade Deficit data at 8:30 am, Fed President Barkin speaking at 9 am, S&P Final U.S. Services PMI data at 9:45 am, ISM Services data at 10 am, Fed President Goolsbee speaking at 1 pm, Fed Governor Bowman speaking at 3 pm & Fed Vice Chairman Jefferson speaking at 7:30 pm.

Walt Disney, Ares Capital, Ares Management, ATS Corp, Azenta, Bio-Techne, Boston Scientific, Bunge, Capri Holdings, CDW, Cencora, Centuri Holdings, Criteo, Dayforce, Emerson, Evercore, FirstService, Fiserv, Gildan Activewear, GlaxoSmithKline, Griffon, Harley-Davidson, Illinois Tool Works, Johnson Controls, Kennametal, KinderCare Learning Companies, New York Times, Old Dominion Freight Line, Performance Food Group, Reynolds Consumer Products, RXO, South Bow, Spire, StandardAero, Stanley Black & Decker, T. Rowe Price, Timken, Uber Technologies, Vishay & Yum! Brands are all due to report earnings before Wednesday’s opening bell, followed by Aflac, Align Technology, Allstate, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor, Amentum Holdings, Arm Holdings, ASGN Inc, AvalonBay, Black Hills, BrightView, Central Garden, Cognizant Technology Solutions, Coherent, CONMED, Corpay, Corteva, Crown Holdings, CSG Systems, Curbline Properties, Deluxe, DHT, Digi International, Digital Turbine, Enersys, Envista, Equitable Holdings, First Industrial Realty, Ford Motor, FormFactor, Franco-Nevada, Globe Life, Hillenbrand, Hologic, Horace Mann, Impinj, Kemper, LandBridge, LiveRamp, Manulife Financial, McKesson, MetLife, MicroStrategy, Mid-America Apartment Communities, Moelis, Molina Healthcare, Murphy USA, Netgear, News Corp., O’Reilly Automotive, Omega Healthcare Investors, Paycor, PTC, Qiagen, Radian Group, Rayonier, Regal Rexnord, Rexford Industrial Realty, Safehold, Silicon Motion, SiTime, Skyworks Solutions, Steris, Stewart Information Services, Suncor Energy, Symbotic, Tenable Holdings, TTM Technologies, UDR, UGI Corp, Viking Therapeutics & WEX after the session’s close.

Initial Jobless Claims & U.S. Productivity data are released Thursday at 8:30 am, followed by Fed Governor Waller speaking at 2:30 pm & Fed President Logan speaking at 5:10 pm.

Thursday morning’s earnings calls include Advanced Drainage Systems, AGCO Corp, Air Products and Chemicals, AllianceBernstein, Aptiv, ArcelorMittal, Arrow Electronics, AstraZeneca, BCE Inc, Becton Dickinson, Belden, BorgWarner, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Canada Goose, Clearfield, CMS Energy, ConocoPhillips, Eli Lilly, Embecta, Entegris, Equifax, Equinox Gold, First Majestic Silver, Gates Industrial, Haemonetics, Hershey Foods, Hilton, Honeywell, Huntington Ingalls, Insight Enterprises, InterDigital, IQVIA, ITT, Kellanova, Kelly Services, Kenvue, Labcorp Holdings, Lightspeed, Lincoln National, Linde, MACOM Technology Solutions, MarketAxess, MasterCraft, MDU Resources, nVent Electric, Omnicell, Open Text, Patrick Industries, Peabody Energy, Peloton Interactive, Prestige Consumer, Ralph Lauren, Roblox, Snap-On, Spectrum Brands, Tapestry, Thomson Reuters, Tradeweb Markets, Under Armour, Valvoline, Warner Music Group, Xcel Energy, XPO, Yum China & Zimmer Biomet, beforeAffirm Holdings, Amazon, AptarGroup, Bill.com, Boyd Gaming, Camden Property, Cloudflare, CNO Financial, COPT Defense Properties, Cousins Properties, Doximity, e.l.f. Beauty, EastGroup, Encompass Health, ESCO Technologies, Expedia Group, Exponent, Fortinet, Fortune Brands Innovations, Genpact, GoPro, Hub Group, Illumina, Innovex International, Leslie’s, Lions Gate Entertainment, Lumentum, Mettler-Toledo, Microchip, Minerals Technologies, Mohawk Industries, Monolithic Power, NMI Holdings, Onto Innovation, Paylocity, Phillips Edison, Pinterest, Post, Powell Industries, Principal Financial Group, PROS Holdings, Qualys, QuinStreet, Regency Centers, Reinsurance Group of America, Skechers USA, Sonos, SS&C Technologies, StepStone Group, Synaptics, Take-Two Interactive Software, Varex Imaging, VeriSign, Victory Capital, WEBTOON Entertainment, Werner Enterprises, Wheaton Precious Metals report following the session’s close.

Friday the week winds down with U.S. Employment Report, U.S. Unemployment Rate, U.S. Hourly Wages & Hourly Wages Year-over-Year data at 8:30 am, followed by Fed Governor Bowman speaking at 9:25 am, Wholesale Inventories data & Consumer Sentiment (prelim) at 10 am & Consumer Credit data at 3 pm.

Avantor, Cboe Global Markets, Construction Partners, Flowers Foods, Fortive, Frontier Group Holdings, Green Plains, Kimco Realty, Newell Brands, Perella Weinberg Partners, Plains All American, Protolabs & Telus all report earnings before Friday morning’s opening bell.

See you back here next week!

*** I DO NOT OWN SHARES OR OPTIONS CONTRACT POSITIONS IN SPY, QQQ, IWM OR DIA AT THE TIME OF PUBLISHING THIS ARTICLE ***

Daily VolTech Stock & ETF Volume & Technical Ratings 1/31/2025

The VIX closed at 16.43, indicating an implied one day move of +/-1.04% & an implied one month move of +/-4.75% for the S&P 500.

Highest Technical Rated S&P 500 Components Per 1/31/2025’s Close:

1 – PLTR

2 – UAL

3 – AXON

4 – TPR

5 – GEV

6 – VST

7 – TSLA

8 – RCL

9 – FFIV

10 – CCL

Lowest Technical Rated S&P 500 Components Per 1/31/2025’s Close:

1 – SMCI

2 – MRNA

3 – EIX

4 – AES

5 – ENPH

6 – CE

7 – MCHP

8 – ON

9 – STZ

10 – DG

Highest Volume Rated S&P 500 Components Per 1/31/2025’s Close:

1 – ERIE

2 – DECK

3 – IP

4 – BEN

5 – ES

6 – HRL

7 – FDS

8 – K

9 – PFG

10 – DOC

Lowest Volume Rated S&P 500 Components Per 1/31/2025’s Close:

1 – CNC

2 – APO

3 – DAL

4 – BA

5 – WELL

6 – WDAY

7 – EW

8 – DXCM

9 – GEHC

10 – ELV

Highest Technical Rated ETFs Per 1/31/2025’s Close:

1 – TSLR

2 – TSLT

3 – TSLL

4 – WEBL

5 – FBL

6 – TESL

7 – BITW

8 – TSL

9 – BITU

10 – TARK

Lowest Technical Rated ETFs Per 1/31/2025’s Close:

1 – MSOX

2 – TSLZ

3 – TSDD

4 – TSLQ

5 – BCHG

6 – CNBS

7 – SBIT

8 – MRNY

9 – SARK

10 – LTCN

Highest Volume Rated ETFs Per 1/31/2025’s Close:

1 – LIAG

2 – LIAU

3 – LIAC

4 – LFAF

5 – LIAW

6 – LIAT

7 – LIAP

8 – LIAV

9 – IFEB

10 – BCHP

Lowest Volume Rated ETFs Per 1/31/2025’s Close:

1 – MVFD

2 – FDCE

3 – GTR

4 – FDGR

5 – GSPY

6 – TAFL

7 – EVUS

8 – ZTWO

9 – PBDE

10 – SSPY

Highest Technical Rated General Stocks Per 1/31/2025’s Close:

1 – BBIG

2 – BSXGF

3 – NVNI

4 – WLGS

5 – MNPR

6 – RGTI

7 – CYFRF

8 – CAPC

9 – SEVCD

10 – DWTX

Lowest Technical Rated General Stocks Per 1/31/2025’s Close:

1 – MGOL

2 – CHSN

3 – CRKN

4 – CYN

5 – STSS

6 – LICN

7 – MULN

8 – ACON

9 – CDT

10 – YYAI

Highest Volume Rated General Stocks Per 1/31/2025’s Close:

1 – TCTM

2 – CYCN

3 – OUT

4 – REBN

5 – TDTH

6 – PMNT

7 – MAMA

8 – TTNMF

9 – SOPA

10 – NLSP

Lowest Volume Rated General Stocks Per 1/31/2025’s Close:

1 – OFSTS

2 – CYAN

3 – RDEXF

4 – RNLXY

5 – AVCNF

6 – ZBAI

7 – HMTXF

8 – IDKFF

9 – VS

10 – GIKLY

*** THE LIST ABOVE IS STRICTLY FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES – I MAY OR MAY NOT HAVE OR INITIATE A LONG, SHORT, OR LONG/SHORT POSITION IN ANY NAME ABOVE AT ANY TIME ***

Daily VolTech Stock & ETF Volume & Technical Ratings 1/30/2025

The VIX closed at 15.84, indicating an implied one day move of +/-1.00% & an implied one month move of +/-4.58% for the S&P 500.

Highest Technical Rated S&P 500 Components Per 1/30/2025’s Close:

1 – PLTR

2 – UAL

3 – VST

4 – TPR

5 – GEV

6 – RCL

7 – AXON

8 – FFIV

9 – CCL

10 – TSLA

Lowest Technical Rated S&P 500 Components Per 1/30/2025’s Close:

1 – SMCI

2 – EIX

3 – MRNA

4 – ENPH

5 – AES

6 – CE

7 – MCHP

8 – ON

9 – EA

10 – STZ

Highest Volume Rated S&P 500 Components Per 1/30/2025’s Close:

1 – UPS

2 – JNPR

3 – OKE

4 – NOW

5 – AVY

6 – IBM

7 – CMCSA

8 – TER

9 – CHRW

10 – DGX

Lowest Volume Rated S&P 500 Components Per 1/30/2025’s Close:

1 – HON

2 – SMCI

3 – WDAY

4 – CTAS

5 – PNW

6 – TGT

7 – CBOE

8 – TPL

9 – HPQ

10 – SOLV

Highest Technical Rated ETFs Per 1/30/2025’s Close:

1 – TSLR

2 – TSLT

3 – BITU

4 – TSLL

5 – BITW

6 – FBL

7 – WEBL

8 – BABX

9 – TESL

10 – BTFX

Lowest Technical Rated ETFs Per 1/30/2025’s Close:

1 – MSOX

2 – TSLZ

3 – TSDD

4 – TSLQ

5 – SBIT

6 – BCHG

7 – YANG

8 – SARK

9 – CNBS

10 – MRNY

Highest Volume Rated ETFs Per 1/30/2025’s Close:

1 – PBFB

2 – KROP

3 – CGGE

4 – EMCC

5 – VNSE

6 – DDWM

7 – MEDI

8 – PBAP

9 – USDX

10 – BKWO

Lowest Volume Rated ETFs Per 1/30/2025’s Close:

1 – CPLB

2 – OVT

3 – UJB

4 – CVRD

5 – BGIG

6 – PSMO

7 – TBFC

8 – FEDM

9 – IVVB

10 – CLOX

Highest Technical Rated General Stocks Per 1/30/2025’s Close:

1 – BBIG

2 – BSXGF

3 – CYFRF

4 – NVNI

5 – WLGS

6 – MNPR

7 – EXOD

8 – RGTI

9 – SEVCD

10 – DWTX

Lowest Technical Rated General Stocks Per 1/30/2025’s Close:

1 – CLEU

2 – MGOL

3 – CHSN

4 – STSS

5 – MULN

6 – CDT

7 – YYAI

8 – RTC

9 – WNW

10 – CERO

Highest Volume Rated General Stocks Per 1/30/2025’s Close:

1 – TWO

2 – KZIA

3 – FOXX

4 – BHIL

5 – ATHE

6 – OUT

7 – ZAPP

8 – NAOV

9 – DOMH

10 – CRGX

Lowest Volume Rated General Stocks Per 1/30/2025’s Close:

1 – PYFRF

2 – SPIEF

3 – DMXCF

4 – VHIBF

5 – DTEGF

6 – BNPQF

7 – MGIH

8 – CYAN

9 – PAVS

10 – LEDS

*** THE LIST ABOVE IS STRICTLY FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES – I MAY OR MAY NOT HAVE OR INITIATE A LONG, SHORT, OR LONG/SHORT POSITION IN ANY NAME ABOVE AT ANY TIME ***

Price Level:Volume Sentiment Analysis For XLI, The Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF – 1/30/2025

XLI, the Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF has had a strong year, advancing +20.69% Y-o-Y, including a 22.09% gain since its 52-week low in January of 2024 & sits currently just -4.65% below its 52-week high set in November of 2024 (all figures distributions).

Some of XLI’s biggest holdings include General Electric (GE), Caterpillar Inc. (CAT), RTX Corp. (RTX), Honeywell International Inc. (HON), Uber Technologies Inc. (UBER), Union Pacific Corp. (UNP), Eaton Corp PLC. (ETN), Boeing Co. (BA), Automatic Data Processing (ADP) & Deere + CO. (DE).

Industrials had a difficult December, but were able to bounce back temporarily during January, but have not found stable footing to continue their advance.

Monday’s gap down session also did not help the floundering sector ETF & it will be interesting to see what happens to XLI as earnings season continues.

Below is a brief technical analysis of XLI, as well as a price level:volume sentiment analysis of the price levels XLI has traded at over the ~2-3 years.

Included in this data is also their recent support & resistance levels so that readers can gain insight into how strong/weak these support/resistance levels may be in the future, based on past investor behavior.

It is not intended to serve as financial advice, but rather as an additional tool to reference while performing your own due diligence on XLI.

XLI, The Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF’s Technical Performance Broken Down

XLI ETF - Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
XLI ETF – Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is trending back towards neutral & currently sits at 53.65, while their MACD is bullish, but has curled over heading bearishly towards the signal line & their histogram is signaling weakness after Monday’s gap down session.

Volumes over the past week & a half have been +4.55% above the prior year’s average level (8,872,857.14 vs. 8,486,944.44), which is a slight cause for concern given that most of those sessions have shown declines.

Last Tuesday opened up the short holiday week on a gap up session following the previous Friday’s doji close.

Tuesday’s advance also came on the highest volume that XLI has seen so far in 2025.

Wednesday there was some profit taking after XLI opened on a gap up but wound up closing the session lower, before Thursday saw another advance.

Both Wednesday & Thursday were on light volumes, indicating that there was some hesitancy among market participants & signaling that there was a high likelihood that the window created by Tuesday’s session was likely to be closed soon.

Friday confirmed this, when XLI opened slightly below Thursday’s close & continued down to close below Thursday’s opening price & showed a lower shadow that indicated that there was more downside appetite.

Monday the fireworks started as the session opened on a gap down with the second highest volume of 2025 to date & the day resulted in a spinning top.

While the session managed to close higher than it opened, there was still a lot of uncertainty & negative sentiment given that the day’s candle was a spinning top & the declining volume was so high.

This theme continued on Tuesday when XLI opened higher, but began to decline & tested & broke through the support of the 10 day moving average, but managed to close relatively in-line with it on volumes that eclipsed most of the previous week’s.

Tuesday’s candle formed a bearish engulfing pattern with Monday’s & signaled that there is further weakness on the horizon for XLI.

This was confirmed Wednesday, when sellers came out in larger numbers than the previous day to test the 10 DMA’s resistance, get rejected & continue lower for a decline of -0.34%.

XLI’s price is now between the 10 & 50 day moving averages where it is likely to stay for the coming days in a consolidation range unless there is news on the earnings or economic data front that force a breakout in either direction.

Any upside movement will require a significant increase in volume to remain sustainable in the wake of the recent sell-off of XLI.

It is also important to note that once prices break down below the $137.13 support level there is no support for another -3.12% & the entire walk down is through price zones that over the past ~2-3 years have been dominated by Sellers.

It is also worth noting that the 10 DMA’s resistance is in a historically Seller dominated zone as well, which will make it more difficult to break out from.

The following section lays out XLI’s one year support/resistance levels, as well as their Buyer:Seller (Seller:Buyer) ratios at each price level that they’ve traded at over the past ~2-3 years, which can be used as a barometer for estimating the expected strength/weakness of each of the support/resistance levels.

Price Level:Volume Sentiment For XLI, The Industrials Select Sector SPDR ETF

The top table below shows the support & resistance levels of XLI from the past year’s chart, as well as their price level:volume sentiment at each from data covering the past ~2-3 years, using Wednesday 1/29/2025’s closing data for their price & moving averages/other technicals.

The moving averages are denoted with bold.

The next charts show the volume sentiment at each individual price level XLI has traded at over the past ~2-3 years.

Beneath them is a copy & pasteable list of the same data, where the support/resistance levels are denoted in bold.

All ratios with “0” in the denominator are denoted with a “*”.

NULL values are price levels that had limited trading volume, whether it be due to gaps, quick advances or they are at price extremes; in the event that they are retested & there is more data they would have a distinct “Buyers”, “Sellers” or “Even” title.

This is not intended as financial advice, but rather another tool to consider when performing your own research & due diligence on XLI.

XLI ETF's Price Level:Volume Sentiment Over The Past ~2-3 Years
XLI ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment Over The Past ~2-3 Years
XLI ETF's Price Level:Volume Sentiment Over The Past ~2-3 Years
XLI ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment Over The Past ~2-3 Years
Price Level:Volume Sentiment For XLI ETF Over The Past ~2-3 Years
Price Level:Volume Sentiment For XLI ETF Over The Past ~2-3 Years
Price Level:Volume Sentiment For XLI ETF Over The Past ~2-3 Years

$144 – NULL – 0:0*, +4.51% From Current Price Level

$142 – Buyers – 3:1, +3.06% From Current Price Level

$140 – Buyers – 4:1, +1.6% From Current Price Level

$138 – Sellers – 1.83:1, +0.15% From Current Price Level – 10 Day Moving Average*

$136 – Sellers -1.63:1, -1.3% From Current Price Level – Current Price Level & 50 Day Moving Average**

$134 – Sellers – 1.06:1, -2.75% From Current Price Level

$132 – Sellers – 1.06:1, -4.2% From Current Price Level

$130 – Sellers – 2.25:1, -5.65% From Current Price Level

$128 – Buyers – 3.67:1, -7.11% From Current Price Level – 200 Day Moving Average*

$126 – Buyers – 2.56:1, -8.56% From Current Price Level

$124 – Buyers – 1.38:1, -10.01% From Current Price Level

$122 – Buyers – 1.09:1, -11.46% From Current Price Level

$120 – Buyers – 1.2:1, -12.91% From Current Price Level

$118 – Sellers – 2.24:1, -14.36% From Current Price Level

$116 – Buyers – 5:1, -15.81% From Current Price Level

$114 – Buyers – 2.5:1, -17.27% From Current Price Level

$112 – Buyers – 3.33:1, -18.72% From Current Price Level

$110 – Sellers – 1.03:1, -20.17% From Current Price Level

$108 – Buyers – 1.14:1, -21.62% From Current Price Level

$106 – Buyers – 1.73:1, -23.07% From Current Price Level

$104 – Buyers – 1.19:1, -24.52% From Current Price Level

$102 – Buyers – 1.21:1, -25.97% From Current Price Level

$100 – Buyers – 1.77:1, -27.43% From Current Price Level

$99 – Buyers – 1.24:1, -28.15% From Current Price Level

$98 – Buyers – 2.32:1, -28.88% From Current Price Level

$97 – Buyers – 1.38:1, -29.6% From Current Price Level

$96 – Buyers – 1.04:1, -30.33% From Current Price Level

$95 – Sellers – 1.1:1, -31.05% From Current Price Level

$94 – Sellers – 1.57:1, -31.78% From Current Price Level

$93 – Sellers – 1.85:1, -32.51% From Current Price Level

$92 – Sellers – 1.08:1, -33.23% From Current Price Level

$91 – Buyers – 1.25:1, -33.96% From Current Price Level

$90 – Sellers – 2.5:1, -34.68% From Current Price Level

$89 – Even – 1:1, -35.41% From Current Price Level

$88 – Sellers – 1.87:1, -36.13% From Current Price Level

$87 – Buyers – 1.17:1, -36.86% From Current Price Level

$86 – Sellers – 1.1:1, -37.59% From Current Price Level

$85 – Buyers – 1.39:1, -38.31% From Current Price Level

$84 – Sellers – 1.73:1, -39.04% From Current Price Level

$83 – Sellers – 1.23:1, -39.76% From Current Price Level

$82 – Sellers – 1.8:1, -40.49% From Current Price Level

$81 – Sellers – 2.2:0*, -41.21% From Current Price Level

$80 – Sellers – 1.4:0*, -41.94% From Current Price Level

$79 – NULL – 0:0*, -42.67% From Current Price Level

*** I DO NOT OWN SHARES OR OPTIONS CONTRACT POSITIONS IN XLI AT THE TIME OF PUBLISHING THIS ARTICLE ***

Daily VolTech Stock & ETF Volume & Technical Ratings 1/29/2025

The VIX closed at 16.56, indicating an implied one day move of +/-1.04% & an implied one month move of +/-4.79% for the S&P 500.

Highest Technical Rated S&P 500 Components Per 1/29/2025’s Close:

1 – PLTR

2 – UAL

3 – TPR

4 – RCL

5 – FFIV

6 – AXON

7 – CCL

8 – TSLA

9 – DFS

10 – GEV

Lowest Technical Rated S&P 500 Components Per 1/29/2025’s Close:

1 – SMCI

2 – MRNA

3 – EIX

4 – ENPH

5 – AES

6 – CE

7 – EA

8 – STZ

9 – MCHP

10 – ON

Highest Volume Rated S&P 500 Components Per 1/29/2025’s Close:

1 – JNPR

2 – SBUX

3 – HSIC

4 – FFIV

5 – DHR

6 – PKG

7 – GLW

8 – BXP

9 – NDAQ

10 – IP

Lowest Volume Rated S&P 500 Components Per 1/29/2025’s Close:

1 – WDAY

2 – HON

3 – GEHC

4 – CTAS

5 – ALL

6 – LLY

7 – WTW

8 – TPL

9 – ROK

10 – MPWR

Highest Technical Rated ETFs Per 1/29/2025’s Close:

1 – BITU

2 – WEBL

3 – BITW

4 – FBL

5 – TSLR

6 – TESL

7 – TSLT

8 – TSLL

9 – BTFX

10 – BITX

Lowest Technical Rated ETFs Per 1/29/2025’s Close:

1 – MSOX

2 – TSLZ

3 – TSDD

4 – TSLQ

5 – SBIT

6 – BCHG

7 – CNBS

8 – LTCN

9 – SARK

10 – YANG

Highest Volume Rated ETFs Per 1/29/2025’s Close:

1 – USNZ

2 – BKWO

3 – SDCI

4 – XFIV

5 – BSJW

6 – CMCI

7 – DIEM

8 – FLN

9 – LIAF

10 – TEKX

Lowest Volume Rated ETFs Per 1/29/2025’s Close:

1 – SPMB

2 – GVUS

3 – IVVB

4 – FDVL

5 – UJB

6 – XHYT

7 – FDTB

8 – PSCQ

9 – EFZ

10 – QMAG

Highest Technical Rated General Stocks Per 1/29/2025’s Close:

1 – GROM

2 – EXOD

3 – DXF

4 – CYFRF

5 – NVNI

6 – CAPC

7 – BSXGF

8 – WLGS

9 – RGTI

10 – MNPR

Lowest Technical Rated General Stocks Per 1/29/2025’s Close:

1 – MGOL

2 – CHSN

3 – STSS

4 – MULN

5 – GMHS

6 – YYAI

7 – RIME

8 – CDT

9 – HMMR

10 – LPTX

Highest Volume Rated General Stocks Per 1/29/2025’s Close:

1 – KRKR

2 – EVTV

3 – CMCT

4 – OCEA

5 – SGN

6 – LGCL

7 – OUT

8 – GVH

9 – SXTP

10 – PACK

Lowest Volume Rated General Stocks Per 1/29/2025’s Close:

1 – BNPQF

2 – PYFRF

3 – SPIEF

4 – NSRPF

5 – BTCY

6 – GOMRF

7 – QMCI

8 – JPOTF

9 – MFGCF

10 – OMZNF

*** THE LIST ABOVE IS STRICTLY FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES – I MAY OR MAY NOT HAVE OR INITIATE A LONG, SHORT, OR LONG/SHORT POSITION IN ANY NAME ABOVE AT ANY TIME ***

Daily VolTech Stock & ETF Volume & Technical Ratings 1/22/2025

The VIX closed at 15.1, indicating an implied one day move of +/-0.95% & an implied one month move of +/-4.36% for the S&P 500.

Highest Technical Rated S&P 500 Components Per 1/22/2025’s Close:

1 – PLTR

2 – GEV

3 – VST

4 – UAL

5 – CEG

6 – TSLA

7 – TPR

8 – ANET

9 – TPL

10 – AVGO

Lowest Technical Rated S&P 500 Components Per 1/22/2025’s Close:

1 – MRNA

2 – ENPH

3 – EIX

4 – AES

5 – STZ

6 – DG

7 – CE

8 – SMCI

9 – REGN

10 – BIIB

Highest Volume Rated S&P 500 Components Per 1/22/2025’s Close:

1 – ORCL

2 – NFLX

3 – STX

4 – GPC

5 – TDY

6 – ABT

7 – COF

8 – UAL

9 – GLW

10 – DFS

Lowest Volume Rated S&P 500 Components Per 1/22/2025’s Close:

1 – AXON

2 – HUM

3 – BA

4 – ARE

5 – UHS

6 – EXPD

7 – AIG

8 – PAYC

9 – TPL

10 – CNC

Highest Technical Rated ETFs Per 1/22/2025’s Close:

1 – TSLR

2 – TSLT

3 – TSLL

4 – BITU

5 – TSL

6 – BITW

7 – BITX

8 – BTFX

9 – WEBL

10 – TARK

Lowest Technical Rated ETFs Per 1/22/2025’s Close:

1 – MSOX

2 – TSLZ

3 – TSDD

4 – TSLQ

5 – SBIT

6 – CNBS

7 – KOLD

8 – BCHG

9 – NVD

10 – SARK

Highest Volume Rated ETFs Per 1/22/2025’s Close:

1 – PABD

2 – TDFC

3 – LBO

4 – GFGF

5 – DVND

6 – MSMR

7 – BCUS

8 – GLOW

9 – NDVG

10 – CPLS

Lowest Volume Rated ETFs Per 1/22/2025’s Close:

1 – GVUS

2 – EMCS

3 – CPNS

4 – MDCP

5 – USCA

6 – DMAR

7 – BBEM

8 – USCL

9 – CCNR

10 – XFEB

Highest Technical Rated General Stocks Per 1/22/2025’s Close:

1 – BBIG

2 – VAXX

3 – RGTI

4 – WLGS

5 – CAPC

6 – CHRO

7 – NUKK

8 – SEVCD

9 – FNMA

10 – SPCB

Lowest Technical Rated General Stocks Per 1/22/2025’s Close:

1 – GOEV

2 – WNW

3 – SLXN

4 – HEPA

5 – MULN

6 – GTI

7 – CERO

8 – YYAI

9 – AILEQ

10 – AEON

Highest Volume Rated General Stocks Per 1/22/2025’s Close:

1 – BLBX

2 – IPA

3 – OUT

4 – CLEU

5 – HEPA

6 – NTRB

7 – PAPL

8 – POAI

9 – FFBB

10 – FFBW

Lowest Volume Rated General Stocks Per 1/22/2025’s Close:

1 – GENMF

2 – VRDR

3 – AUXXF

4 – DSNY

5 – BOID

6 – ALPIB

7 – MHCUF

8 – SPIEF

9 – CPIX

10 – VAXX

*** THE LIST ABOVE IS STRICTLY FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES – I MAY OR MAY NOT HAVE OR INITIATE A LONG, SHORT, OR LONG/SHORT POSITION IN ANY NAME ABOVE AT ANY TIME ***

Daily VolTech Stock & ETF Volume & Technical Ratings 1/21/2025

The VIX closed at 15.06, indicating an implied one day move of +/-0.95% & an implied one month move of +/-4.35% for the S&P 500.

Highest Technical Rated S&P 500 Components Per 1/21/2025’s Close:

1 – GEV

2 – VST

3 – PLTR

4 – UAL

5 – TSLA

6 -TPR

7 – CEG

8 – TPL

9 – AVGO

10 – TRGP

Lowest Technical Rated S&P 500 Components Per 1/21/2025’s Close:

1 – MRNA

2 – ENPH

3 – SMCI

4 – STZ

5 – AES

6 – EIX

7 – DG

8 – BIIB

9 – CE

10 – REGN

Highest Volume Rated S&P 500 Components Per 1/21/2025’s Close:

1 – MMM

2 – ORCL

3 – NFLX

4 – SCHW

5 – KEY

6 – AME

7 – STX

8 – GS

9 – FICO

10 – LEN

Lowest Volume Rated S&P 500 Components Per 1/21/2025’s Close:

1 – HUM

2 – WDAY

3 – LII

4 – IFF

5 – APTV

6 – AXON

7 – TROW

8 – IEX

9 – HST

10 – UHS

Highest Technical Rated ETFs Per 1/21/2025’s Close:

1 – TSLR

2 – TSLT

3 – TSLL

4 – BITU

5 – TSL

6 – BITX

7 – BTFX

8 – BITW

9 – HODL

10 – BTCW

Lowest Technical Rated ETFs Per 1/21/2025’s Close:

1 – TSLZ

2 – TSDD

3 – TSLQ

4 – MSOX

5 – SBIT

6 – CNBS

7 – MRNY

8 – BCHG

9 – SARK

10 – KOLD

Highest Volume Rated ETFs Per 1/21/2025’s Close:

1 – AGRH

2 – CCNR

3 – LCF

4 – MVFG

5 – MVFD

6 – SFYX

7 – SFY

8 – CPLS

9 – PIFI

10 – BBSB

Lowest Volume Rated ETFs Per 1/21/2025’s Close:

1 – GVUS

2 – ZSEP

3 – MDCP

4 – XHYT

5 – HEJD

6 – TAFL

7 – SEPW

8 – PFUT

9 – FEUZ

10 – FCA

Highest Technical Rated General Stocks Per 1/21/2025’s Close:

1 – BBIG

2 – CAPC

3 – RGTI

4 – NUKK

5 – WLGS

6 – SPCB

7 – CHRO

8 – QNCCF

9 – FNMA

10 – LAES

Lowest Technical Rated General Stocks Per 1/21/2025’s Close:

1 – GOEV

2 – BETSF

3 – SLXN

4 – MULN

5 – CERO

6 – AEON

7 – GTI

8 – IGMS

9 – STAI

10 – LICN

Highest Volume Rated General Stocks Per 1/21/2025’s Close:

1 – USEG

2 – INM

3 – DWTX

4 – VATE

5 – SST

6 – ASST

7 – LEDS

8 – CHRO

9 – SOPA

10 – HUSA

Lowest Volume Rated General Stocks Per 1/21/2025’s Close:

1 – QMCI

2 – TIMCF

3 – DMXCF

4 – SEELQ

5 – SFES

6 – BONXF

7 – SUGP

8 – POCI

9 – AMXEF

10 – SVBL

*** THE LIST ABOVE IS STRICTLY FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES – I MAY OR MAY NOT HAVE OR INITIATE A LONG, SHORT, OR LONG/SHORT POSITION IN ANY NAME ABOVE AT ANY TIME ***

Weekly Stock & ETF Market Review 1/19/2025

SPY, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF gained +2.94% last week, while the VIX closed at 15.97, indicating an implied one day move of +/-1.01% & an implied one month move of +/-4.62%, following the first full week of trading of the past four weeks.

SPY ETF - SPDR S&P 500 ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
SPY ETF – SPDR S&P 500 ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI crossed the neutral level of 50 after Wednesday’s gap up session, while their MACD crossed over bullishly on Friday.

Volumes were -9.36% lower than the prior year’s average (50,924,000 vs. 54,180,870), which casts the gains of the week in a suspicious light, given that the highest volume advancing days came on sessions with gap ups & leave windows to be filled.

Monday saw the temporary recovery from the prior week kick off, but note the low volume of the day, indicating that there was not enough conviction behind the move to view it as a true, robust reversal.

Tuesday continued this theme, as the session opened on a gap up, but was unable to test much higher & SPY sunk to the middle of Monday’s range, before rallying back to close above Monday’s close, but below it’s own opening price.

This intraday volatility paired with the low volume attached with it don’t paint a picture of a healthy bull run & signal that there was a bit of intraday profit taking with a surge higher heading into the end of the session.

Wednesday opened on a gap up above the 10 day moving average’s resistance, saw a small amount of downside test before continuing higher to temporarily break above the 50 day moving average’s resistance & settling in-line with the 50 DMA.

On Thursday, SPY opened on another gap up that was above the 50 day moving average’s resistance, but that profits were quickly taken from, forcing the day lower & closing below the 50 DMA.

A couple of things of note on Thursday: firstly, the lower shadow indicates that there was some more appetite lower for SPY, and the other is that all of this price action took place on the week’s lowest volume.

Friday the week left off on a rather ominous note & cast uncertainty on SPY’s future week(s).

On another gap up, SPY managed to briefly break out above the $598.16/share resistance level, but it did not sustain & the day ended closing as a doji candle on the week’s highest volume.

This indicates that there was a bit of profit taking, as well as some tug of war between the bulls & bears.

Looking ahead to the upcoming shortened week due to MLK Jr. Day, it’s worth taking a look at the difference between SPY & each of the following index ETF’s week-over-week (last week’s note is here), as this week again will be determined largely by volume.

The $598.16/share resistance level will play an important role in the week ahead, as prices will need to break through it to continue SPY’s climb higher.

This falls in a price zone that has typically been dominated by Buyers at a rate of 2.5:1 over the past ~2 years, but there has not been much declining pressure here & we may see sellers step up to block this move.

It will also be important to keep an eye on the 10 day moving average as it moves towards the 50 DMA to see if a crossover inspires any more upwards movement in SPY, as a ~2% advance has it brushing up against its all-time high.

Again, this will require an uptick in volume in order to be sustainable, especially given the number of windows that were created by gaps last week that will eventually need to be filled.

If the support of the 10 & 50 DMAs does break down & prices reach the $589.99/share level we may see further declines down to the $579.99/share level, as the Buyers who dominate the $585-589.99 price zone have seen limited pressure from Sellers & the %580-584.99/share price zone is historically dominated by Sellers 2.1:1.

There’s not a ton of economic data this week, but there are a lot of earnings announcements which are more likely to drive SPY’s direction this week.

If neither of the two situations above occur, it will most likely be a week of SPY straddling & oscillating around the 10 DMA while awaiting the next large clue as to which way market participants are feeling.

SPY has support at the $593.95 (50 Day Moving Average, Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 4.2:1), $589.15 (10 Day Moving Average, Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.4:0*), $584.15 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.1:1) & $581.90/share (All-Time High, Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.1:1) price levels, with resistance at the $598.16 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.5:1), $602.48 (Volume Sentiment: Even, 1:1) & $607.03/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 0.8:0*) price levels.

SPY ETF's Price Level:Volume Sentiment Over The Past ~2 Years
SPY ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment Over The Past ~2 Years

QQQ, the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF added +2.87% last week, as the least favored of the major four index ETFs.

QQQ ETF - Invesco QQQ ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
QQQ ETF – Invesco QQQ ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI crossed over the neutral 50 mark after Wednesday’s gap up session, while their MACD is still bearish, but looks set to cross over bullishly during Tuesday’s session.

Volumes were -1.81% lower than the prior year’s average (36,092,000 vs. 36,757,391), which much like SPY tells of there being some trouble brewing for readers to be aware of.

Last week QQQ fell -2.2% on volume that was -2.3% lower than the prior year, while this week there was slightly more participation among investors, but gains mostly came on the back of Wednesday & Friday’s opening gap ups.

Monday QQQ’s week began on a gap down that managed to break below the $500/share mark briefly, before rallying higher to close above $505/share & an upper shadow showing that there was some more appetite for higher prices.

Given that this day had the second lowest volume of the week & was by no means noteworthy in terms of volume compared to the past 5+ months, it doesn’t have sturdy legs as a reversal point & needs to provide more proof in terms of the change of general sentiment in the market.

Tuesday opened on a gap up, tested higher, but ultimately retraced almost all of Monday’s candle’s real body’s price range before closing just below Monday’s closing price.

This should be cause for concern as there was more volume on Tuesday than Monday, reflecting in part some short-term profit taking, but also some market participants slowly jumping back into the pool.

Note that on Tuesday, both the 10 & 50 DMAs’ resistance levels were neck & neck & above QQQ’s price, before Wednesday’s gap up open occurred right in-line with both levels, and despite there being a retest & breakdown of their support levels, it proved temporary as prices powered higher throughout the session.

Wednesday resulted in the second highest volume of the week, but when compared to Friday’s volume (highest day) it was nothing to write home about, despite the good news pouring in in terms of big banks’ earnings results.

Recall too that financial stocks are not typically included in QQQ, which should add an added bit of skepticism about the staying power behind the day’s move.

Thursday opened on another gap higher, but sunk back down to sit in-line with the support of the 10 & 50 day moving averages, which were still braided together.

None of the above spell out a particularly strong outlook, or much in terms of optimism, which makes Friday’s performance all the more important.

Friday opened on a gap up, and despite the small upper shadow on the session’s candle is a hanging man candle, indicating that there is uncertainty & bearishness still in the air.

While it took the week’s highest volume award, Friday’s session was quite the game of tug of war between bulls & bears, where prices failed to reach the $525/share level, tested to the downside to break down the support of both the 10 & 50 day moving averages, only to close at $521.74, but lower than its opening price ($522.85).

Options expiration may have contributed to these swings & some covering/squeezing may have also played a factor, but there is not an overwhelming amount of confidence out there at the moment.

QQQ’s week ahead looks similar, except that to the upside they’ll need ~3% to challenge their all-time high, but an uptick in advancing volume will be essential for it to be sustainable.

They’ll need to break above the $525/share price level as well to find stable footing, as all of the prices for the next -2.25% lower are dominated by sellers historically, which would lead to further breakdowns for QQQ & push their price below the support of the 10 & 50 day moving averages.

If the $514.75 support breaks down it will lead to them being challenged, and if they break down expect to see a retest of the $508.47 price level.

Otherwise, much like SPY, there will likely be further consolidation & oscillation around the 10 & 50 day moving averages until there is a major catalyst to the up or downside, as this is a shortened, quiet week.

QQQ has support at the $514.75 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.38:1), $514.65 (50 Day Moving Average, Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.38:1), $514.29 (10 Day Moving Average, Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.38:1) & $508.47/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.6:1) price levels, with resistance at the $531.24 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 0.6:0*) & $538.28/share (All-Time High, Volume Sentiment: 0.7:0*) price levels.

QQQ ETF's Price Level:Volume Sentiment Over The Past ~2 Years
QQQ ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment Over The Past ~2 Years

IWM, the iShares Russell 2000 ETF advanced +3.98%, as the small cap index was the most favored among market participants out of the major four index ETFs.

IWM ETF - iShares Russell 2000 ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
IWM ETF – iShares Russell 2000 ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI crossed over above their neutral 50 mark & sits at 51.33 after Wednesday’s gap up session, while their MACD crossed over bullishly on Thursday.

Volumes were -14.6% lower than the prior year’s average (26,390,000 vs. 30,902,213), which also tells a tale of uncertainty that could well result in weakness in the coming week(s).

It is worth noting before we proceed that IWM’s chart is unique in that it contains no proper declining sessions compared to SPY & QQQ, however, there’s still a lot that stands to be improved from a place of market confidence for the small-cap index.

Firstly, on Monday IWM opened on a gap down, wound up declining to test the long-term trend’s support level a the 200 day moving average, before advancing higher to close above the prior Friday’s close.

While the session had the second highest volume of the week, the small upper shadow combined with the overall lackluster volume compared to the previous year’s average level is reason to carry caution into the coming week.

Tuesday featured a gap up open to near the $220/share price level, that tested below the $217.50 price level intraday, as well as above the $220/share level before ultimately settling up for an advancing session, but closed as a spinning top, indicating indecision.

The size of the upper shadow on Tuesday’s candle does not categorize it necessarily as a hanging man, but it certainly looks similar.

Wednesday IWM gapped up on the open to above the resistance of the 10 day moving average & above the $225/share mark on the highest volume of the week, but left reason for concern still for market participants.

Throughout the day the bulls & bears battled it out, at times forcing prices to near as low as $222.50/share & while the session closed above the day’s low, it was below the opening price, indicating that there was still quite a bit of doubt circulating IWM & its component stocks.

Thursday this theme continued, as volumes plunged to the lowest level of the week & while the session opened higher & did advance, it resulted in a spinning top high wave candle, marking a lot of uncertainty among market participants.

The lows of Thursday were lower than Wednesday’s lows & their high was lower than Wednesday’s opening price, which is a reason to tread cautiously.

The spinning top also signifies indecision & the high waves of the upper/lower shadows also show that there was a lot of reshuffling of cards amongst players, and that type of repositioning the day before an option’s expiration day is always cause for concern.

Friday couldn’t shake this theme, as the open was on a gap up higher & prices eroded all day until the $225/share mark was temporarily broken through, but prices were propped back up to close at $225.46/share to end the week, which is lower than the opening price of $226.93.

IWM will face an interesting week, as its price currently sits in a price zone that is Seller dominated 3:1, and all of the next four resistance levels are in the same zone.

In the event it gets the volume to break above the $227.17-18 levels it’ll be in a Buyer dominated zone 5:1 where it will need to break above the resistance of the 50 day moving average.

To the downside it has Buyer dominated support levels for the next -4.2%, but if you look at their past year’s chart there hasn’t been much downside testing against these levels, which might occur in the wake of some negative earnings data this week or possible bad economic data next week.

It’s also worth noting that IWM’s long-term trend line (200 DMA) is only ~5% from their closing price on Friday, which resides in a Seller dominated zone & could make for an interesting retest should prices break down.

Otherwise, expect oscillations between the 10 & 50 DMAs until an upside or downside catalyst.

IWM has support at the $225.20 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 3:1), $223.51 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.92:1), $222.12 (10 Day Moving Average, Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.92:1) & $221.04/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.92:1) price levels, with resistance at the $225.73 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 3:1), $226.50 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 3:1), $227.17 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 3:1) & $227.18/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 3:1) price levels.

IWM ETF's Price Level:Volume Sentiment Over The Past ~2 Years
IWM ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment Over The Past ~2 Years

DIA, the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF was up +3.67% for the week last week.

DIA ETF - SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
DIA ETF – SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI has just crossed up above the neutral 50 level & sits at 56.5 following Wednesday & Friday’s gap ups, while their MACD crossed over bullishly on Wednesday.

Volumes were -12.7% lower than the previous year’s average (2,922,000 vs. 3,347,075), which should be noted given that most of the week’s session’s were advances that opened on gap ups, as this exposes weakness in the moves.

Monday DIA opened lower, but rallied on the week’s weakest volumes to close near Friday’s opening price, but the volume weakness was not convincing that there was a true reversal at play.

Tuesday opened on a gap higher to be in-line with the 10 day moving average, but retraced lower throughout the session to below Monday’s close before rallying back to close as a hanging man candle, indicating that there was not particularly strong sentiment abound.

Wednesday opened on a gap higher on the week’s strongest volume, but closed as a spinning top candle, indicating uncertainty among investors, and a great deal of it.

The primary takeaway is that the $430/share level held up & remained resilient, but prices were not able to test the 50 day moving average’s resistance.

Thursday is when things began to look murky, as the session opened slightly lower than Wednesday’s close, and closed in-line with its opening price, forming another spinning top & being a penny shy of a bearish harami candle.

It’s worth noting too that this declining volume was the second lowest of the week, so there was an extreme air of caution.

Friday also flashed warning signs, as the session opened on a gap up to just below the 50 day moving average, temporarily broke out above it, before settling back down to form a gravestone doji candle.

This will be an area to keep an eye on this week, as while their current price zone & the one below it are historically Buyer dominated, they have faced limited downside tests & Friday’s candle doesn’t indicate that there was enough upwards sentiment for DIA.

Another area to watch for DIA is the long-term trend line, which is currently ~6.2% below Friday’s closing price & climbing higher.

This week prices are likely to oscillate around between the 10 & 50 day moving averages, barring some catalyst to the upside or downside.

If the 10 DMA gets retested it is currently in a zone dominated by Sellers 3:1, which would put the $421.56/share support level in DIA’s crosshairs as an important support point.

DIA has support at the $434.71 (50 Day Moving Average, Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.67:1), $431.53 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 5:1), $428.24 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 5:1) & $427.03/share (10 Day Moving Average, Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 3:1) price levels, with resistance at the $443.15 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.67:1) & $450.08/share (10 Day Moving Average, Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 0.4:0*) price levels.

DIA ETF's Price Level:Volume Sentiment Over The Past ~3-4 Years
DIA ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment Over The Past ~3-4 Years

The Week Ahead

Monday there is no economic data due to release as it is Martin Luther King Jr. Day.

There is also no data currently scheduled for release on Tuesday, 1/21/25.

Tuesday morning’s earnings reports feature 3M, Charles Schwab, Community Financial System, D.R. Horton, FB Financial, Fifth Third Bancorp, KeyCorp, New Oriental Education & Technology, Old National Bancorp, Peoples Bancorp, Progressive & Prologis, with Netflix, Agilysys, Canadian National Railway, Capital One Financial, Fulton Financial, Hancock Whitney, Interactive Brokers, Pathward Financial, Pinnacle Financial Partners, Progress Software, RBB Bancorp, Seagate Technology, Simmons First National, United Airlines, Wintrust Financial & Zions Bancorp scheduled to report after the closing bell.

U.S. Leading Economic Indicators are released Wednesday morning at 10 am.

Wednesday morning’s earnings reports include GE Vernova, Abbott Laboratories, Ally Financial, Amphenol, BankUnited, Comerica, Commerce Bancshares, F.N.B. Corp, Halliburton, Johnson & Johnson, OFG Bancorp, Procter & Gamble, TE Connectivity, Textron, Travelers & United Community Banks, with Alcoa, CACI International, Cadence Bank, Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd., Cathay Bancorp, Celestica, Discover Financial Services, Hexcel, Kinder Morgan, Knight-Swift Transportation, National Bank, Plexus, RLI Corp, SL Green Realty, Steel Dynamics, Waste Connections & WesBanco all due to report after the session’s close.

Thursday kicks off with Initial Jobless Claims data at 8:30 am.

Alaska Air Group, American Airlines, Atlantic Union Bankshares, Banc of California, Elevance Health, First Bancorp, FirstService, Freeport-McMoRan, GATX, GE Aerospace, McCormick, Northern Trust, Pacific Premier, Rogers Communications, Teck Resources, Texas Capital, Union Pacific, Valley National & WNS all report earnings on Thursday morning, followed by Associated Banc-Corp, Columbia Banking, CSX, Customers Bancorp, East West Banc, First Financial Bancorp, Glacier Bancorp, Intuitive Surgical, Sallie Mae, South State & Texas Instruments after the closing bell.

S&P Flash U.S. Services PMI & S&P flash U.S. Manufacturing PMI are scheduled for release Friday at 9:45 am, followed by Existing Home Sales & Consumer Sentiment at 10 am.

Friday morning’s earnings reports feature American Express, HCA, Lakeland Financial, NextEra Energy, Northwest Bancshares & Verizon Communications.

See you back here next week!

*** I DO NOT OWN SHARES OR OPTIONS CONTRACT POSITIONS IN SPY, QQQ, IWM OR DIA AT THE TIME OF PUBLISHING THIS ARTICLE ***