Weekly Stock & ETF Market Review 8/27/2023

SPY, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF advanced +0.14% this past week, faring the best of the major indexes.

SPY ETF - The SPDR S&P 500 ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
SPY ETF – The SPDR S&P 500 ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is trying to trend back to neutral & sits on the oversold end of neutral at 45.08, with a bearish MACD that is trying to curl up bullishly.

Volumes were -7.6% below the average for the year prior (78,304,857 vs. 84,743,675) signaling indecision among market participants, but the candlesticks tell a different story.

The week began & ended on spinning top candles, but Thursday’s bearish engulfing candlestick painted the picture that this week & next will likely see some cooling off in SPY’s share price.

The appearance of a bearish head & shoulders pattern is something to be watching out for from a technical perspective.

SPY has support at the $433.01 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.23:1), $415.18 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.57:1), $411.52 (200 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.10:1) & $405.55/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.78:1) price levels, with resistance at the $440.08 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.47:1), $444.73 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.43:1) & $459.44/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.09:1) price levels.

SPY's Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 1-2 Years
SPY’s Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 1-2 Years

QQQ, the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF nudged forward +0.03% this past week, faring second best out of the major indexes.

QQQ ETF - Invesco QQQ Trust ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
QQQ ETF – Invesco QQQ Trust ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is trending back towards neutral, but sits on the oversold end at 45.72, with a MACD that is trying to cross over bullishly in the coming days.

Volumes were +1.22% above average compared to the year prior (56,710,367 vs. 56,026,726), which is not particularly noteworthy.

However, Thursday’s bearish engulfing candle & Friday’s spinning top signal that there is hesitancy on the part of market participants & is signaling more near-term declines on the horizon.

QQQ is also beginning to show signs of developing a bearish head & shoulders pattern in the coming week or two, which is something to keep an eye on.

QQQ has support at the $363.76 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.06:1), $354.71 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.33:1), $319.54 (200 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.29:1) & $312.77/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.94:1) price levels, with resistance overhead at the $370.54 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 9.33:1), $372.74 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.9:0*) & $387.98/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 0.7:0*) price levels.

QQQ ETF's Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 1-2 Years
QQQ ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 1-2 Years

IWM, the iShares Russell 2000 ETF declined -0.21% this past week, faring worse than the S&P 500 & NASDAQ, but outperforming their larger cap peers of the DJIA.

IWM ETF - iShares Russell 2000 ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
IWM ETF – iShares Russell 2000 ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is trying to trend back towards neutral, but sits currently at 37.5 with a bearish MACD that is attempting to smoothen out & cross over bullishly.

Volumes were -14.04% below average compared to the year prior (24,227,429 vs. 28,184,020) as investors were not feeling particularly up for taking risks in the week’s trading range.

Monday’s spinning top set the stage for uncertainty, while the week closed Friday with a dragonfly doji that temporarily broke below their 200 day moving average during the day’s session, indicating another leg lower may be on the horizon.

The downwards pressure of the 10 day moving average looks primed to force a harder test of the 200 DMA as support in the near-term, which may see us finding a third index with a bearish head & shoulders pattern in the coming weeks.

IWM has support at the $183.56 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.05:1), $182.14 (200 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.05:1), $179.28 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.13:1) & $175.34/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.30:1) price levels, with resistance at the $185.42 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.14:1) $185.44 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.14:1), $186.81 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 3.17:1) & $187.48/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 3.17:1) price levels.

IWM ETF's Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 1-2 Years
IWM ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 1-2 Years

DIA, the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF fell -0.34% this past week, as the larger cap stocks in this index fell the most out of favor in the market & many investors were eager to take profits & risk off of the table.

DIA ETF - SPDR Down Jones Industrial Average ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
DIA ETF – SPDR Down Jones Industrial Average ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is trending back towards neutral & sits at 42.38 currently, but their MACD is still bearish.

Volumes were -10.98% below average compared to the year prior (3,261,314 vs. 3,663,626) as there had already been signs of profit taking in the weeks leading up to last week.

Monday kicked the week off with a hanging man candlestick, which is not a good sign & the index continued lower into the rest of the week, closing out on Friday with an indecisive spinning top candle following Thursday’s thwarted attempt to break out beyond the 10 & 50 day moving averages serving currently as resistance.

DIA has support at the $343.17 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.32:1), $340.32 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.32:1), $339.60 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.33:1) & $339.28/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.33:1) price levels, with resistance at the $344.96 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 3.17:1), $345.57 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 3.17:1), $346.07 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 3.17:1) & $356.17/share (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) price levels.

DIA ETF's Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 2-3 Years
DIA ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 2-3 Years

Dynamic Oil & Gas Services (PXJ), Homebuilders (XHB), Natural Gas (FCG) & Japan Hedged Equity (DBJP) Are All Bullishly Leading The Market

PXJ, the Invesco Dynamic Oil & Gas Services ETF has climbed +35.99% over the past year, including a +65.04% improvement from their 52-week low in September of 2022 (ex-distributions).

PXJ ETF - Invesco Dynamic Oil & Gas Services ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
PXJ ETF – Invesco Dynamic Oil & Gas Services ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their MACD is bearish, with a neutral reading on their RSI at 52.1.

Last week’s volume was extremely light, -80.25% compared to the year prior’s average (13,511.6 vs. 68,428.64), as investors took a wait & see approach after the week prior’s profit taking from their recent 52-week high.

Their moving averages are going to be a key area to watch in the coming weeks, as their 10 DMA is adding downward pressure against their price & the 50 DMA will need to serve as a support level soon.

While they offer a 1.17% distribution yield, that is not much downside protection & investors should begin to think of hedging options in the event that the move to the downside continues, such as selling calls or buying puts.

PXJ has support at the $28.43 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.55:1), $27.80 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.63:1), $27.57 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.63:1) & $27.37/share (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.63:1), with resistance at the $28.88 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.55:1), $29.10 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 4.5:1), $29.63 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 4.5:1) & $30.40/share (52-Week High; Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) price levels.

PXJ ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 4-5 Years
PXJ ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 4-5 Years

XHB, the SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF has advanced +24.59% over the past year, climbing +49.71% since their 52-week low in October of 2022 (ex-distributions).

XHB ETF - SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
XHB ETF – SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is trending towards oversold & currently sits at 39.2, with a bearish MACD.

Volumes jumped +16.78% this past week compared to the year prior’s average volume (3,666,170.4 vs. 3,139,319.25), but were not as severe as the prior week’s volumes when investors were taking profits from their recent 52-week high’s consolidation range.

Tuesday’s candlestick was a spinning top which signals indecision by investors & the week ended on an interesting note, as prices opened & closed near the highs of the day’s session, but did retreat below the $78 level for part of the day, which indicates that they may test that level again in the near-term.

It would be wise to look into a hedging strategy, such as selling calls or buying puts in the near-term, as their 0.89% distribution yield does not provide much protection against losses.

XHB has support at the $72.91 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 0.8:0*), $72.61 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 0.8:0*), $70.05 (200 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.23:1) & $68.97/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.05:1) price levels, with resistance at the $80.65 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 5:1), $81.31 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 0.3:0*) & $85.13/share (52-Week High; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 0.2:0*) price levels.

XHB ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 1-2 Years
XHB ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 1-2 Years

FCG, the First Trust Natural Gas ETF has dipped -2.05% over the past year, rising +26.97% from their 52-week low in March of 2023 (ex-distributions).

FCG ETF - First Trust Natural Gas ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
FCG ETF – First Trust Natural Gas ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is neutral at 54.59, but their MACD is bearish.

This past week’s volumes were -75.81% below average compared to the year prior (166,388.6 vs. 687,916.44) as investors took a breather to let the market sort out where FCG is currently valued.

Last week began on a spinning top, before a gap down on Wednesday that closed in a spinning top as there is still much uncertainty about their current value.

Thursday’s session closed in a gravestone doji which signals further declines are on the horizon & Friday’s spinning top’s high price was unable to penetrate the resistance of their 10-day moving average.

This makes it important to be looking for a near-term hedging strategy for any existing positions, as there are other signals of an impending decline on their chart.

FCG has support at the $25.61 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.78:1), $25.58 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.78:1), $25.41 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.78:1) & $25.39/share (Volume Sentiment Buyers, 1.78:1) price levels, with resistance at the $25.83 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.78:1), $25.94 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.78:1), $26.42 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.31:1) & $26.84/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.31:1) price levels.

FCG ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 6-7 Years
FCG ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 6-7 Years

DBJP, the Deutsche X-trackers MSCI Japan Hedged Equity ETF has gained +21.83% over the past year, climbing +24.7% from their 52-week low in October of 2023 (ex-distributions).

DBJP ETF - Deutsche X-trackers MSCI Japan Hedged Equity ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
DBJP ETF – Deutsche X-trackers MSCI Japan Hedged Equity ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is currently neutral at 52.72 & their MACD is set to cross over bullishly in the coming days after they posted a positive week last week.

Volumes were down -48.76% this past week compared to the year prior (15,220.2 vs. 29,703.97) which casts a shadow of doubt on their performance last week, particular as Monday’s session kicked off with a gap up hanging man & Friday’s session ended in a spinning top.

Wednesday’s doji confirms additionally that there is still a lot to be uncertain about on the part of investors for DBJP.

Their 5.31% distribution yield for long-term holders is a decent amount of cushion against losses, but it would be wise to be vigilant & think about hedging options while waiting to see how they behave at their 10 & 50 day moving averages.

Their 10 DMA is currently below the price, but its angle does not look primed to provide much in the way of support, and the 50 DMA is acting as resistance.

DBJP has support at the $58.23 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), $57.89 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), $57.62 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) & $57.45/share (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) price levels, with resistance at the $59.31 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), $59.33 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), $59.41 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) & $59.82/share (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) price levels.

DBJP ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 12-13 Years
DBJP ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 12-13 Years

Real Estate (DRN), Hong Kong (EWH), Space (UFO) & Community Banks (QABA) Are All Bearishly Lagging The Market

DRN, the Direxion Daily Real Estate Bull 3x ETF has fallen -51.12% over the past year, losing -52.51% since their 52-week high in August of 2022, but regaining +14.85% since their 52-week low in October of 2022 (ex-distributions).

DRN ETF - Direxion Daily Real Estate Bull 3x ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
DRN ETF – Direxion Daily Real Estate Bull 3x ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is currently trending back towards neutral after being oversold & sits at 39.76 & their MACD is primed to cross over bullishly in the coming days.

Last weeks trading volume was -13.58% below the past year’s average volume (500,369.2 vs. 578,975.18) which does little along the lines of confirming their rise in price.

Monday’s hammer candlestick paved the way for their short advance during the week, however Friday’s doji is not a sign of confidence among market participants for the near-term.

While they offer a 3.19% distribution yield, it would be smart to begin exploring what hedging options are available for the coming weeks.

DRN has support at the $8.40 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.27:1), $8.34 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.27:1), $8.33 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.27:1) & $8.22/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.27:1) price levels, with resistance at the $8.62 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.03:1), $8.67 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.03:1), $8.82 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.03:1) & $8.93/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.03:1) price levels.

DRN ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 3-4 Years
DRN ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 3-4 Years

EWH, the iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF has lost -13.29% over the past year, dropping -22.25% since their 52-week high in August of 2022, but reclaiming 9.79% since their 52-week low in October of 2022 (ex-distributions).

EWH ETF - iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
EWH ETF – iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is in oversold territory at 29.36 with a bearish MACD after spending the month of August in decline.

Last week’s volume were -23.41% below par, compared to the past year’s average volume (2,385,526.6 vs. 3,114,788.62), as their share price was able to consolidate a bit & begin to establish a range to halt the decline.

Their 3.37% distribution yield provides some protection against further decline, but this is another instance of needing to tread lightly & wait & see where the market goes next while exploring hedging options.

EWH has support at the $17.60 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.31:1), $17.31 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.74:1) & $15.58/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.03:1) price levels, with resistance at the $17.80 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.31:1), $18.27 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.31:1), $18.51 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.05:1) & $18.60/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.05:1) price levels.

EWH ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 19-20 Years
EWH ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 19-20 Years

UFO, the Procure Space ETF has declined -16.98% over the past year, losing -18.92% since their 52-week high in August of 2022 & inching +0.74% from their recent 52-week low (ex-distributions).

UFO ETF - Procure Space ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
UFO ETF – Procure Space ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is oversold at 26.61, with their MACD still in bearish freefall following a rough August.

Last week’s volume was -27.51% below the average volume for the past year (6,773 vs. 9,343.51), as investors became more cautious once their price got within 3% of their 52-week low.

Wednesday’s candle did flash a warning sign of additional declines as it was a gravestone doji, while we wait to see how Friday’s hammer candle sets the tone for this week.

They offer a 2.44% distribution yield, which will not provide much downside protection in the event that they do test their 52-week low in the near-term.

UFO has support at the $17.55 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 0.2:0*), $17.42 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 0.1:0*) & $17.35/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 0.1:0*) price levels, with resistance at the $17.88 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 0.2:0*), $18.34 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.67:1), $18.36 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.67:1) & $18.45/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.67:1) price levels.

UFO ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 3-4 Years
UFO ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 3-4 Years

QABA, the First Trust NASDAQ ABA Community Bank Index Fund ETF has shed -22.28% over the past year, declining -28.07% from their 52-week high in November of 2022 & has rebounded +20.44% from their 52-week low in May of 2023 (ex-distributions).

QABA ETF - First Trust NASDAQ ABA Community Bank Index Fund ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
QABA ETF – First Trust NASDAQ ABA Community Bank Index Fund ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is trending towards oversold territory & currently sits at 37.36 & their MACD is bearish.

Last week’s volume was -76.95% below the past year’s average (8,712.6 vs. 37,796.28), as investors mostly stood on the sidelines & watched their price dip under their 50 DMA & consolidate into a range just beneath it.

The 10 DMA is applying pressure from above which will be something to keep an eye on in the coming week.

Their 3.01% distribution yield offers some relief from further losses, but with their current chart layout this seems better suited to be watched for a while or to pursue hedging options to protect existing positions.

QABA has support at the $41.05 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.08:1), $39.66 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.05:1), $38.45 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2:1) & $36.83/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 10:1) price levels, with resistance at the $41.85 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.08:1), $42.59 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.11:1), $42.61 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.11:1) & $43.14/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.21:1) price levels.

QABA ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 4-5 Years
QABA ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 4-5 Years

Tying It All Together

Monday has no economic data set to be reported, but HEICO will be reporting earnings.

Tuesday kicks the week off on the economic data front with S&P Case Shiller Home Price Index (20 Cities) at 9 am, followed by Job Openings & Consumer Confidence at 10 am.

Ambarella, American Woodmark, Best Buy, Big Lots, Box, Catalent, Donaldson, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, HP, J.M. Smucker, Malibu Boats, NIO, Pinduoduo, PVH & ZTO Express are all reporting earnings on Tuesday.

Wednesday starts with ADP Employment data at 8:15 am, followed by GDP (revision), Advanced U.S. Trade Balance In Goods, Advanced Retail Inventories & Advanced Wholesale Inventories data at 8:30 am & closes out with Pending Home Sales data at 10 am.

Salesforce, Brown-Forman, Chewy, Conn’s, Cooper, CrowdStrike, Five Below, MasterCraft, Okta, Patterson Companies, Veeva Systems & Victoria’s Secret all report earnings on Wednesday.

Thursday morning is a busy one, with Initial Jobless Claims, Personal Income (nominal), Personal Spending (nominal), PCE Index, Core PCE Index, PCE (year-over-year) & Core PCE (year-over-year) at 8:30 am & Chicago Business Barometer data at 9:45 am.

Thursday’s earnings calls include Dell Technologies, Lululemon Athletica, Academy Sports + Outdoors, Broadcom, BRP, Caleres, Campbell Soup, Dollar General, Genesco, Hello Group, Hormel Foods, MongoDB, Nutanix, Ollie’s Bargain Outlet, Signet Jewelers, Titan Machinery, VMWare & UBS.

Friday delivers the U.S. Nonfarm Payroll, U.S. Unemployment Rate, U.S. Hourly Wages, & Hourly Wages Year-over-Year data at 8:30 am, followed by ISM Manufacturing & Construction Spending data at 10 am & no scheduled major earnings reports.

See you back here next week!

**** I DO NOT OWN SHARES OR HAVE OPTIONS CONTRACT POSITIONS IN SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA, PXJ, XHB, FCG, DBJP, DRN, EWH, UFO, or QABA AT THE TIME OF PUBLISHING THIS ARTICLE ***

Weekly Stock & ETF Market Review 8/13/2023

SPY, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF declined -0.26% last week in a week of steady decline for the S&P 500.

SPY ETF - SPDR S&P 500 ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
SPY ETF – SPDR S&P 500 ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is just below neutral at 46.57, but their MACD is in bearish decline.

Volumes were -6.86% below average last week compared to the average for the year prior (78,371,800 vs. 84,142,598) as investors waited to learn more from companies’ earnings reports while taking a breather after hitting a 52-week high a couple of weeks ago.

There were 3 spinning top candlesticks last week, signaling indecision by market participants & this week will be interesting to watch how the 10 & 50 day moving average create pressure on prices, with the 10 DMA applying downward pressure, while the 50 DMA continues to apply upward pressure on SPY’s price.

Another key area to watch in the coming weeks is SPY’s support levels, as aside from their 50 day moving average, the closest support level is a -4.68% decline away, making it important to have an idea as to how their price has behaved at various levels in recent history.

SPY has support at the $442.36 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.47:1), $424.79 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.70:1), $415.18 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.57:1) & $408.33/share (200 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.10:1) price levels, with resistance at the $449.68 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.3:0*) & $459.44/share (52-Week High; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.09:1) price levels.

SPY ETF's Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 1-2 Years
SPY ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 1-2 Years

QQQ, the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF lost -1.56% last week, settling below their 50 day moving average by Friday’s close.

QQQ ETF - Invesco QQQ ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
QQQ ETF – Invesco QQQ ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is trending towards oversold & is currently at 41.33, with their MACD is bearish freefall.

Volumes were -5.57% below average last week compared to the year prior’s average (52,578,850 vs. 55,681,019), as market participants sought to take profits after the ascent of spring & early summer.

Monday’s hanging man candlestick set the tone for the rest of the week’s price range for QQQ, which preceded Tuesday’s hanging man candle.

The week ended on a spinning top candle that closed beneath the 10 & 50 day moving averages, meaning that investors are still not convinced that they need to be buying QQQ & that there is going to be further downside pressure being applied by the moving averages in the near-term.

Much like SPY, QQQ also has a bit of space between its current price & its next support level, with currently a -9.34% space with no support from their current price to the next level beneath it, which investors should be conscientious of.

QQQ has support at the $332.05 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 4:1), $314.92 (200 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.94:1), $312.77 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.94:1) & $308.88/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.32:1) price levels, with resistance at the $368.94 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 9.33:1), $373.66 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.9:0*) & $387.98/share (52-Week High; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 0.7:0*) price levels.

QQQ ETF's Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 1-2 Years
QQQ ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 1-2 Years

IWM, the iShares Russell 2000 ETF declined -1.64% last week, as small cap stocks fared the worst out of the major indexes.

IWM ETF - iShares Russell 2000 ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
IWM ETF – iShares Russell 2000 ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is trending downward & recently crossed below neutral to 46.48, with their MACD in bearish decline.

Last week’s volume was -14.33% lower than the average volume for the year prior (24,026,883 vs. 28,047,249), which shows hesitancy on the part of market participants & a lack of confidence in IWM.

Monday’s hanging man candlestick began the week’s decline, closing lower than it opened, but opening above Friday’s close.

IWM is going to have support coming from their 50 day moving average while the 10 day moving average is applying downwards pressure against their price in the coming week.

Their chart has less risk of price:support level distance than the other indexes as they have traded much more rangebound over the past year than SPY or QQQ.

IWM has support at the $189.12 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.5:1), $187.48 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 3.17:1), $186.81 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 3.17:1) & $185.44/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.14:1) price levels, with resistance at the $194.10 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.75:1), $197.98 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.57:1), $198.74 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.5:1) & $198.75/share (52-Week High; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.5:1) price levels.

IWM ETF's Price:Volume Sentiment For The Past 1-2 Years
IWM ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment For The Past 1-2 Years

DIA, the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF was the sole index to advance last week, adding +0.67% for the week.

DIA ETF - SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
DIA ETF – SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is trending up towards overbought levels, as investors sought the safety of larger cap stocks & is currently at 57.71, but their MACD is bearish after the consolidation of the past 3-4 weeks.

Last week’s volume was -11.61% lower than the average volume for the year prior (3,216,900 vs. 3,639,508), signaling that investors are beginning to show signs of fatigue & are not as enthusiastic about adding risk to their portfolios at this time vs. in the past.

Last week’s candlesticks all traded in a relatively tight range, and the 10 day moving average is going to begin applying downward pressure to prices this week.

Like IWM, DIA has traded much more in ranges this past year compared to SPY & QQQ, so there will be support levels closer to the price level than for the first two ETFs in this article.

DIA has support at the $345.47 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 3.17:1), $344.77 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 3.17:1), $343.68 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.32:1) & $340.82/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.32:1) price levels, with resistance at the $353.10 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 0.2:0*) & $356.70/share (52-Week High; Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) price levels.

DIA ETF's Price:Volume Sentiment For The Past 2-3 Years
DIA ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment For The Past 2-3 Years

Energy (ERX), Japan (DXJ), Emerging Market Dividend Stocks (EDIV) & U.S. Cash Cows (COWZ) Are All Bullishly Leading The Market

ERX, the Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2x Shares ETF has gained +29.08% over the past year, adding 58.01% since their 52-week low in September of 2022 (ex-distributions).

ERX ETF - Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2x Shares ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
ERX ETF – Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2x Shares ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is overbought currently at 73.5, with their MACD still advancing bullishly following the gap up during Wednesday’s session.

Last week’s trading volume was unusually light, coming in at -53.86% below average compared to the year prior (603,380 vs. 1,307,763), which shows reluctance on the part of investors & a more cautious attitude at this price level.

Last week’s chart kicked off with a spinning top, before Tuesday’s session tested the 200 day moving average to the downside & closed higher, before Wednesday’s gap up on a spinning top, followed Thursday by a doji, signaling that there is indeed caution on the part of investors currently.

With a 2.58% distribution yield, there is some cushion for long-term shareholders, however it would be wise to have a hedging strategy in place in the coming weeks for when ERX declines from profit taking after their recent growth.

ERX has support at the $66.45 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.05:1), $65.40 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.05:1), $64.53 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.04:1) & $64.47/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.04:1) price levels, with resistance at the $66.74 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.05:1), $69.03 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.2:1), $71.16 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1:0*) & $73.40/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.8:0*) price levels.

ERX ETF's Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 1-2 Years
ERX ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 1-2 Years

DXJ, the WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund ETF has advanced +34.21% over the past year, climbing +37.78% since their 52-week low in September of 2022 (ex-distributions).

DXJ ETF - WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
DXJ ETF – WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is trending towards overbought conditions currently at 61.45 (70 = overbought), with their MACD looking relatively flat & like it may bearishly crossover in the coming days.

Last week’s volume was -5.87% below average compared to the year prior (420,240 vs. 446,451), following the days of heavier than average volume of the past two weeks as the price sits near its 52-week high.

Tuesday & Wednesday featured some profit taking by investors, with Thursday’s session resulting in a gap up off of their 10 day moving average.

It is worth noting that Wednesday’s session resulted in a doji, Thursday’s session resulted in a spinning top & Friday’s session also closed as a doji, signaling a high degree of uncertainty & caution among market participants.

DXJ’s 10 day moving average will be a key area to keep an eye on in the coming week to see how it supports the current price levels, as you can begin to see it is rolling over bearishly.

DXJ offers a 3.06% distribution yield for long-term holders which provides some cushion against losses, however a hedging strategy in the near-term would be a wise idea as they sit near their 52-week highs while waiting to see how their support levels hold up.

They have support at the $84.23 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 0.2:0*), $84.09 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 0.2:0*), $82.20 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2:1) & $82.12/share (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2:1) price levels, with resistance at the $85.56 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) & $85.60/share (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) price levels.

DXJ ETF's Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 5-6 Years
DXJ ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 5-6 Years

EDIV, the SPDR S&P Emerging Market Dividend ETF has notched +19.82% gains over the past year, adding +38.43% from their 52-week low in November of 2022 (ex-distributions).

EDIV ETF - SPDR S&P Emerging Market Dividend ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
EDIV ETF – SPDR S&P Emerging Market Dividend ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is trending lower & recently just passed through the neutral level after the declines of the past two weeks (currently 46.83), with their MACD in bearish decline.

Volume was +52.39% above average this past week compared to the year prior (50,500 vs. 33,138) as investors were eager to enter back in after some profit taking activity took place near their 52-week high.

Their outlook also looks uncertain in the near-term however, with Monday & Wednesday of last week resulting in hanging man candlesticks, Tuesday being a doji & Thursday & Friday being declining days.

They pay a 3.98% distribution yield for long-term holders, which will provide some cushion against losses, but investors should remain vigilant in the coming week, especially as the 10 & 50 day moving averages move in on either side of the current share price.

EDIV has support at the $29.39 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.04:1), $29.28 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.04:1), $29.07 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.04:1) & $28.19/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.18:1) price levels, with resistance overhead at the $30.26 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.47:1) & $32.08/share (52 Week High; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.13:1) price levels.

EDIV ETF's Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 12-13 Years
EDIV ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 12-13 Years

COWZ, the Pacer U.S. Cash Cows 100 ETF has risen +9.71% over the past year, advancing 29.29% from their 52-week low in September of 2022 (ex-distributions).

COWZ ETF - Pacer U.S. Cash Cows 100 ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
COWZ ETF – Pacer U.S. Cash Cows 100 ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is currently overbought at 72.56 after a strong July, with their MACD bearish but relatively flat.

Last week’s volume was -8.76% below average compared to the year prior (1,595,160 vs. 1,748,296), as investors have become nervous now that the price level is near their 52-week high.

Wednesday’s session resulted in a gravestone doji, which sends a foreboding message into the coming weeks when combined with Thursday’s candle to create a bearish engulfing pattern, which tends to signal further declines are on the horizon.

COWZ pays a 1.83% distribution yield to long-term holders, which does not provide much protection against a downside movement, making it important to have a hedging strategy or to take some profits now while they are at these high levels.

They have support at the $51.08 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), $50.26 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.67:1), $49.09 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 3.21:1) & $48.86/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.12:1) price levels, with resistance at the $52.09/share (52-Week High; Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0;0*) price level.

COWZ ETF's Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 4-5 Years
COWZ ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 4-5 Years

20+ Year Treasuries (UBT), Clean Energy (ACES), China (CNYA) & Gold Miners (GDX) Are All Bearishly Lagging The Market

UBT, the ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury ETF has fallen -33.65% over the past year, losing -36.16% from their 52-week high in August of 2022, but has inched forward +3.77% from their 52-week low in October of 2022 (ex-distributions).

UBT ETF - ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
UBT ETF – ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is trending towards oversold, with their MACD in bearish decline following the losses they began incurring in mid-July.

Last week’s volumes were -69.35% below average compared to the year prior (33,100 vs. 108,005), as there was limited enthusiasm amongst investors as their share price began to approach their 52-week low.

While Friday’s session ended in an inverted hammer candlestick which is often a signal of an impending bullish reversal, when paired with the low volume it would be best to wait & see how their current support levels & resistance levels hold up before entering into a position.

Pair that with the 2.07% distribution yield that they offer to long-term holders & there is limited upside to entering into a new position here at these levels until they establish a more steady footing.

UBT has support at the $21.15 (Volume Sentiment: Even, 1:1), $21.00 (Volume Sentiment: Even, 1:1) & $20.36/share (52-Week Low; Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) price levels, with resistance at the $22.13 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.18:1), $22.42 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.18:1), $23.03 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.25:1) & $23.14/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.25:1) price levels.

UBT ETF's Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 3-4 Years
UBT ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 3-4 Years

ACES, the ALPS Clean Energy ETF has declined -35.99% over the past year, shedding -37.21% since their 52-week high in August of 2022, but has rebounded +6.25% from their 52-week low in May of 2023 (ex-distributions).

ACES ETF - ALPS Clean Energy ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
ACES ETF – ALPS Clean Energy ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is trending toward oversold, with their MACD currently in a bearish decline.

Last week’s volumes were -9.08% below the year prior’s average trading volumes (75,020 vs. 82,509), as investors watched to see how their support levels held up as they moved down towards their 52-week low.

Friday’s dragonfly doji candle gives a glimmer of hope to a near-term reversal, but market participants would be wise to wait to see more concrete evidence of an uptrend before entering into a position.

Their meager 1.18% distribution yield will also not provide much protection against any further moves to the downside, making it essential to have some form of a hedge up for any current or new positions in ACES.

ACES has support at the $42.45 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.67:1), $42.21 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.67:1), $42.17 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.67:1) & $40.14/share (52-Week Low; Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) price levels, with resistance at the $42.87 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.67:1), $43.30 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.21:1), $43.72 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.21:1) & $44.50/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.36:1) price levels.

ACES ETF's Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 2-3 Years
ACES ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 2-3 Years

CNYA, the iShares MSCI China ETF has lost -14.55% over the past year, declining -17.62% from their 52-week high in August of 2022, while recovering +6.36% from their 52-week low in October of 2022 (ex-distributions).

CNYA ETF - iShares MSCI China ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
CNYA ETF – iShares MSCI China ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is trending towards oversold & their MACD is in bearish decline after Friday’s -3.09% gap down session.

Last week’s volume was -49.25% below the year prior’s average volume (60,680 vs. 119,572) signaling that there is uncertainty among market participants at the current price levels.

The inability of their moving averages to hold up as support levels further confirms that, as from Monday’s session onward they continued to sink beneath the 10 day moving average & then the 50 DMA as well.

Wednesday’s hanging man candlestick & Thursday’s shooting star that was held underneath the 10 day moving average predicted the sharp decline seen Friday & investors should remain weary of this name until they’ve established more solid footing beneath them.

While they do offer a 2.83% distribution yield for long-term holders, that is limited protection against further declines.

CNYA has support at the $29.18 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.1:1), $29.15 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.1:1), $28.88 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.5:1) & $28.84/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.5:1) price levels, with resistance at the $29.62 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.1:1), $29.85 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.1:1), $30.14 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.3:1) & $30.19/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.3:1) price levels.

CNYA ETF's Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 5-6 Years
CNYA ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 5-6 Years

GDX, the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF has advanced +12.5% over the past year, but has fallen -18.75% from their 52-week high in May of 2023, while recovering +36.9% from their 52-week low in September of 2022 (ex-distributions).

GDX ETF - VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
GDX ETF – VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is trending back up towards neutral at 42.3, with their MACD trending back towards a bullish crossover.

Last week’s volume was -46.07% below the year prior’s average (12,724,480 vs. 23,594,986) signaling hesitance among investors.

Tuesday’s spinning top & Wednesday’s doji also support this sentiment, as investors do not seem confident in GDX’s current price level at this time.

They offer a 1.62% distribution yield for long-term holders, which does not provide much protection against downside moves.

GDX has support at the $28.91 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.37:1), $28.67 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.37:1), $28.41 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.37:1) & $28.02/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.37:1) price levels, with resistance at the $29.59 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.03:1), $29.77 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.03:1), $29.95 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.03:1) & $29.99/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.03:1) price levels.

GDX ETF's Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 6-7 Years
GDX ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment Over The Past 6-7 Years

Tying It All Together

Next week is quiet on the data reports front on Monday, with Tuesday featuring U.S. Retail Sales, Retail Sales Minus Autos, Import Price Index, Import Price Index Minus Fuel & the Empire State Manufacturing Survey at 8:30 am, followed by Business Inventories data at 10 am.

Monday’s earnings reports include Alcon, Heron Therapeutics, JinkoSolar & Monday.com.

Home Depot is scheduled to report earnings on Tuesday, as are Agilent, Cardinal Health, CAVA Group, Coherent, H & R Block, HUYA, IHS Holding, On, Sea Limited & Tencent Music.

Wednesday kicks off with Housing Starts at 8:30 am, followed by Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization at 9:15 am & the FOMC Minutes of July’s Meeting at 2 pm.

Cisco Systems reports earnings on Wednesday, as does 3D Systems, Alarm.com, AppLovin, Ballard Power, Clean Energy Fuels, Coeur Mining, Enersys, Genpact, GoodRX, Illumina, Infinera, Jack in the Box, Jazz Pharma, Lions Gate Entertainment, LL Flooring Holdings, Manulife Financial, Nomad Foods, ODP Corp., OGE Energy, Pan Am Silver, PENN Entertainment, Plug Power, Reynolds Consumer Products, Roblox, Statasys, Taboola, The Beauty Health Company, The Trade Desk, Valvoline, Vertex, Warby Parker, Wendy’s & Wynn Resorts.

Thursday features Initial Jobless Claims & the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey at 8:30 am, followed by the U.S. Leading Economic Indicators at 10 am.

Walmart headlines the earnings reports for Thursday, as well as Applied Materials, Bilibili, Dole, Farfetch, Keysight Technologies, Lumentum, Ross Stores & Tapestry.

Friday has no economic data being released, with earnings reports scheduled to come from Buckle, Deere, Estee Lauder, Palo Alto Networks & VIPShop.

See you back here next week!

*** I DO NOT OWN SHARES OR OPTIONS CONTRACT POSITIONS IN SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA, ERX, DXJ, EDIV, COWZ, UBT, ACES, CNYA or GDX AT THE TIME OF PUBLISHING THIS ARTICLE ***

Weekly Stock & ETF Market Review 7/23/2023

SPY, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF nudged forward +0.65% this past week, as earnings reports began coming in & in a week with limited economic data reported.

SPY ETF - SPDR S&P 500 ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
SPY ETF – SPDR S&P 500 ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI ducked just inside of being in overbought territory & currently sits at 68.82, but their MACD is signaling a bearish crossover is going to occur in the coming days.

Last week’s average trading volumes were -17.96% below average compared to the year prior (68,485,850 vs. 83,473,641), as investors really didn’t have much conviction one way or the other & are awaiting more earnings reports, as well as the economic data & Federal Reserve Interest Rate announcement that are due this upcoming week.

The 10 day moving average will be interesting to watch this week, as it is the first level of support that SPY will test & all of its support levels are relatively spread out from one another, which will make for an interesting week if they decline as there is not much stable footing nearby below them.

For a list of price levels & their associated volume sentiments refer to the table below.

SPY has support at the $449.16 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.3:0*), $431.06 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.10:1), $424.79 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.7:1) & $415.18/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.57:1) price levels, with resistance at the $452.69 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.2:1), $456.43 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.09:1), $460.87 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2:1) & $468.78/share (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) price levels.

SPY ETF's Price:Volume Level Sentiment For The Past 1-2 Years
SPY ETF’s Price:Volume Level Sentiment For The Past 1-2 Years

QQQ, the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF declined -0.91% over the past week, signaling the first weakness of the indexes as it was the only one to decline.

QQQ ETF - Invesco QQQ Trust ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
QQQ ETF – Invesco QQQ Trust ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI has retreated from overbought conditions to sitting on the overbought end of neutral at 58.87 & their MACD has bearishly crossed over.

Last week’s average trading volumes were +1.33% above average volumes for the year prior (56,297,367 vs. 55,559,565), signaling that profits were being taken before a rate hike announcement or set of bad earnings calls could send everyone out of the pool in a hurry.

Wednesday’s spinning top candle got the decline rolling, with Friday’s candlestick unable to close above the 10 day moving average, a breakdown of support at that level.

There are two gaps that need to be tested/filled before the next support level for QQQ, which is the 50 day moving average.

Much like SPY, QQQ also has a wide spread between its current support levels, which makes it worthwhile to check the volume sentiment by price level table below to get an idea as to how market participants may behave at each level listed.

QQQ has support at the $356.70 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.82:1), $322.05 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.51:1), $312.77 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.94:1) & $308.88/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.32:1) price levels, with resistance at the $377.20 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.5:1), $387.98 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 0.7:0*), $400.45 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) & $404.02/share (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) price levels.

QQQ ETF's Price:Volume Level Sentiment For The Past 1-2 Years
QQQ ETF’s Price:Volume Level Sentiment For The Past 1-2 Years

IWM, the iShares Russell 2000 ETF notched +1.53% this past week, second only to their larger cap Dow Jones Industrial Average counterparts.

IWM ETF - iShares Russell 2000 ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
IWM ETF – iShares Russell 2000 ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is retreating from near-overbought levels & is currently at 63.25, with their MACD signaling a bearish crossover is set to take place in the coming days.

Last week’s average trading volumes were -1.83% below the average volume for the year prior (27,321,683 vs. 27,829,759), signaling uncertainty among market participants & likely indicating some late in the week profit taking.

Wednesday’s session closed in a doji, which kicked off the running to the door & declines seen the rest of the week, but prices were able to maintain above the open of Tuesday’s session.

Much like the other indexes, IWM’s Price:Volume table will provide key insights into investors sentiment at each of their price levels & should be reviewed before this potentially volatile week begins.

However, IWM has closer support levels than many of their peers which can help to slow down any declines.

IWM has support at the $193.04 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.67:1), $187.48 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 3.17:1), $186.81 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 3.17:1) & $185.44/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.14:1) price levels, with resistance at the $197.66 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.57:1), $197.98 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.57:1), $198.74 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.5:1) & $204.46/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 0.5:0*) price levels.

IWM ETF's Price:Volume Level Sentiment For The Past 1-2 Years
IWM ETF’s Price:Volume Level Sentiment For The Past 1-2 Years

DIA, the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF advanced +2.17% over the past week, faring the best of all of the major indexes, as investors looked favorably on large cap names.

DIA ETF - SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
DIA ETF – SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is overbought at 72.21, with their MACD beginning to signal a bearish crossover is on the horizon in the coming days.

Last week’s average trading volume was +11.46% higher than the average trading volume of the year prior (4,028,917 vs. 3,614,653), with the most volume of the week happening on Wednesday’s gap up session that closed in a shooting star candle, signaling a potential reversal on the horizon.

Thursday also resulted in a shooting star, with Friday’s candle closing as a spinning top, all ultimately showing that investors are walking on egg shells & prepared for the market to reverse at any moment.

DIA has support at the $346.33 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 3.17:1), $345.47 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.32:1), $343.68 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.32:1) & $340.82/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.32:1) price levels, with resistance at the $353.38 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 0.2:0*), $353.62 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 0.2:0*) & $358.47/share (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) price levels.

DIA ETF's Price:Volume Level Sentiment For The Past 2-3 Years
DIA ETF’s Price:Volume Level Sentiment For The Past 2-3 Years

Oil Services (OIH), Europe (EURL), Financials (FAS) & Colombia (GXG) Are All Bullishly Leading The Market

OIH, the VanEck Vectors Oil Services ETF has gained +57.51% over the past year, with +65.7% growth from their 52-week low in September of 2022 (ex-distributions).

OIH ETF - VanEck Vectors Oil Services ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
OIH ETF – VanEck Vectors Oil Services ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is overbought at 74 & their MACD is beginning to roll over bearishly, with an impending bearish crossover in the coming days.

Last week’s average trading volume was -30.01% less than the average volume for the year prior (511,100 vs. 730,220), signaling hesitancy among investors.

Tuesday’s session saw the most volume, with the following three sessions reflecting profit taking that resulted in three bearish spinning top candles.

OIH offers a modest 0.88% distribution yield, making it important to have a hedging strategy in place, either by selling calls, buying puts or another options hedging strategy in the near-term.

OIH has support at the $324.61 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.93:1), $319.53 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.68:1), $310.00 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.64:1) & $305.99/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.5:1) price levels, with resistance at the $331.64 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 3.82:1), $332.18 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), $335.40 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) & $336.30 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*).

OIH ETF's Price:Volume Level Sentiment For The Past 1-2 Years
OIH ETF’s Price:Volume Level Sentiment For The Past 1-2 Years

EURL, the Direxion Daily FTSE Europe Bull 3x Shares ETF has advanced +46.47% over the past year & has recovered an astounding +154.44% from their 52-week low in October of 2022 (ex-distributions).

EURL ETF - Direxion Daily FTSE Europe Bull 3x Shares ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
EURL ETF – Direxion Daily FTSE Europe Bull 3x Shares ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is currently at 60.73 & their MACD is beginning to signal weakness & an impending bearish crossover, as prices have spent the last week & a half relatively flat in a consolidation range.

Last week’s average trading volumes were -44.88% lower than the average volumes for the year prior (20,400 vs. 37,011), signaling sever uncertainty & hesitancy on the part of market participants.

The week before ended on Friday with a bearish engulfing pattern, with Monday kicking the week off with a doji candlestick & Wednesday & Friday following suit with the candlestick of uncertainty.

Wednesday’s dragonfly doji hints that the price level is unsustainable & will be reversing in the near-future.

EURL pays a 1.85% distribution yield to long-term holders, which provides some cushion against losses, but a hedging strategy would be wise at this time as the chart is signaling that there is a cool off period coming soon.

EURL has support at the $23.65 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.35:1), $23.41 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.35:1), $23.25 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.35:1) & $22.72/share (Volume Sentiment: Even, 1:1) price levels, with resistance at the $24.54 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2:1), $24.69 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2:1), $28.80 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 3.29:1) & $29.14/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 5:1) price levels.

EURL ETF's Price:Volume Level Sentiment For The Past 2-3 Years
EURL ETF’s Price:Volume Level Sentiment For The Past 2-3 Years

FAS, the Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares ETF has climbed only +5.46% over the past year, but has improved +47.71% from their 52-week low in March of 2023 (ex-distributions).

FAS ETF - Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
FAS ETF – Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is overbought at 71.89, with their MACD beginning to signal that a bearish crossover is on the horizon, just as their 10 day moving average is bullishly crossing their 200 day moving average.

Last week’s average trading volume was +76.82% higher than the average trading volume of the year prior (2,559,900 vs. 1,447,726), as investors were eagerly buying the stock all week, before being twice as eager to take profits on Friday.

Friday’s candlestick’s body covered a wide range, with its closing price being about halfway down Thursday’s candle & the lower shadow extending 75% of the way down it, signaling that there is a good amount of downside sentiment at these price levels.

FAS offers a 1.85% distribution yield to long-term holders, which will not provide much protection against a draw down, making it important to examine hedging strategies or consider trimming positions for some profits in the near-term.

FAS has support at the $68.60 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.6:1), $68.30 (200 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.6:1), $66.77 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) & $66.69/share (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) price levels, with resistance at the $72.65 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.5:1), $74.17 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 5:1), $75.68 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.3:0*) & $76.43/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.5:1) price levels.

FAS ETF's Price:Volume Level Sentiment For The Past 1-2 Years
FAS ETF’s Price:Volume Level Sentiment For The Past 1-2 Years

GXG, the Global X MSCI Colombia ETF has risen +7.74% over the past year, including a +29.28% climb from their 52-week low in March of 2023 (ex-distributions).

GXG ETF - Global X MSCI Colombia ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
GXG ETF – Global X MSCI Colombia ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is overbought at 70.2, with their MACD beginning to roll over in preparation for a bearish crossover in the coming sessions.

Last week’s average trading volume was -44.23% lower than the year prior’s average volumes (10,083 vs. 18,080), and the candlesticks further confirm the uncertainty of market participants.

Monday kicked off with a dragofly doji, followed by a gap up Tuesday & a dragonfly doji Wednesday that set the range for Thursday’s session, which was capped off by an ominous hanging man candle on Friday.

The 10 day moving average will be important to watch here, as it near’s the gap that was created last week & would be the support level in that area.

GXG pays a 6.32% distribution yield, which provides some protection against losses, but a hedging strategy or profit taking would be advisable based on the uncertainty reflected in their chart.

GXG has support at the $22.16 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.74:1), $22.14 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.74:1), $22.10 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.74:1) & $21.50/share (Volume Sentiment: Even, 1:1) price levels, with resistance at the $22.79 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.74:1), $23.36 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.31:1), $23.55 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.31:1) & $24/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.17:1) price levels.

GXG ETF's Price:Volume Level Sentiment For The Past 7-8 Years
GXG ETF’s Price:Volume Level Sentiment For The Past 7-8 Years

Regional Banks (DPST), China Small Caps (ECNS), Base Metals (DBB) & 1-3 Year Treasuries (SHY) Are All Bearishly Lagging The Market

DPST, the Direxion Daily Regional Banks Bull 3x Shares ETF has fallen -71.92% over the past year, losing -80.22% from their 52-week high in August of 2022, but has reclaimed +123.99% from their 52-week low in May of 2023 (ex-distributions).

DPST ETF - Direxion Daily Regional Banks Bull 3x Shares ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
DPST ETF – Direxion Daily Regional Banks Bull 3x Shares ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is 64.78 as it retreats back from overbought conditions, with their MACD beginning to signal a bearish crossover on the horizon.

Last weeks average trading volume was +261.84% higher than their prior year’s average volume (2,569,450 vs. 710,111), as Tuesday & Wednesday showed strong investor enthusiasm, with Thursday’s dragonfly doji candle setting the reversal stage for profit taking to continue into Friday.

DPST pays a 3.21% distribution yield, but it is still wise to begin looking for an appropriate hedging strategy to protect holdings from near-term declines.

DPST has support at the $76.41 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1:0*), $71.95 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.5:0*), $70.05 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.87:1) & $69.15/share (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 6.42:1) price levels, with resistance at the $166.40 (200 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), $197.49 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), $203.48 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) & $231.79/share (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) price levels.

DPST ETF's Price:Volume Level Sentiment For The Past 1-2 Years
DPST ETF’s Price:Volume Level Sentiment For The Past 1-2 Years

ECNS, the iShares MSCI China Small-Cap ETF has declined -17.12% over the past year, falling -28.39% from their 52-week high in February of 2023, but has reclaimed +10.58% since their 52-week low in October of 2022 (ex-distributions).

ECNS ETF - iShares MSCI China Small-Cap ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
ECNS ETF – iShares MSCI China Small-Cap ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is on the oversold end of neutral at 46.79, with their MACD already pointing bearishly & crossing over into weakness.

Last week’s average volume was -79.81% lower than the year prior’s average trading volume (3,633 vs. 18,000) signaling extreme uncertainty by market participants.

Monday began the week with a gap down, with Wednesday’s shooting star candlestick pushing the price range even lower into Thursday’s gap down doji candle.

The 10 & 50 day moving averages are now acting as resistance just overhead of ECNS & should be expected to continue applying downside pressure to them.

A 3.41% distribution yield will help protect against some losses, but a more comprehensive hedging strategy or profit taking should be considered at this time.

ECNS has support at the $28.98 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.87:1), $28.25 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.87:1), $28.10 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.87:1) & $28.09/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.87:1) price levels, with resistance at the $29.70 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.05:1), $29.78 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.05:1), $30.11 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.12:1) & $30.50/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.12:1) price levels.

ECNS ETF's Price:Volume Level Sentiment For The Past 8-9 Years
ECNS ETF’s Price:Volume Level Sentiment For The Past 8-9 Years

DBB, the Invesco DB Base Metals Fund ETF has lost -0.05% over the past year, declining -18.4% from their 52-week high in January of 2023 & has only managed to recover +4.77% from their 52-week low in May of 2023 (ex-distributions).

DBB ETF - Invesco DB Base Metals Fund ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
DBB ETF – Invesco DB Base Metals Fund ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is neutral at 50.48, with their MACD about to cross over bearishly in the next day or two’s session.

Last week’s average trading volume was -52.29% below the year prior’s average volumes (95,433 vs. 200,043), another signal of uncertainty & weakness for DBB in the eyes of traders & investors.

Monday last week kicked off with a gap down, followed by two more days of declines before two very light volume, but high price range (large full bodies of the candles) trading sessions, which are not indicative of market strength of sentiment.

DBB offers a 1.01% distribution yield for long-term investors, which will not provide much protection against any downside moves, making it worth looking into hedging options for the near-term.

DBB has support at the $18.15 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.23:1), $18.14 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.23:1), $17.65 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.10:1) & $17.52/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.10:1) price levels, with resistance at the $18.31 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.23:1), $18.59 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.11:1), $18.73 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.11:1) & $18.84/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.11:1) price levels.

DBB ETF's Price:Volume Level Sentiment For The Past 14-15 Years
DBB ETF’s Price:Volume Level Sentiment For The Past 14-15 Years

SHY, the iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF has inched forward +0.2% over the past year, but has fallen -1.28% from their 52-week high in May of 2023, while recovering +2.51% since their 52-week low in November of 2022 (ex-distributions).

SHY ETF - iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
SHY ETF – iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is currently neutral at 52.22, with their MACD rolling over to bearishly cross over in the coming week.

Their average volume last week was -12.21% lower than the year prior’s average volume (5,085,816 vs. 5,793,464) as investors are showing hesitancy to do much at these price levels.

Three dragonfly dojis last week confirm the lack of enthusiasm & overall skepticism about the near-term, with one on Monday to start the week, and Thursday & Friday also closing with them right up against the resistance of the 10 day moving average.

SHY offers a 2.31% distribution yield for long-term holders, but given the nature of the last week’s technicals, it would be wise to take some profits or find a hedging solution for the week ahead.

SHY has closed Friday at its 10 Day Moving Average, and has support at the $81.01 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.43:1), $80.93 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.09:1), $80.92 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.09:1) & $80.61/share (200 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.09:1) price levels, with resistance at the $81.17 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.43:1), $81.19 (2 Touch-points; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.43:1), $81.38 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.43:1) & $81.43/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.43:1) price levels.

SHY ETF's Price:Volume Level Sentiment For The Past 2-3 Years
SHY ETF’s Price:Volume Level Sentiment For The Past 2-3 Years

Tying It All Together

Next week is going to be busy on both the earnings & market data fronts.

Monday begins with S&P “Flash” U.S. Manufacturing PMI & S&P “Flash” U.S. Services PMI data released at 9:45 am.

On the earnings front, Agilysys, AGNC Investment, Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Brown & Brown, Cadence Design, Cleveland Cliffs, Domino’s Pizza, F5 Networks, Logitech International, Medpace, NextGen Healthcare, NXP Semiconductors, Packaging Corp of America, Range Resources, Simpson Manufacturing & Whirlpool are all set to report earnings data on Monday.

S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index (20 Cities) data comes out Tuesday at 9 am, followed by Consumer Confidence Data at 10 am.

Alphabet, Microsoft, 3M, Alaska Air, Albertsons, Archer-Daniels-Midland, Ashland, Avery Dennison, Biogen, Cal-Maine Foods, Canadian National Railway, Chubb, Corning, Danaher, Dover, Dow, GE Health Care, General Electric, General Motors, Invesco, Kimberly-Clark, Lamb Weston, Moody’s, MSCI, NextEra Energy, NextEra Energy Partners, Nucor, NVR, PacWest Bancorp, PulteGroup, Sherwin-Williams, Snap, Spotify, Texas Instruments, TransUnion, Universal Health, Verizon Communications, Visa, Waste Management, West Fraser & Xerox will all report earnings on Tuesday.

Wednesday kicks off with New Homes Sales data at 10 am, followed by the FOMC Decision On Interest-Rate Policy at 2pm & Fed Chairman Powell’s Press Conference at 2:30pm.

For earnings calls, Wednesday brings us Alkermes, Align Technology, American Water Works, AT&T, Automatic Data Processing, Boeing, Check Point Software, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Churchill Downs, CME Group, Coca-Cola, eBay, Fiserv, Flex, General Dynamics, Graco, Group 1 Auto, Helmerich & Payne, Hess, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, IDEX Corp, Invitation Homes, Lam Research, Lending Club, Mattel, Meta Platforms, Molina Healthcare, Navient, New Oriental Education & Technology, O’Reilly Automotive, Old Dominion, Otis Worldwide, Owens Corning, Patterson-UTI, Penske Auto, Pilgrim’s Pride, Quest Diagnostics, Ryder Systems, Seagate Technology, ServiceNow, Sun Communities, Teradyne, Thermo Fish Scientific, Tilray, Tower Semiconductor, Union Pacific, United Rentals, VICI Properties, Western Union & Wyndham Hotels & Resorts.

Thursday looks to be busy, with Initial Jobless Claims, Durable-Goods Orders, Durable Goods-Minus Transportation, GDP (Advanced report), Advanced U.S. Trade Balance In Goods, Advanced Retail Inventories & Advanced Wholesale Inventories data all reported at 8:30am & Pending Home Sales data at 10 am.

Amazon.com, AbbView, AGCO Corp, Alliance Bernstein, American Electric Power, American Homes 4 Rent, American Tower, ArcelorMittal, Beazer Homes, Boston Beer, Boston Scientific, Boyd Gaming, Bristol Myers Squibb, Chemours, Cincinnati Financial, Comcast, Coursera, Crocs, Cullen/Frost, Deckers Outdoor, Digital Realty Trust, Enphase Energy, Equity Residential, Essex Property, Federated Hermes, First Solar, Ford Motor, Gaming & Leisure Properties, W.W. Grainger, Harley-Davidson, Hershey Foods, Hertz Global, Hilton Grand Vacations, Honeywell, Internatonal Paper, Intel, Juniper Networks, Keurig Dr. Pepper, Kimco Realty, Labratory Corp of America, LendingTree, Linde, Martin Marietta, Masco, Mastercard, McDonald’s, MDC Holdings, Melco Resorts & Entertainment, Mobileye Global, Mondelez International, Neogen, Norfolk Southern, Northrop Grumman, Olin, Oshkosh, Overstock.com, Peabody Energy, PG&E, Roku, Royal Caribbean, S&P Global, Sketchers USA, Southwest Air, Sweetgreen, STMicroelectronics, Texas Roadhouse, T-Mobile US, Tractor Supply Company, Tradeweb Markets, U.S. Steel, Valero Energy, Verisign, Willis Towers Watson & Weyerhauser are all set to report earnings on Thursday.

8:30 am Friday starts off with Personal Income (nominal), Personal Spending (nominal), PCE Index, Core PCE Index, PCE (Year-over-Year), Core PCE (Year-over-Year) & Employment Cost Index Data, followed by Consumer Sentiment (final) data reported at 10am.

Wrapping up the week in earnings on Friday are Aon, AstraZeneca, Barnes Group, Booz Allen Hamilton, Centene, Chart Industries, Charter Communications, Chevron, Church & Dwight, Colgate-Palmolive, Exxon Mobile, Franklin Resources, Newell Brands, Newmark Group, Procter & Gamble, Saia, Sanofi, T. Rowe Price, W.P. Carey & Wisdom Tree.

See you back here next week!

*** I DO NOT OWN SHARES OR OPTIONS CONTRACT POSITIONS IN SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA, OIH, EURL, FAS, GXG, DPST, ECNS, DBB or SHY AT THE TIME OF PUBLISHING THIS ARTICLE ***

Price:Volume Sentiment Analysis For The S&P 500 (SPY), NASDAQ (QQQ), Russell 2000 (IWM & Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA)

As I pointed out in last night’s weekly market review note, the S&P 500 & NASDAQ are at 52-week highs & the Russell 2000 & Dow Jones Industrial Average are near theirs.

RSI’s are all flashing overbought signals & we are entering earnings season, one which many analysts have reported would likely be weaker than anticipated.

At times like these, it is important to have an understanding of what the landscape beneath current pricing levels looks like, both in terms of the technicals on a chart & in sentiment of investors.

The following Price:Volume Sentiment analysis breaks down investor sentiments at the price levels that SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF), QQQ (Invesco QQQ Trust ETF, which tracks the NASDAQ), IWM (iShares Russell 2000 ETF) & DIA (SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF) have traded at over the past one-to-three years.

It can be used as a barometer that gauges how market participants have felt at various times during that period when the securities’ prices were within the box-ranges listed below.

The bold prices on the images & lists below denote the moving average levels just listed & the bold entries in the list form of the analysis under the images include other levels of support.

Each corresponding price level has a ratio of Buyers:Sellers (or Sellers:Buyers), NULL values denote that there was not enough data, so the ratio would’ve been 0:0.

Ratios with a 0 for the denominator/constant are denoted with an *, but are reported as is, as we are accounting for volume/sentiment.

Also, as there is such a wide spread between many price levels having activity data, many of the levels are marked NULL, as there was limited volume data for them, and they were not included in the long lists below unless they were relevant to support/resistance levels.

The following is meant to serve as a reference to how market participants have behaved historically at these price levels & is neither investment advice nor recommendations of any kind.

Price:Volume Sentiment Analysis For SPY, The SPDR S&P 500 ETF

SPY ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
SPY ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Last week SPY gapped up on Wednesday to a new price range, however the volumes behind the week’s trading was lacluster.

With an overbought RSI, wise investors/traders who are in SPY should begin looking into their support levels.

For the detailed chart breakdown, please see last night’s post here.

The data below can serve as a tool to help investors figure out how price may behave at each price level should the index return to it.

SPY ETF’s Volume By Price Level, Including At Support & Resistance Levels From The Past One To Two Years
SPY ETF’s Volume By Price Level, Including At Support & Resistance Levels From The Past One To Two Years
SPY ETF’s Volume By Price Level, Including At Support & Resistance Levels From The Past One To Two Years
SPY ETF’s Volume By Price Level, Including At Support & Resistance Levels From The Past One To Two Years
SPY ETF’s Volume By Price Level, Including At Support & Resistance Levels From The Past One To Two Years
SPY ETF’s Volume By Price Level, Including At Support & Resistance Levels From The Past One To Two Years

SPY ETF’s Volume Sentiment By Price Level

(*BOLD denotes a Moving Average)
$472 – NULL – 0:0*; 5.06% From Current Price

$468 – NULL – 0:0*; 4.17% From Current Price

$464 – Buyers – 1.2:1; 3.28% From Current Price

$460 – Sellers – 2:1; 2.39% From Current Price

$456 – Buyers – 1.09:1; 1.5% From Current Price

$452 – Sellers – 1.2:1; 0.61% From Current Price

$448 – Sellers – 1.3:0*; -0.28% From Current Price

$444 – Buyers – 1.43:1; -1.18% From Current Price

$440 – Buyers – 2.47:1; -2.07% From Current Price

$436 – Even – 1:1; -2.96% From Current Price

$432 – Buyers – 1.23:1; -3.85% From Current Price

$428 – Seller s- 1.10:1; -4.74% From Current Price

$424 – Sellers – 1.70:1; -5.63% From Current Price

$420 – Buyers – 1.391; -6.52% From Current Price

$416 – Buyers – 1.43:1; -7.41% From Current Price

$412 – Buyers – 1.57:1; -8.3% From Current Price

$408 – Buyers – 1.10:1; -9.19% From Current Price

$404 – Sellers – 1.78:1; -10.08% From Current Price

$400 – Sellers – 1.12:1; -10.97% From Current Price

$396 – Buyers – 1.92:1; -11.86% From Current Price

$392 – Buyers – 2.04:1; -12.75% From Current Price

$388 – Sellers – 1.33:1; -13.64% From Current Price

$384 – Sellers – 3.38:1; -14.53% From Current Price

$380 – Sellers – 1.67:1; -15.42% From Current Price

$376 – Sellers – 2.4:1; -16.31% From Current Price

$372 – Sellers – 1.65:1; -17.2% From Current Price

$368 – Sellers – 1.28:1; -18.09% From Current Price

$364 – Sellers – 2.33:1; -18.98% From Current Price

$360 – Buyers – 1.67:1; -19.87% From Current Price

$356 – Sellers – 4:1; -20.76% From Current Price

$352 – Sellers – 3.2:0*; -21.65% From Current Price

$348 – NULL – 0:0*; -22.54% From Current Price

Price:Volume Sentiment Analysis For QQQ, The Invesco QQQ Trust ETF That Tracks The NASDAQ

QQQ ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
QQQ ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

QQQ is also in overbought territory, making it essential to have an understanding as to how market participants will react with the index as the price goes down.

For the detailed chart breakdown, please see last night’s post here.

QQQ ETF’s Volume By Price Level, Including At Support & Resistance Levels From The Past One To Two Years
QQQ ETF’s Volume By Price Level, Including At Support & Resistance Levels From The Past One To Two Years
QQQ ETF’s Volume By Price Level, Including At Support & Resistance Levels From The Past One To Two Years
QQQ ETF’s Volume By Price Level, Including At Support & Resistance Levels From The Past One To Two Years
QQQ ETF’s Volume By Price Level, Including At Support & Resistance Levels From The Past One To Two Years
QQQ ETF’s Volume By Price Level, Including At Support & Resistance Levels From The Past One To Two Years

QQQ ETF’s Volume Sentiment By Price Level

(*BOLD denotes a Moving Average)

$404 – NULL – 0:0*; 6.58% From Current Price

$400 – NULL – 0:0*; 5.52% From Current Price

$396 – Even – 1:1; 4.47% From Current Price

$392 – Buyers – 1.09:1; 3.41% From Current Price

$388 – Buyers – 0.5:0*; 2.36% From Current Price

$384 – Buyers – 0.7:0*; 1.3% From Current Price

$380 – Sellers – 3:1; 0.25% From Current Price

$376 – Buyers – 2.5:1; -0.81% From Current Price

$372 – Sellers – 2.9:0*; -1.87% From Current Price

$368 – Buyers – 9.33:1; -2.92% From Current Price

$364 – Buyers – 1.68:1; -3.98% From Current Price

$360 – Sellers – 1.06:1; -5.03% From Current Price

$356 – Sellers – 1.82:1; -6.09% From Current Price

$352 – Buyers – 2.33:1; -7.14% From Current Price

$348 – Sellers – 1.03:1; -8.2% From Current Price

$344 – Sellers – 1.28:1; -9.25% From Current Price

$340 – Buyers – 1.12:1; -10.31% From Current Price

$336 – Sellers – 1.42:1; -11.36% From Current Price

$332 – Sellers – 4:1; -12.42% From Current Price

$328 – Buyers – 1.15:1; -13.47% From Current Price

$324 – Buyers – 2.4:1; -14.53% From Current Price

$320 – Sellers – 1.51:1; -15.58% From Current Price

$316 – Sellers – 1.29:1; -16.64% From Current Price

$312 – Sellers – 1.94:1; -17.69% From Current Price

$308 – Buyers – 1.32:1; -18.75% From Current Price

$304 – Buyers – 1.04:1; -19.8% From Current Price

$300 – Sellers – 1.86:1; -20.86% From Current Price

$296 – Buyers – 2.74:1; -21.91% From Current Price

$292 – Buyers – 1.67:1; -22.97% From Current Price

$288 – Sellers – 1.93:1; -24.02% From Current Price

$284 – Sellers – 1.81:1; -25.08% From Current Price

$280 – Buyers – 1.18:1; -26.14% From Current Price

$276 – Sellers – 1.4:1; -27.19% From Current Price

$272 – Sellers – 1.04:1; -28.25% From Current Price

$268 – Sellers – 1.5:1; -29.3% From Current Price

$264 – Sellers – 1.24:1; -30.36% From Current Price

$260 – Sellers – 3.4:1; -31.41% From Current Price

$256 – Buyers – 2.3:0*; -32.47% From Current Price

Price:Volume Sentiment Analysis For IWM, The iShares Russell 2000 ETF

IWM ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
IWM ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

They tend to stay much more in a range compared to SPY & QQQ, making it important to understand their behavior at different price levels, as they are more likely to return to the same level more often than the other names listed in this article.

For the detailed chart breakdown, please see last night’s post here.

IWM ETF’s Volume By Price Level, Including At Support & Resistance Levels From The Past One To Two Years
IWM ETF’s Volume By Price Level, Including At Support & Resistance Levels From The Past One To Two Years
IWM ETF’s Volume By Price Level, Including At Support & Resistance Levels From The Past One To Two Years
IWM ETF’s Volume By Price Level, Including At Support & Resistance Levels From The Past One To Two Years
IWM ETF’s Volume By Price Level, Including At Support & Resistance Levels From The Past One To Two Years

IWM ETF’s Volume Sentiment By Price Level

(*BOLD denotes a Moving Average)

$204 – Buyers – 0.5:0*; 6.51% From Current Price

$200 – NULL – 0:0*; 4.42% From Current Price

$198 – Sellers – 1.5:1; 3.38% From Current Price

$196 – Buyers – 2.57:1; 2.33% From Current Price

$194 – Sellers – 2.75:1; 1.29% From Current Price

$192 – Buyers – 1.67:1; 0.25% From Current Price

$190 – Buyers – 1.39:1; -0.8% From Current Price

$188 – Buyers – 2.5:1; -1.84% From Current Price

$186 – Buyers – 3.17:1; -2.89% From Current Price

$184 – Sellers – 1.14:1; -3.93% From Current Price

$182 – Buyers – 1.05:1; -4.98% From Current Price

$180 – Even – 1:1; -6.02% From Current Price

$178 – Sellers – 1.13:1; -7.06% From Current Price

$176 – Buyers – 1.75:1; -8.11% From Current Price

$174 – Buyers – 1.30:1; -9.15% From Current Price

$172 – Sellers – 1.93:1; -10.2% From Current Price

$170 – Buyers – 1.07:1; -11.24% From Current Price

$168 – Sellers – 1.55:1; -12.29% From Current Price

$166 – Sellers – 3.9:1; -13.33% From Current Price

$164 – Sellers – 2.7:1; -14.37% From Current Price

$162 – Sellers – 1.31:1; -15.42% From Current Price

Price:Volume Sentiment Analysis For DIA, The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF

DIA ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
DIA ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

DIA has remained more consistently priced than its peers that are also examined in this document, likely as investors seek safety in uncertain times by buying larger cap stocks.

For the detailed chart breakdown, please see last night’s post here.

DIA ETF’s Volume By Price Level, Including At Support & Resistance Levels From The Past Two To Three Years
DIA ETF’s Volume By Price Level, Including At Support & Resistance Levels From The Past Two To Three Years
DIA ETF’s Volume By Price Level, Including At Support & Resistance Levels From The Past Two To Three Years
DIA ETF’s Volume By Price Level, Including At Support & Resistance Levels From The Past Two To Three Years
DIA ETF’s Volume By Price Level, Including At Support & Resistance Levels From The Past Two To Three Years
DIA ETF’s Volume By Price Level, Including At Support & Resistance Levels From The Past Two To Three Years
DIA ETF’s Volume By Price Level, Including At Support & Resistance Levels From The Past Two To Three Years
DIA ETF’s Volume By Price Level, Including At Support & Resistance Levels From The Past Two To Three Years

DIA ETF’s Volume Sentiment By Price Level

(*BOLD denotes a Moving Average)

$356 – NULL – 0:0*; 3.14% From Current Price

$352 – Buyers – 0.2:0*; 1.98% From Current Price

$348 – Buyers – 1.57:1; 0.82% From Current Price

$344 – Buyers – 3.17:1; -0.34% From Current Price

$340 – Buyers – 1.32:1; -1.5% From Current Price

$336 – Buyers – 1.33:1; -2.66% From Current Price

$332 – Sellers – 1.08:1; -3.82% From Current Price

$328 – Sellers – 1.17:1; -4.97% From Current Price

$324 – Sellers – 1.36:1; -6.13% From Current Price

$320 – Sellers – 1.10:1; -7.29% From Current Price

$316 – Sellers – 1.36:1; -8.45% From Current Price

$312 – Buyers – 1.2:1; -9.61% From Current Price

$308 – Buyers – 1.54:1; -10.77% From Current Price

$304 – Buyers – 1.18:1; -11.93% From Current Price

$300 – Buyers – 1.19:1; -13.09% From Current Price

$296 – Sellers – 1.6:1; -14.25% From Current Price

$292 – Sellers – 1.25:1; -15.4% From Current Price

$288 – Buyers – 1.46:1; -16.56% From Current Price

$284 – Sellers – 1.31:1; -17.72% From Current Price

$280 – Buyers – 1.6:1; -18.88% From Current Price

$276 – Buyers – 2.67:1; -20.04% From Current Price

$272 – Buyers – 7:1; -21.2% From Current Price

$268 – Sellers – 1.33:1; -22.36% From Current Price

$264- Buyers- 3.38:1; -23.52% From Current Price

$260 – Sellers – 1.64:1; -24.67% From Current Price

$256 – Buyers – 2.4:1; -25.83% From Current Price

$252 – Buyers – 1.33:1; -26.99% From Current Price

$248 – Buyers – 3.25:1; -28.15% From Current Price

$244 – Buyers – 3.6:1; -29.31% From Current Price

$240 – Even – 1:1; -30.47% From Current Price

$236 – Sellers – 5:1; -31.63% From Current Price

$232 – Buyers – 1.2:0*; -32.79% From Current Price

$228 – Sellers – 2:1; -33.95% From Current Price

$224 – Even – 1:1; -35.1% From Current Price

$220 – Buyers – 1.47:1; -36.26% From Current Price

$216 – Buyers – 1.6:1; -37.42% From Current Price

$212 – Buyers – 2:0*; -38.58% From Current Price

$208 – Buyers – 0.5:0*; -39.74% From Current Price

$204 – Sellers – 0.4:0*; -40.9% From Current Price

$200 – Buyers – 2:1; -42.06% From Current Price

$198 – Sellers – 1.1:1; -43.22% From Current Price

$196 – Sellers – 0.4:0*; -43.8% From Current Price

$194 – Buyers – 0.8:0*; -44.38% From Current Price

$192 – NULL – 0:0*; -45.53% From Current Price

$190 – Sellers – 0.7:0*; -46.11% From Current Price

$188 – Buyers – 0.8:0*; -46.69% From Current Price

$186 – Sellers – 0.8:0*; -47.27% From Current Price

Tying It All Together

Volume is one of the best indicators of investor sentiment that can be applied to any time frame, price level, or price range to help paint a better picture of the market’s behavior.

While it does not predict what will happen in the future as market conditions are ever changing & new variables may be of more importance now than they were when these volume levels were read, it can provide a reference as to how investors may behave when the same levels are approached again.

This document was intended to show investor sentiment at levels of support & resistance that are currently relevant to their price levels, while also providing more widespread data that can be used as prices move away from the levels of support & resistance mentioned above.

It can be combined with a current analysis of markets to give more clarity into how investors have historically behaved when prices have been in the price levels listed during the relevant time periods to provide additional detail to your analysis.

It is not intended to serve as investment recommendations or advice.

*** I DO NOT OWN SHARES OR OPTIONS CONTRACT POSITIONS IN SPY, QQQ, IWM or DIA AT THE TIME OF PUBLISHING THIS ARTICLE ***

Weekly Stock & ETF Market Review 7/16/2023

SPY, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF gained +2.45% over the past week, only outperforming the Dow Jones Industrial Average in terms of weekly performance for an index.

SPY ETF - SPDR S&P 500 ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
SPY ETF – SPDR S&P 500 ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI closed in overbought territory for the week at 70.9, while their MACD remains mildly bullish, but not strong.

Their volume this week was below average compared to the year prior (722,203,760 vs. 83,556,752), with the heaviest traded session falling on Wednesday, a gap up day that resulted in a spinning top candlestick, a sign of uncertainty among investors.

Friday closed the week out also on a spinning top candle, but Friday’s was bearish, which makes it seem more likely that we will see Wednesday’s gap attempt to be filled this week.

There is support within the gap from the 10 Day Moving Average, but oscillators are signaling that we are due for a consolidation, which based on how far spaced apart support levels are at the moment may cause a 5%+ drop from their current price level.

SPY has support at the $443.54 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.47:1), $426.61 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.70:1), $424.79 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.70:1) & $416.07 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.43:1), with resistance at the $452.69 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.2:1), $460.87 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2:1) & $468.78/share (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) price levels.

SPY ETF's Price:Volume Sentiment At The Price Levels It's Traded At Over The Past 2-3 Years
SPY ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment At The Price Levels It’s Traded At Over The Past 2-3 Years

QQQ, the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF climbed +3.5% over the past week, as the technology-heavy index was the second best performing index to the small cap Russell 2000.

QQQ ETF - Invesco QQQ Trust ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
QQQ ETF – Invesco QQQ Trust ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is also overbought at 71.92, with their MACD beginning to signal danger ahead & turning bearish.

Volumes were slightly below average last week compared to the prior year (50,149,220 vs. 55,601,102), which indicates that the weekly gain was not done with complete confidence by market participants.

Wednesday’s gap up day resulted in a doji, signaling uncertainty about the following price movement, and while Thursday’s candle was more confident (in terms of body:shadow), volume dipped that day, despite it being another gap up, indicating that investors were on the fence.

Friday’s gravestone doji on a bearish session with higher volume than Thursday’s confirms this sentiment, as investors did not want to carry much additional risk into the weekend & were beginning to take profits & perhaps make hedges.

QQQ doesn’t have any support between the price & the bottom of the gap formed on Thursday, but does have two touch-points around the second gap formed Wednesday, which could lead into a steep decline, with the 50 Day Moving Average falling -7.52% below the current price being the last major support near the price that doesn’t fall within what is considered a “correction” range.

QQQ has support at the $372.34 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.9:0*), $370.93 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 9.33:1), $357.59 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.82:1) & $350.56/share (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.03:1) price levels, with resistance at the $404.02/share price level (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*).

QQQ ETF's Price:Volume Sentiment At The Price Levels It's Traded At Over The Past 2-3 Years
QQQ ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment At The Price Levels It’s Traded At Over The Past 2-3 Years

IWM, the iShares Russell 2000 ETF improved +3.69% over the past week, faring the best of the major indexes.

IWM ETF - iShares Russell 2000 ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
IWM ETF – iShares Russell 2000 ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is just beyond the overbought end of the neutral range at 62.55 & trending downward, with their MACD beginning to show signals of a bearish crossover in the coming days’ sessions.

Volumes were slightly above average last week compared to the year prior (30,455,980 vs. 27,794,121), with an interesting trend between the two heaviest volume days.

They were the bookends of the current price range established by Wednesday’s gap up (heaviest volume) & Friday’s session, whose lower shadow extended well into the aforementioned gap, but recovered enough before the close to stay just below the new price range.

There is no support within this gap, which makes the coming days interesting as the nearest support level sits below the gap & -1.7% below the current price.

IWM has support at the $188.27 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.5:1), $187.48 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 3.17:1), $186.81 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 3.17:1) & $185.44/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.14:1) price levels, with resistance at the $193.68 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.67:1), $197.98 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.57:1), $198.74 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.5:1) & $202.21/share (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) price levels.

IWM ETF's Price:Volume Sentiment At The Price Levels It's Traded At Over The Past 1-2 Years
IWM ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment At The Price Levels It’s Traded At Over The Past 1-2 Years

DIA, the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF advanced +2.29% over the past week, the least among the major averages.

DIA ETF - SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
DIA ETF – SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is on the overbought end of the neutral range at 61.88, with a MACD that is barely bullish.

Volumes were lighter than average last week compared to the year prior (2,989,640 vs. 3,588,598), signaling uncertainty among market participants.

Their highest volume day of the week was Wednesday, where they gapped up slightly, but the session closed below where it opened, signaling further uncertainty & a lack of confidence in the move.

Thursday & Friday resulted in spinning top candles, another sign of uncertainty among market participants, but unlike the other indexes, DIA has support levels much closer to their current price, which is also likely due to the size of the index components.

DIA has support at the $343.94 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.32:1), $342.23 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.32:1), $341.08 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.32:1) & $340.36/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.32:1) price levels, with resistance at the $345.73/share price level (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 3.17:1)

DIA ETF's Price:Volume Sentiment At The Price Levels It's Traded At Over The Past 2-3 Years
DIA ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment At The Price Levels It’s Traded At Over The Past 2-3 Years

Let’s dive into some of the best & worst performing industries & geo-locations in the market now based on their ETF’s technical rating!

Transportation (TPOR), Mexico (MEXX), Industrials (DUSL) & Social Media (SOCL) Are Bullishly Leading The Market

TPOR, the Direxion Daily Transportation Bull 3x Shares ETF has climbed +39.61% over the past year, including a +95.63% recovery from their 52-week low in October of 2022 (ex-distributions).

TPOR ETF - Direxion Daily Transportation Bull 3x Shares ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
TPOR ETF – Direxion Daily Transportation Bull 3x Shares ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI just dipped back beneath overbought levels at 67.05, with their MACD signaling an impending bearish crossover in the coming sessions after the mid-to-end of week weakness.

Last week’s volume was above average compared to the year prior (34,080 vs. 26,825), however the configuration of the week’s candlesticks should be a cause of concern for market participants.

Monday & Tuesday were advancing days, but they also had the lowest volumes of the week, with exception to Wednesday’s session, which is currently marking the most recent top & the reversal point, as the day opened above the prior two, but closed below the open.

Investors may think to take some profits or hedge against losses using an options strategy while waiting to see how it behaves around support levels, as their 0.83% distribution yield will not provide much protection.

TPOR has support at the $32.54 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.25:1), $32.37 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.25:1), $32.04 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.25:1) & $28.61/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.69:1), with resistance at the $34.23 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2:1), $36.01 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.48:1), $38.14 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.2:1) & $40.16/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.79:1) price levels.

TPOR ETF's Price:Volume Sentiment At The Price Levels It's Traded At Over The Past 1-2 Years
TPOR ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment At The Price Levels It’s Traded At Over The Past 1-2 Years

MEXX, the Direxion Daily MSCI Mexico Bull 3x Shares ETF has ballooned an astounding +142.18% over the past year, tacking on +176.43% from their 52-week low in September of 2022 (ex-distributions).

MEXX ETF - Direxion Daily MSCI Mexico Bull 3x Shares ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
MEXX ETF – Direxion Daily MSCI Mexico Bull 3x Shares ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is beginning to trend back towards neutral at 57.75, but their MACD is still bullish.

Last week’s volume decline to below half of the past year’s average (1,040 vs. 2,370) as the latter half of the week was marked with gaps & lower closing than opening prices (with exception to Friday’s session), signaling uncertainty among investors.

Friday’s candle does require a closer examination, as the day opened lower & the open & low were the same price level, and the closing price also happened to be the high for the day on a bearish gap down that fell midway between the body of Wednesday’s candle.

This has tended to lead to near-term bearishness, which makes it important to take profits or have a hedging strategy in place, such as buying puts or selling calls, as their 1.27% distribution yield will not provide much protection against losses.

MEXX has support at the $156.97 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 4.7:0*), $156.18 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 4.7:0* ), $155.17 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.67:1) & $148.73/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 4.29:1) price levels, with resistance overhead at the $166.25 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 0.9:0*), $166.94 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 0.9:0*), $209.77 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) & $249.31/share (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) price levels.

MEXX ETF's Price:Volume Sentiment At The Price Levels It's Traded At Over The Past 1-2 Years
MEXX ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment At The Price Levels It’s Traded At Over The Past 1-2 Years

DUSL, the Direxion Daily Industrials Bull 3x Shares ETF has gained +68.68% over the past year, adding +97.95% from their 52-week low in October of 2022 (ex-distributions).

DUSL ETF - Direxion Daily Industrials Bull 3x Shares ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
DUSL ETF – Direxion Daily Industrials Bull 3x Shares ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is trending back toward neutral from overbought at 65.57, with their MACD showing an impending bearish crossover on the horizon.

Last week’s volume was more than double the average volume of the year prior (50,580 vs. 24,198) with the highest volumes occurring on Tuesday’s gap up session & Thursday’s session which resulted in a dragonfly doji.

Friday closed with a hanging man candle in a three day downtrend, which signals more weakness is on the horizon.

With only a 1.21% distribution yield there is not much in terms of protection against losses during a consolidation period, making it appropriate to find a hedging strategy & to trim some profits after the bull run of the last month & a half.

DUSL has support at the $38.75 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.04:1), $37.34 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.41:1), $36.84 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.72:1) & $36.78/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.72:1) price levels, with resistance at the $41.07 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.31:1), $42.28 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.75:1), $44.33 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.7:1) & $48.73/share (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) price levels.

MEXX ETF's Price:Volume Sentiment At The Price Levels It's Traded At Over The Past 2-3 Years
MEXX ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment At The Price Levels It’s Traded At Over The Past 2-3 Years

SOCL, the Global X Social Media Index ETF has advanced +21.39% over the past year, gaining +63.08% since their 52-week low in November of 2022 (ex-distributions).

SOCL ETF - Global X Social Media Index ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
SOCL ETF – Global X Social Media Index ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is trending back out of overbought territory at 67.96, but their MACD is still bullish (although beginning to curl over bearishly).

Last week’s volume fell to about half of the average volume for the year (16,080 vs. 31,306) in a week that’s gains mostly were due to Wednesday & Thursday’s gap up sessions.

SOCL sports a modest 0.48% distribution yield, which will not provide much protection against losses, making this a good time to think about a hedging strategy & profit taking before it attempts to fill in the gaps from last week & consolidate while its oscillators return to normal levels.

SOCL has support at the $38.97 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.21:1), $38.54 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.21:1), $37.85 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.11:1) & $37.08/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.11:1) price levels, with resistance at the $40.24 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 4.14:1), $45.20 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 3.4:1), $45.63 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 3.4:1) & $49.32/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.03:1) price levels.

SOCL ETF's Price:Volume Sentiment At The Price Levels It's Traded At Over The Past 2-3 Years
SOCL ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment At The Price Levels It’s Traded At Over The Past 2-3 Years

Energy (ERX), Thailand (THD), 7-10 Year U.S. Treasuries (UST) & U.S. Pharmaceuticals (IHE) Are Bearishly Lagging The Market

ERX, the Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2x Shares ETF has gained 26.57% over the past year, including a +30.29% rebound from their 52-week low in September of 2022, but has declined -29.76% from their 52-week high in November of 2022 (ex-distributions).

ERX ETF - Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2x Shares ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
ERX ETF – Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2x Shares ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI has dropped to neutral at 51.76 & their MACD is moving towards a bearish crossover in the coming days.

Last week’s volume was below average compared to the year prior (998,940 vs. 1,462,217) in a week that started off advancing & on Wednesday went into bearish decline after Wednesday’s spinning top candle led to another on Thursday & a break of the 10 Day Moving Average’s support on Friday’s down day.

ERX pays a 3.13% distribution yield to long-term holders, which will provide some protection against losses, however it would be wise to begin looking for hedges against any existing positions while watching to see how its support levels hold up.

ERX has support at the $54.39 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.01:1), $54.13 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.01:1), $52.82 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.42:1) & $53.81/share (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.23:1) price levels, with resistance overhead at the $55.15 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 4.3:0*), $55.39 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 4.3:0*), $55.46 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 4.3:0*) & $55.88/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 4.3:0*) price levels.

ERX ETF's Price:Volume Sentiment At The Price Levels It's Traded At Over The Past 1-2 Years
ERX ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment At The Price Levels It’s Traded At Over The Past 1-2 Years

THD, the iShares MSCI Thailand Capped ETF has inched forward +5.57% over the past year & +8.28% from their 52-week low in October of 2022, but has fallen -16.64% since their 52-week high in January of 2023 (ex-distributions).

THD ETF - iShares MSCI Thailand Capped ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
THD ETF – iShares MSCI Thailand Capped ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is about neutral at 53.94, with their MACD still bullish following 5 sessions of gains, but a warning signal was shown on Friday.

Last week’s volume was slightly above average compared to the past year (80,140 vs. 78,464), but the day with the most volume came on Friday which resulted in a gravestone doji.

This week investors will have their eyes peeled to see if the will be a bearish reversal & how support levels hold up.

While they offer a 2.66% distribution yield, a hedging strategy using options would be a wise thing to look into in the coming days.

THD has support at the $67.02 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.37:1), $66.68 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.41:1), $66.26 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.41:!) & $64.77/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.33:1) price levels, with resistance at the $67.50 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.37:1), $67.61 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.37:1), $67.91 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.37:1) & $68.35/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.03:1) price levels.

THD ETF's Price:Volume Sentiment At The Price Levels It's Traded At Over The Past 2-3 Years
THD ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment At The Price Levels It’s Traded At Over The Past 2-3 Years

UST, the ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury ETF has lost -12.46% over the past year, recovering +4.48% from their 52-week low in July of 2022 & dropped -19.55% since their 52-week high in August of 2022 (ex-distributions).

UST ETF - ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
UST ETF – ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is about neutral at 49.90 & their MACD is currently bullish, mostly due to a pair of gap ups on Wednesday & Thursday of last week.

Last week’s volumes were minuscule compared to the average volume of the past year (4,080 vs. 12,376), signaling that there was not much conviction among investors in the moves of the past week & investors should proceed with caution.

While UST offers a 2.2% distribution yield for long-term holders, that is limited protection against further consolidation & the closing of the gap that began on Friday, making it worthwhile to have a hedging strategy in place & waiting to see how it behaves around its support levels, especially given how the 10, 50 & 200 day moving averages are currently positioned around their share price.

UST has support at the $46.28 (Volume Sentiment: ), $46.11 (Volume Sentiment: ), $45.69 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: ) & $45.13/share (Volume Sentiment: ) price levels, with resistance at the $46.96 (Volume Sentiment: ), $47.31 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: ), $47.46 (200 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: ) & $48.10/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.04:1) price levels.

UST ETF's Price:Volume Sentiment At The Price Levels It's Traded At Over The Past 12-13 Years
UST ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment At The Price Levels It’s Traded At Over The Past 12-13 Years

IHE, the iShares U.S. Pharmaceutical ETF has given up -4.82% over the past year, recovered +5.47% from their 52-week low in October of 2022, but declined -8.95% from their 52-week high in July of 2022 (ex-distributions).

IHE ETF - iShares U.S. Pharmaceutical ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
IHE ETF – iShares U.S. Pharmaceutical ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is neutral at 50.09, with a bearish MACD that is beginning to trend towards a bullish crossover after Friday’s gap up session.

Last week’s volume was fell far below the average volume for the year (4,700 vs. 9,453), with Thursday’s candlestick receiving the most volume, followed by Friday’s gap up candle.

One thing of note on Friday’s candle, the high of the day went up to the 50 Day Moving Average & then ducked back down to close beneath it, with a shadow in between the close & the 50 DMA.

Based on the light volume, neutral RSI & lack of support levels within the window it created, this gap is something that is likely to be filled in the coming week & investors should be cautious.

Their 1.98% distribution yield does not offer much protection against declines, making a good time to begin planning a hedging strategy as the nearest level of support is at $173.66/share.

IHE has support at the $175.67 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.32:1), $173.66 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.4:1), $173.26 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.4:1) & $172.88/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.4:1), with resistance at the $176.44 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.15:1), $177.05 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.15:1), $178.15 (200 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Even, 1:1) & $179.88/share (Volume Sentiment: Even, 1:1) price levels.

IHE ETF's Price:Volume Sentiment At The Price Levels It's Traded At Over The Past 3-4 Years
IHE ETF’s Price:Volume Sentiment At The Price Levels It’s Traded At Over The Past 3-4 Years

Tying It All Together

This week kicks off at 8:30 am on Monday with the Empire State Manufacturing Survey & Equity Lifestyle Properties reports earnings.

Tuesday things get busier, with U.S. Retail Sales & Retail Sales Minus Autos data due at 8:30 am, followed by Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization data at 9:15 am & at 10 am Business Inventories & Home Builder Confidence Index data is set to be reported.

Also on Tuesday, there will be many earnings reports including Bank of America, Bank of New York Mellon, Charles Schwab, Hasbro, Interactive Brokers, J.B. Hunt Transportation Services, Lockheed Martin, Morgan Stanley, Novartis, Omnicom, Pinnacle Financial Partners, PNC, Prologis, Synchrony Financial & Western Alliance Bancorp.

Wednesday morning at 8:30 am we get Housing Starts data.

Netflix, Tesla, Alcoa, Ally Financial, ASML, Baker Hughes, Citizens Financial Group, Cohen & Steers, Crown Castle, Discover Financial Services, Equifax, First Horizon, Goldman Sachs, Halliburton, International Business Machines, Kinder Morgan, Las Vegas Sands, M&T Bank, Nasdaq, Rexford Industrial Realty, SL Green Realty, Steel Dynamics, U.S. Bancorp, United Airlines & Zions Bancorp are also all due to report earnings on Wednesday.

Initial Jobless Claims & the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey data are set to be reported at 8:30 am on Thursday, followed by Existing Home Sales & U.S. Leading Economic Indicators data at 10 am.

American Airlines, Badger Meter, Blackstone, Capital One Financial, CSX, D.R. Horton, Fifth Third, Freeport-McMoran, First Financial, Genuine Parts, Intuitive Surgical, Johnson & Johnson, KeyCorp, Knight-Swift Transportation, Marsh McLennan, Newmont Goldcorp, Phillip Morris International, PPG Industries, Pool, SAP, Snap-On, Travelers, Truist Financial & W.R. Berkley are all due to report earnings on Thursday.

Friday has no economic data scheduled, but American Express, AutoNation, Comerica, Huntington Banc, Regions Financial, Roper Technologies & SLB are all due to report earnings.

See you back here next week!

*** I DO NOT OWN SHARES OR OPTIONS CONTRACT POSITIONS IN SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA, TPOR, MEXX, DUSL, SOCL, ERX, THD, UST, or IHE AT THE TIME OF PUBLISHING THIS ARTICLE ***

Weekly Stock & ETF Market Review 7/9/2023

SPY, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF declined -1.07% last week, in a week that was marked by jumpy gaps that resulted in prices settling just above the 10 day moving average.

SPY ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
SPY ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is retreating from overbought territory & currently at 59.5 & their MACD is bearishly falling.

Sessions from early last week were on below average volume compared to the year prior, with the end of the week’s volume levels returning more to about average, which could be a sign of indecisiveness among investors, or just less people trading during the holiday week.

Monday’s spinning top candle ultimately set the tone for the rest of the week declining, after the previous Friday’s session’s gap up.

Thursday’s gap down began a new price range, but Friday’s gravestone doji signals that more declines are on the near-term horizon & suggests a lack of confidence in current price levels among investors.

SPY has support at the $438.37 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Even, 1:1), $424.79 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.70:1), $423.10 ( 50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.39:1) & $415.18/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.57:1), with resistance at the $444.30 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 14.29:1), $447.43 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 14.29:1), $452.69 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.2:1) & $460.87/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2:1).

SPY ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 2-3 Years
SPY ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 2-3 Years

QQQ, the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF fell -0.86% last week, as the NASDAQ performed strongest of all of the major indexes.

QQQ ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
QQQ ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is on the oversold end of neutral at 60.19, while their MACD is bearish.

Overall, volumes were below average last week compared to the year prior, as there is a lot of uncertainty about the Federal Reserve’s course of interest rate hikes, which will impact the tech-heavy NASDAQ more than most stocks.

Monday’s doji followed by Wednesday’s shooting star candlestick show that the near-term sentiment among investors & traders is more bearish, with Thursday & Friday’s price action mostly opening & closing around the exact same price levels, being supported by the 10 day moving average.

QQQ has support at the $365.61 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.68:1), $345.13 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.28:1), $332.05 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 4:1) & $312.77/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.94:1), with resistance at the $372.34 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.9:0*), $374.55 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.9:0*), $377.90 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.5:1) & $400.45/share (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*).

QQQ ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 2-3 Years
QQQ ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 2-3 Years

IWM, the iShares Russell 2000 ETF dropped -1.37% last week, as investors were selling smaller cap names.

IWM ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
IWM ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is about neutral at 53.6, but their MACD is currently giving bearish signals.

Monday & Wednesday’s sessions had below average volumes compared to the year prior, but the end of the week’s levels returned to about average.

Monday kicked the week off with a shooting star candlestick to set the tone off as bearish for the week, leading to Thursday’s large gap down session that tested price levels well below the range that the open & closing prices occurred in.

Friday attempted to reclaim the window’s range created by Thursday’s gap, but was ultimately won by the bears who kept prices to the lower half of the day’s candle & below the prior Thursday’s candle, indicating sentiment is still widely bearish.

IWM has support at the $184.35 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.14:1), $183.56 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.05:1), $179.28 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.13:1) & $179.11/share (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.13:1), with resistance at the $187.48 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 3.17:1), $189.24 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.5:1), $197.98 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.57:1) & $198.74/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.5:1) price levels.

IWM ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 1-2 Years
IWM ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 1-2 Years

DIA, the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF lost -1.87% last week, as even the largest companies were not immune against the selling pressure across the overall market.

DIA ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
DIA ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is about neutral at 47.47, but their MACD is also signaling impending bearishness.

Thursday had the week’s strongest volumes, but overall the levels were not noteworthy compared to the year prior, indicating either caution on the part of investors, or being attributable to the holiday on Tuesday.

Their 10 day moving average was not able to provide the support needed to keep prices from the declines seen on Thursday’s gap down session & Friday’s session’s open/closing prices were trending closer to the 50 day moving average.

DIA has support at the $336.44 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.33:1), $335.87 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.08:1), $327.16 (200 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.36:1) & $326.32/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.36:1), with resistance at the $340.04 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.32:1), $340.07 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.32:1), $$340.46 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.32:1) & $341.08/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.32:1) price levels.

DIA ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 3-4 Years
DIA ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 3-4 Years

Semiconductors (SOXL), Brazil (BRZU), Japan (DXJ) & Dynamic Oil & Gas Services (PXJ) Are All Bullishly Leading The Market

SOXL, the Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares ETF has gained +79.61% over the past year, improving an astonishing +296.73% since its 52-week low in October of 2022 (ex-distributions).

SOXL ETF - Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
SOXL ETF – Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is neutral at 51.46, but their MACD is currently in a bearish decline.

Volumes were below average compared to the year prior all week, signaling waning enthusiasm among investors & traders.

Last Monday’s session resulted in a spinning top, following another in the Friday before’s session as investors signaled uncertainty.

Thursday’s gap down couldn’t find any support from the 10 day moving average & Friday’s gravestone doji signals that there looks to be more bearish sentiment in the near-term.

SOXL pays a modest 0.61% distribution yield to long-term shareholders, which does not provide much of a cushion against losses, making it wise for holders of existing positions to have an insurance policy in place, such as selling calls or buying puts while waiting to see how their price behaves around other levels of support.

SOXL has support at the $22.05 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.23:1), $21.52 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.13:1), $20.40 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.63:1) & $19.75/share (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.45:1), with resistance at the $23.60 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.5:1), $24.76 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 3.67:1), $25.75 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.06:1) & $26.75/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.2:0*) price levels.

SOXL ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 1-2 Years
SOXL ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 1-2 Years

BRZU, the Direxion Daily Brazil Bull 2x Shares ETF has added +52.74% over the past year, including a 64.33% gain from their 52-week low in March of 2023 (ex-distributions).

BRZU ETF - Direxion Daily Brazil Bull 2x Shares ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
BRZU ETF – Direxion Daily Brazil Bull 2x Shares ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is relatively neutral at 53.78, but their MACD is in a bearish decline following mid-June’s price correction.

Volumes have been well below average recently compared to the year prior, signaling that there is uncertainty ahead & that enthusiasm is waning among investors.

Monday & Wednesday’s sessions were spinning tops, indicating uncertainty among market participants, before Thursday’s gap down & Friday’s shooting star candle indicates that there is likely more declines on the horizon.

BRZU pays a 3.98% distribution yield to long-term shareholders, which offers some protection against losses, but as with any other name & a chart that is flashing caution, it is wise to have some form of insurance against losses in the forms of an options hedge for the coming weeks.

BRZU has support at the $86.26 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), $85.89 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2:1), $85.16 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2:1) & $83.35/share (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), with resistance at the $88.42 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 3:1), $91.68 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.33:1), $91.81 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.33:1) & $92.11/share (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) price levels.

BRZU ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 1-2 Years
BRZU ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 1-2 Years

DXJ, the WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund ETF has risen +34.56% over the past year, improving +32.88% since their 52-week low in September of 2022 (ex-distributions).

DXJ ETF - WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
DXJ ETF – WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their MACD is relatively neutral at 56.66, but their MACD is bearish, which became even steeper following Thursday’s gap down.

Volumes were roughly average compared to the year prior last week, but while there may have been conviction behind moves DXJ made, the candlesticks don’t paint the brightest of pictures for their near-term outlook.

Monday’s session resulted in a spinning top, followed by the dragonfly doji on Wednesday, a hanging man on Thursday & prices were unable to recover to the 10 day moving average on Friday, with the day’s opening & closing levels occurring at the bottom of the candle.

With bearish sentiment remaining after DXJ recently hit all time highs, it would be wisest to hedge a position against further near-term declines, as their 3.17% distribution yield will not cover against all losses.

DXJ is near its all time high & has support at the $80.64 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), $79.81 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), $77.55 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) & $77.53/share (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), with resistance at the $82.55 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), $83.30 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), $84.09/share (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) price level.

DXJ ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 7-8 Years
DXJ ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 7-8 Years

PXJ, the Invesco Dynamic Oil & Gas Services ETF has gained +49.92% over the past year, with a +61.85% rebound from their 52-week low in July of 2022 (ex-distributions).

PXJ ETF - Invesco Dynamic Oil & Gas Services ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
PXJ ETF – Invesco Dynamic Oil & Gas Services ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is overbought at 70.04 & their MACD is still signaling bullishness, especially after Friday’s +6.05% gain.

Recent volumes have been below average compared to the year prior.

Last week’s candlesticks began signaling bearishness early in the week & with Wednesday’s dragonfly doji & Thursday’s spinning top, but Friday’s session showed solid price action with prices closing near the highs of the day.

Volume on Friday was relatively tame though, which does not provide much confirmation for the day’s price movement.

PXJ provides a 1.28% distribution yield to long-term investors, making it important to be monitoring open positions & being prepared to hedge against near-term declines, especially as the oscillators cool off from Friday’s large movement.

PXJ has support at the $5.23 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.37:1), $5.20 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.37:1), $5.16 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.37:1) & $5.15/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.37:1), with resistance at the $5.27 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.37:1), $5.29 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.37:1), $5.51 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.57:1) & $5.56/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.57:1) price levels.

PXJ ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 8-9 Years
PXJ ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 8-9 Years

Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy (PDBC), South Africa (EZA), Long-term Treasuries (SPTL) & Global Gold Miners (RING) Are All Bearishly Lagging The Market

PDBC, the Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No. K-1 ETF has fallen -11.33% over the past year, losing -24.52% since their 52-week high in August of 2022, but has reclaimed +4.39% since their 52-week low in May of 2023 (ex-distributions).

PDBC ETF - Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No. K-1 ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
PDBC ETF – Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No. K-1 ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is relatively neutral at 53.01, with their MACD signaling a bullish crossover on the horizon, after steady growth in price over the past two weeks.

Last week’s volumes were below average compared to the year prior though, which does not indicate a strong sense of confidence among investors, despite their price being held up by the 10 & 50 day moving averages functioning as levels of support on Friday.

The $14 price level will be an area of interest to watch if they continue climbing in the weeks ahead, but they will need more eager investor sentiment in order to continue upwards.

PDBC pays a handsome 13.98% distribution yield for long-term holders, but hedging would be wise, especially once you notice that they are being held up at resistance points down the line.

PDBC has support at the $13.71 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.46:1), $13.64 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.46:1), $13.39 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.46:1 ) & $13.38/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.46:1), with resistance at the $13.96 (2 Touch-points in past 52-weeks; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.46:1), $14.00 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.04:1), $14.12 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.04:1) & $14.17/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.04:1) price levels.

PDBC ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 7-8 Years
PDBC ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 7-8 Years

EZA, the iShares MSCI South Africa ETF has lost -2.56% over the past year, declining -18.37% from their 52-week high in January of 2023, but has climbed back +9.37% since their 52-week low in October of 2022 (ex-distributions).

EZA ETF - iShares MSCI South Africa ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
EZA ETF – iShares MSCI South Africa ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is on the oversold end of neutral at 45.64, with their MACD signaling bearishness.

Last week’s volumes were below average compared to the year prior, signaling that there is uncertainty among investors currently.

In the coming week, it will be interesting to see if 10 & 50 day moving averages apply downward pressure on their share price or if their resistance levels will be able to be broken.

EZA provides a 3.43% distribution yield for long-term investors which will provide some protection against losses, but hedging a position would be wise if they begin to falter around resistance levels.

EZA has support at the $37.99 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.26:1), $37.92 (Two Touch-points In The Past 52-Weeks; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.26:1), $37.77 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.26:1) & $37.25/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.26:1), with resistance at the $39.27 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.54:1), $39.64 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.54:1), $40.56 (200 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.07:1) & $40.66/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.07:1) price levels.

EZA ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 3-4 Years
EZA ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 3-4 Years

SPTL, the SPDR Barclays Long Term Treasury ETF has fallen -10.5% over the past year, dropping -16.85% from their 52-week high in August of 2022, but has regained +7.41% from their 52-week low in October of 2022 (ex-distributions).

SPTL ETF - SPDR Barclays Long Term Treasury ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
SPTL ETF – SPDR Barclays Long Term Treasury ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is trending towards oversold levels at 36.01, with a bearish reading also coming from their MACD.

Volumes were below average during a week of declines, as prices on Monday were unable to overcome the resistance level set by the 10 & 50 day moving averages & broke down through the 200 day moving average as well.

Friday’s gravestone doji implies that the market views there being more pain on the way for SPTL, as they try to establish a floor in the coming week.

While they pay a 3.03% distribution yield, it would be wise to check into the costs of hedges on any bullish days in the coming weeks to see if there are any discounts on insurance against losses.

SPTL has support at the $28.54 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.47:1), $28.49 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.47:1), $28.46 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.47:1) & $27.86/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.64:1), with resistance at the $29.00 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.14:1), $29.57 (200 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.14:1), $29.62 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.14:1) & $29.82/share (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.14:1) price levels.

SPTL ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 13-14 Years
SPTL ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 13-14 Years

RING, the iShares MSCI Global Gold Miners ETF has advanced +10.5% over the past year, but has fallen -19.1% from their 52-week high in May of 2023, while recovering +35.65% from their 52-week low in September of 2022 (ex-distributions).

RING ETF - iShares MSCI Global Gold Miners ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
RING ETF – iShares MSCI Global Gold Miners ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is on the oversold end of neutral at 40.98, but their MACD is flashing signs of a bearishness in the coming days.

Volumes were below average all of last week, with the exception of on Friday, a day where prices were caught between support from the 200 day moving average & resistance overhead from the 10 day moving average & candle formed a harami pattern with Thursday’s candle, with the prices opening & closing close to the bottom of the day’s range.

Wednesday’s candle was a bearish engulfing candle, which implies that there are further declines in store for RING in the near-term.

While they pay a 2.17% distribution yield to long-term shareholders, market participants with a position in RING would be wise to look for hedges as protection from additional declines.

RING has support at the $22.66 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.18:1), $22.64 (200 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.18:1), $22.45 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.18:1) & $22.00/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.18:1), with resistance at the $22.90 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.18:1), $23.01 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.26:1), $23.06 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.26:1) & $23.18/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.26:1) price levels.

RING ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 4-5 Years
RING ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 4-5 Years

Tying It All Together

Monday kicks off with Wholesale Inventories reported at 10 am, followed by Consumer Credit at 3 pm.

Also on Monday, PriceSmart & WD-40 are set to report earnings.

On Tuesday we get the NFIB Optimism Index reading at 6 am & there are no earnings reports scheduled.

Wednesday is the much anticipated Consumer Price Index, Core CPI, CPI Year-over-Year & Core CPI Year-over-Year at 8:30 am, followed by the Fed Beige Book at 2pm, with earnings reports due to AngioDynamics & MillerKnoll.

On Thursday morning we get the Initial Jobless Claims, Producer Price Index, Core PPI, PPI Year-over-Year & Core PPI Year-over-Year data, all reported at 8:30 am.

Thursday’s earnings include PepsiCo, Delta Airlines, Conagra, Fastenal, Progressive & Washington Federal.

Friday the week winds down with Import Price Index & Import Price Index Minus Fuel data at 8:30 am & Consumer Sentiment reported at 10 am.

JPMorgan Chase, BlackRock, Citigroup, State Street, United Health Group & Wells Fargo are all due to report earnings on Friday.

*** I DO NOT OWN SHARES OR OPTIONS CONTRACT POSITIONS IN SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA, SOXL, BRZU, DXJ, PXJ, PDBC, EZA, SPTL, or RING AT THE TIME OF PUBLISHING THIS ARTICLE ***

Weekly Stock & ETF Market Review 7/2/2023

SPY, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF gained +2.32% over the past week, much of which came from Friday’s +1.18% gap up session.

SPY ETF - SPDR S&P 500 ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
SPY ETF – SPDR S&P 500 ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is about to enter overbought territory at 69.69 & their MACD is bullish.

Last week’s trading volumes were above average compared to the year prior, signaling confidence behind their price action in investors’ eyes.

However, Wednesday’s spinning top & Friday’s shooting star candlestick are signaling that there will be a cool down period in prices in the near-term, especially when combined with the other indicators.

Their 10 day moving average will be the first major test of support.

SPY has support at the $436.67 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.32:1), $424.79 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.24:1), $420.53 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.30:1) & $415.18/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 3:1) price levels, with resistance (all on 2 year chart) at the $447.43 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.14:1), $452.69 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.25:1), $460.87 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.5:0*) & $468.78/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 3.33:1) price levels.

SPY ETF's Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 1-2 Years
SPY ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 1-2 Years

QQQ, the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF added +1.9% over the past week, mostly due to Friday’s +1.54% gap up after spending the week in a consolidation range.

QQQ ETF - Invesco QQQ Trust ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
QQQ ETF – Invesco QQQ Trust ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is trending towards overbought conditions, with their MACD bearishly falling.

Last week’s trading volumes were relatively average compared to the year prior, with the candlesticks for the week adding more color to how investors are feeling about QQQ.

The first four days of the week traded in a relatively tight range, with Thursday closing with a hanging man candlestick, projecting bearish sentiment.

Friday’s candle’s open to closing price range all took place on the lower range of the candle overall, which also paints a cautious attitude among investors.

QQQ has support at the $364.42 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.16:1), $340.79 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.2:1), $332.05 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 3.2:1) & $312.77/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 3.64:1) price levels, with resistance at the $372.34 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1:0*), $374.55 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1:0*), $377.97 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.33:1) & $400.45/share (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) price levels.

QQQ ETF's Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 1-2 Years
QQQ ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 1-2 Years

IWM, the iShares Russell 2000 ETF climbed +3.71% over the past week, as small caps were the favorite among investors for the week.

IWM ETF - iShares Russell 2000 ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
IWM ETF – iShares Russell 2000 ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is trending towards overbought at 61.19, with their MACD bullish.

Recent volumes this past week were above average compared to the year prior, but Friday’s filled in, but bullish hanging man candle casts a foreboding shadow around a week of solid growth & performance for IWM.

IWM has support at the $186.81 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.91:1) $185.44 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.75:1), $184.17 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.75:1) & $183.56/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.23:1) price levels, with resistance at the $187.48 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.91:1), $189.24 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.19:1), $197.98 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.31:1) & $198.74/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.5:1) price levels.

IWM ETF's Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 1-2 Years
IWM ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 1-2 Years

DIA, the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF improved +1.98% over the past week, in large part thanks to Friday’s +0.79% gap up session.

DIA ETF - SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
DIA ETF – SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is trending towards overbought, with a bullish MACD.

Recent volumes this past week were slightly below average compared to the year prior.

Friday’s spinning top candle will make it important to watch the window created by the day’s gap up, as well as the support that the 10 day moving average provides in the near-term for when trying to figure out where there price is heading next.

DIA has support at the $341.08 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.71:1), $340.36 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.71:1), $340.04 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.71:1) & $339.94/share (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.01:1), with resistance at the $343.94 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.71:1), $345.73 (Volume Sentiment: Even, 1:1), $346.22 (Volume Sentiment: Even, 1:1) & $347.93/share (Volume Sentiment: Even, 1:1) price levels.

DIA ETF's Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 1-2 Years
DIA ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 1-2 Years

Let’s dive into some of the best & worst performing geo-locations & industries in the market based on technical ratings from this week’s data!

Greece (GREK), Information Technology (FTEC), U.S. Infrastructure Development (PAVE) & Self Driving EV & Tech (IDRV) Are All Bullishly Leading The Market

GREK, the Global X MSCI Greece ETF has gained +64.96% over the past year, climbing +79.03% since their 52-week low in September of 2022 (ex-distributions).

GREK ETF - Global X MSCI Greece ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
GREK ETF – Global X MSCI Greece ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is approaching overbought conditions at 67.56, with their MACD primed to bullishly crossover in the coming days.

Recent trading volumes have been above average, showing that investors are confident in GREK at the moment, but they did dip under their 10 day moving average last week, indicating that the support was broken & may not be strong in the near-term.

Last week’s candlesticks had a few spinning tops, a large gap up on Thursday & a doji to close the week on Friday, which also hints at upcoming weakness on the horizon.

While they offer a 2.44% distribution yield to long-term holders, investors would be wise to have an options position for insurance against losses in the near-term, such as selling calls or buying puts, while watching their behavior at support levels.

GREK has support at the $36.97 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), $36.39 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), $35.21 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), $33.75/share (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), with resistance at the (11 year chart) $43.93 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), $46.86 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), $48.65 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) & $50.09/share (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) price levels.

GREK ETF's Price Level:Volume Sentiment From The Past 7-8 Years
GREK ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 7-8 Years

FTEC, the Fidelity MSCI Information Technology ETF has improved +36.04% over the past year, including a +51.57% gain since their 52-week low in September of 2022 (ex-distributions.)

FTEC ETF - Fidelity MSCI Information Technology ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
FTEC ETF – Fidelity MSCI Information Technology ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is approaching overbought conditions at 66.62, with their MACD curling upwards looking to bullishly crossover.

Recent trading volumes have been about average, but last week’s candlesticks do not paint the rosiest of outlook pictures.

Most of the price action of the first three sessions of last week was centered around the bottom of each daily candles’ range, except for Tuesday whose real body was the majority of the candle, with small shadows on top & bottom, showing that prices favored being lower.

Thursday’s dragonfly doji followed by Friday’s +1.57% gap up & shooting star candlestick do not signal strength & the window created by the gap will be an interesting place to watch to see if it fills in in the near-term.

FTEC pays a modest 0.69% distribution yield to long-term shareholders, which provides limited cushion against losses, making it important to have some form of insurance using options in order to prevent near-term losses.

FTEC has support at the $128.19 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.42:1), $120.07 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.16:1)$114.81 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.12:1) & $109.60/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.29:1) price levels, with resistance at the $132.02 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.73:1) & $136.37/share (2022; Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) price levels.

FTEC ETF's Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 1-2 Years
FTEC ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 1-2 Years

PAVE, the Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF has added +38.22% over the past year, climbing +41.93% since their 52-week low in July of 2022 (ex-distributions).

PAVE ETF - Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
PAVE ETF – Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is overbought at 74.24 & their MACD is bullish, after they spent late-May through June rallying ~14%.

Recent trading volumes have been above average compared to the year prior, confirming the rally in price.

There should be a near-term pullback in price, indicated by both the oscillators & Wednesday & Friday’s dragonfly doji candlesticks.

PAVE’s 0.7% distribution yield is not much in terms of protection against losses, so it would be wise to have an options strategy for loss protection up while waiting to see how they behave around support levels.

PAVE has support at the $30.51 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 0.2:0*), $30.14 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 0.2:0*), $29.84 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.83:1) & $28.46/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.63:1) price levels, with no current resistance levels as they are at an all time high.

PAVE ETF's Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 5-6 Years
PAVE ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 5-6 Years

IDRV, the iShares Self Driving EV & Tech ETF has gained +14.18% over the past year, gaining +28.41% since their 52-week low in October of 2022 (ex-distributions).

IDRV ETF - iShares Self Driving EV & Tech ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
IDRV ETF – iShares Self Driving EV & Tech ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is trending towards overbought at 65.85 & their MACD has recently bullishly crossed over.

Recent volumes have been below average compared to the year prior though, signaling that investors are becoming less enthusiastic about IDRV recently.

The 10 day moving average will be an important support level to watch in the coming week, especially once the window that resulted from Friday’s +2.51% gap up session begins to close.

IDRV pays a 1.89% distribution yield for long-term holders, which does not provide much protection against losses, making it important to have some form of an options strategy for insurance along with any open position.

IDRV has support at the $39.93 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.04:1), $39.53 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.04:1), $38.99 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.11:1) & $38.78/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.11:1) price levels, with resistance at the $41.36 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.25:1), $41.52 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.25:1), $41.81 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.25:1) & $43.16/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.44:1) price levels.

IDRV ETF's Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 3-4 Years
IDRV ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 3-4 Years

Regional Banking (KRE), Tail Risk (TAIL), Global Agriculture (FTAG) & China (GXC) Are All Bearishly Lagging The Market

KRE, the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF has fallen -28.71% over the past year, losing -40.68% since their 52-week high in August of 2022, but has gained +18.28% since their 52-week low in May of 2023 (ex-distributions).

KRE ETF - SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
KRE ETF – SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is neutral at 48.62 & their MACD is looking to bullishly crossover in the coming sessions.

Recent trading volumes have been above average compared to the year prior, but Friday’s bearish engulfing candlestick hints at more downside risk on the horizon.

Last Monday kicked off with an inverted hammer candlestick, which signals a bullish reversal, but the top of the shadow will need to remain in tact after Friday’s close came close to it, breaking below the 10 day moving average, but remaining above the 50 day moving average.

KRE does offer a 3.76% distribution yield for long-term holders, but caution should be exercised in the near-term with KRE until they have established an uptrend from support levels.

KRE has support at the $40.28 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: ), $39.38 (Volume Sentiment: ), $38.09 (Volume Sentiment: ) & $35.43/share (Volume Sentiment: ) price levels, with resistance at the $40.90 (Volume Sentiment: ), $40.95 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: ), $41.06 (Volume Sentiment: ) & $41.18/share (Volume Sentiment: ) price levels.

KRE ETF's Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 2-3 Years
KRE ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 2-3 Years

TAIL, the Cambria Tail Risk ETF has declined -20.6% over the past year, losing -24.72% from their 52-week high in July of 2022 & recently added +0.37% to their 52-week low in June of 2023 (ex-distributions).

TAIL ETF - Cambria Tail Risk ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
TAIL ETF – Cambria Tail Risk ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is moving back towards oversold levels at 36.54, as their MACD is on the verge of a bearish crossover.

Recent trading volumes have been below average compared to the year prior, signaling investors are not overly confident in TAIL.

While they offer a 2.85% distribution yield for long-term holders, they’re currently trading at an all-time low, making that limited additional loss cushion still too risky until the price has begun to stabilize & trend back upwards.

TAIL has no current support levels as it is at an all-time low & has resistance overhead at the $13.72 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: ), $14.05 (Volume Sentiment: ), $14.14 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: ) & $14.27/share (Volume Sentiment: ) price levels.

TAIL ETF's Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 4-5 Years
TAIL ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 4-5 Years

FTAG, the First Trust IndXX Global Agriculture ETF has lost -1.31% over the past year, falling -13.82% from their 52-week high in August of 2022, while improving +4.24% since their 52-week low in July of 2022 (ex-distributions).

FTAG ETF - First Trust IndXX Global Agriculture ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
FTAG ETF – First Trust Indxx Global Agriculture ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is neutral at 51.16, with a flat MACD as their price sits between the 10 & 50 day moving averages.

Recent trading volumes have been lighter than average compared to the prior year, as investors are beginning to lack enthusiasm in FTAG’s price movements.

While Friday’s session was a +0.85% gap up, the candle is filled in as the price closed lower than it opened & with the shadow on the bottom of the candle there is still negative sentiment for FTAG.

They offer a 4.5% distribution yield for long-term holders, which does provide some cushion against losses, but it would be best to see which side they breakout & begin trending in in the near-term to mitigate risk.

FTAG has support at the $26.72 (10 Day Moving Average & 2 Touch-points; Volume Sentiment: ), $26.09 (Volume Sentiment: ), $25.44 (Volume Sentiment: ) & $25.43/share (Volume Sentiment: ) price levels, with resistance at the $26.98 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: ), $27.24 (Volume Sentiment: ), $27.32 (Volume Sentiment: ) & $27.33/share (Volume Sentiment: ) price levels.

FTAG ETF's Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 9-10 Years
FTAG ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 9-10 Years

GXC, the SPDR S&P China ETF has shed -17.51% over the past year, dropping -20.25% since their 52-week high in July of 2022, but has recovered +22.3% since their 52-week low in October of 2022 (ex-distributions).

GXC ETF - SPDR S&P China ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
GXC ETF – SPDR S&P China ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is trending back towards neutral at 45.44, but their MACD is still currently bearish.

Recent volumes have been above average compared to the year prior, but not consistently which still indicates indecision among investors.

Two Friday’s ago closed in a hammer, which was followed by last Monday’s session with a gavestone doji mostly in the same range.

The rest of the week was marked by gappy trading up & down, with a couple of dragonfly dojis midweek, making the range that they were gapping around an interesting level to watch in the near-term.

They offer a 2.94% distribution yield, but investors should wait for them to establish a trend before starting or adding to an existing position.

GXC has support at the $72.78 (Volume Sentiment: ), $72.66 (Volume Sentiment: ), $70.21 (Volume Sentiment: ) & $69.34/share (Volume Sentiment: ) price levels, with resistance overhead at the $73.84 (Volume Sentiment: ), $74.45 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: ), $75.23 (Volume Sentiment: ) & $75.72/share (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: ) price levels.

GXC ETF's Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 1-2 Years
GXC ETF’s Price Level:Volume Sentiment From Over The Past 1-2 Years

Tying It All Together

Monday kicks off with ISM Manufacturing & Construction Spending data at 10 am before the markets close early for the Fourth of July.

Tuesday the markets will all be closed in observance of Fourth of July.

Wednesday begins with ADP Employment data at 8:15 am, followed by Factory Orders data at 10 am & at 2pm the Minutes of the Fed’s June FOMC Meeting are released.

On Thursday Initial Jobless Claims & the U.S. Trade Deficit data are reported at 8:30 am & at 10 am Job Openings & ISM Services data are set to be reported.

Levi Strauss will report earnings on Thursday.

The week concludes with the U.S. Employment Report, U.S. Unemployment Rate, U.S. Hourly Wages & Hourly Wages Year-over-Year data all coming out at 8:30 am on Friday.

AZZ is set to report earnings on Friday.

See you back here next week!

*** I DO NOT OWN SHARES OR OPTIONS CONTRACT POSITIONS IN SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA, GREK, FTEC, PAVE, IDRV, KRE, TAIL, FTAG, or GXC AT THE TIME OF PUBLISHING THIS ARTICLE ***

Weekly Stock & ETF Market Review 6/25/2023

SPY, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF shed -1.42% this past week, as investors broadly were taking chips off of the table from stocks of all market cap sizes.

SPY ETF - SPDR S&P 500 ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
SPY ETF – SPDR S&P 500 ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is trending towards oversold at 60.04, and their MACD is primed to bearishly crossover in the coming session.

Volumes this past week were roughly average compared to the year prior, with Friday’s gravestone doji candlestick indicating that investors have begun to lose enthusiasm & points towards more declines in the coming week.

The week kicked off with SPY hitting a new high, only to retreat & close lower, followed by a dragonfly doji candle on Tuesday, indicating a reversal was imminent & a spinning top Wednesday, which indicated further indecision by market participants.

Friday’s session’s price action taking place largely underneath the 10 day moving average is also a sign of support being broken in early stages, which is also bearish.

SPY has support at the $424.79 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.24:1), $418.03 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.33:1), $415.18 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 3:1) & $405.55/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.90:1) price levels, with resistance at the $435.34 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 4.25:1), $443.18 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.35:1) $447.43 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.14:1) & $452.69/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.25:1) price levels.

SPY Price:Volume Levels At Current Price & Neighboring Price Levels That Contain Support & Resistance Points From The Past 2-3 Years
SPY Price:Volume Levels At Current Price & Neighboring Price Levels That Contain Support & Resistance Points From The Past 2-3 Years

QQQ, the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF lost -1.33% this past week, faring the best of the major indexes in a week of declines across the board.

QQQ ETF - Invesco QQQ Trust ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
QQQ ETF – Invesco QQQ Trust ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI has retreated from overbought conditions this past week to settle at 63.07 & their MACD has bearishly crossed over.

Trading volumes were about average compared to the year prior, with last week’s candlesticks indicating further declines are on the horizon.

Like SPY, QQQ opened the week testing to break out of last week’s highs, but ultimately closed lower on Monday, followed by a spinning top of Tuesday that showed investors weren’t certain about last week’s trend.

Thursday’s candle was a bullish engulfing candle, but Friday closed off with a doji where the open & close were on the bottom half of the candle, indicating that the sentiment overall has become more cautious.

QQQ has support at the $336.24 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.69:1), $332.05 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 3.2:1), $312.77 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 3.64:1) & $308.88/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.55:1) price levels, with resistance at the $363.69 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.5:1), $372.34 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1:0*), $377.97 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.33:1) & $404.02/share (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) price levels.

QQQ Price:Volume Levels At Current Price & Neighboring Price Levels That Contain Support & Resistance Points From The Past 2-3 Years
QQQ Price:Volume Levels At Current Price & Neighboring Price Levels That Contain Support & Resistance Points From The Past 2-3 Years

IWM, the iShares Russell 2000 ETF fell -2.89% this past week, as small cap stocks were the most fled from.

IWM ETF - iShares Russell 2000 ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
IWM ETF – iShares Russell 2000 ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is just below the neutral level of 50 at 48.23, and their MACD bearishly crossed over during the past week.

Volumes were above average this past week compared to the year prior, indicating investor sentiment is largely negative.

The week before, IWM indicated a reversal on the horizon with a piercing line pattern on Thursday & Friday, with Monday’s session forming a dark cloud cover pattern with the previous Friday’s candle.

Tuesday’s dragonfly doji confirmed the reversal, as Wednesday’s spinning top candle, and Friday’s gravestone doji candle indicates that more bearishness is likely to come in the upcoming week.

IWM has support at the $179.28 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.84:1), $178.36 (200 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.84:1), $177.67 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.06:1) & $175.34/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.45:1) price levels, with resistance at the $183.56 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.23:1), $185.18 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.75:1), $185.44 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.75:1) & $186.81/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.91:1) price levels.

IWM Price:Volume Levels At Current Price & Neighboring Price Levels That Contain Support & Resistance Points From The Past 1-2 Years
IWM Price:Volume Levels At Current Price & Neighboring Price Levels That Contain Support & Resistance Points From The Past 1-2 Years

DIA, the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF declined -1.69% over the past week, as even large cap names were not spared from the week’s selling pressure.

DIA ETF - SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
DIA ETF – SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is neutral, with their MACD also giving a bearish signal reading.

Last week’s volumes were overall relatively average compared to the year prior, signaling that investors have become less confident in the large cap DJIA names.

The week kicked off Monday forming a dark cloud cover pattern over Friday’s candlestick, which led to the declines of the rest of the week.

The middle of the week signaled further bearishness/uncertainty, with a handing man, doji & spinning top, that was finished off with more bearish uncertainty Friday, which closed with a gap down session doji candle.

DIA has support at the $336.44 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.01:1), $335.27 (50 Day Moving Average, Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.20:1), $326.32 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.19:1) & $325.09/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.19:1) price levels, with resistance at the $340.04 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.71:1), $340.36 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.71:1), $340.37 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.71:1) & $341.08/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.71:1) price levels.

DIA Price:Volume Levels At Current Price & Neighboring Price Levels That Contain Support & Resistance Points From The Past 2-3 Years
DIA Price:Volume Levels At Current Price & Neighboring Price Levels That Contain Support & Resistance Points From The Past 2-3 Years

Argentina (ARGT), U.S. Home Construction (ITB), Emerging Markets Local Debt (ELD) & Spain (EWP) Are All Bullishly Leading The Market

ARGT, the Global X MSCI Argentina ETF has climbed +82.37% over the past year, including a +96.65% ascent from their 52-week low in July of 2022 (ex-distributions).

ARGT ETF - Global X MSCI Argentina ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
ARGT ETF – Global X MSCI Argentina ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is overbought at 71.01 & their MACD is beginning to curl over signaling near-term bearishness after climbing aggressively in the latter portions of June.

Recent trading volumes have been above average compared to the year prior, signaling strong conviction among investors, but Thursday’s completion of a bearish Harame pattern further indicates a near-term reversal.

The 10 day moving average at $44.53 will be an area of support to watch in the coming week.

Note that ARGT pays a 1.82% distribution yield for long-term holders, which provides a moderate cushion against losses, which suggests that an insurance policy using options is best for investors with an open positions (such as selling near-term out of the money calls or buying puts), while watching their behavior at support levels.

ARGT has support at the $44.53 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), $41.96 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 0.3:0*), $41.59 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 0.3:0*) & $41.27/share (50 Day Moving Average: ; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 0.3:0*), with resistance overhead at the $46.95 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), as they are near an all-time high.

ARGT Price:Volume Levels At Current Price & Neighboring Price Levels That Contain Support & Resistance Points
ARGT Price:Volume Levels At Current Price & Neighboring Price Levels That Contain Support & Resistance Points From The Past 8-9 Years

ITB, the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF has gained +58.42% over the past year, earning +63.54% since their 52-week low in October of 2022 (ex-distributions).

ITB ETF - iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
ITB ETF – iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is also overbought at 71.27, with their MACD still bullish, but signaling a bearish crossover is on the near-term horizon, as they closed Friday’s session near their all-time high (from 2022).

Recent trading volumes have been slightly below average compared to the year prior, signaling waning enthusiasm among investors & Thursday’s inside candle when combined with Friday’s session, that while was a bullish day, had a much longer upper shadow than lower shadow (barely visible) signals investors are becoming skittish at these high levels & a correction is on the near-horizon.

Unfortunately, ITB’s distribution yield for long-term investors is only 0.62%, which hardly provides any cushion against losses, making it wise to have an insurance policy using options, or to liquidate a position while waiting to see where the dust settles as they retest support levels.

ITB has support at the $80.75 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), $77.74 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.18:1), $76.02 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 5:1) & $73.65/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.24:1) price levels, with resistance at the $82.42/share price level (All-time high, from 2022; Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*).

ITB Price:Volume Levels At Current Price & Neighboring Price Levels That Contain Support & Resistance Points
ITB Price:Volume Levels At Current Price & Neighboring Price Levels That Contain Support & Resistance Points From The Past 1-2 Years

ELD, the Wisdom Tree Emerging Markets Local Debt Fund ETF has improved +14.39% over the past year, edging up +16.44% since their 52-week low in October of 2022 (ex-distributions).

ELD ETF - Wisdom Tree Emerging Markets Local Debt Fund ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
ELD ETF – Wisdom Tree Emerging Markets Local Debt Fund ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is returning from overbought conditions & has fallen to 64.74 (still above neutral), with their MACD having curled over bearishly & prone to crossover bearish in the coming days.

Investors seem to be unenthused at the moment, with recent trading volumes being below average compared to the year prior & last week’s candlesticks consisting of all spinning tops & a hanging man on Wednesday, signaling a reversal is imminent.

While they offer a generous 4.82% distribution yield, unless holding an options strategy to protect against losses investors should be weary of impending losses on the near horizon & be ready to watch their behavior at support levels in the coming weeks.

ELD has support at the $27.68 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.14:1), $27.52 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.14:1), $27.07 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.14:1) & $26.10/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.25:1), with resistance at the $27.90 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.14:1), $28.45 (2022; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.07:1), $28.61 (2021; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.07:1) $30.50/share (2021; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.03:1) price levels.

ELD Price:Volume Levels At Current Price & Neighboring Price Levels That Contain Support & Resistance Points
ELD Price:Volume Levels At Current Price & Neighboring Price Levels That Contain Support & Resistance Points From The Past 10-11 Years

EWP, the iShares MSCI Spain Capped ETF has gained +21.83% over the past year, climbing 43.49% since their 52-week low in October of 2022 (ex-distributions).

EWP ETF - iShares MSCI Spain Capped ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
EWP ETF – iShares MSCI Spain Capped ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is neutral at 47.98, with their MACD looking ready to crossover bearishly during Monday or Tuesday’s session.

Recent trading volumes have been below average compared to the year prior (with exception to a couple of days 2 weeks ago) signaling that enthusiasm is running low among investors, and Thursday’s doji candle combined with Friday’s -1.81% gap down gravestone doji candle that opened below the 10 & 50 day moving averages & never came near them as resistance levels signals near-term bearishness.

With a 2.62% distribution yield there is some protection against future losses, but shareholders would be wise to protect themselves with an options strategy that is appropriate to their experience level while watching their behavior at support levels.

EWP has support at the $27.62 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.51:1), $27.05 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.51:1), $26.43 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.03:1) & $25.81/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.40:1) price levels, with resistance at the $27.85 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.51:1), $27.98 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.51:1), $28.70 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.81:1) & $28.81/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.81:1) price levels.

EWP Price:Volume Levels At Current Price & Neighboring Price Levels That Contain Support & Resistance Points
EWP Price:Volume Levels At Current Price & Neighboring Price Levels That Contain Support & Resistance Points From The Past 13-14 Years

Cannabis (POTX), Energy (ERX), China (MCHI) & Global Natural Resources (GNR) Are All Bearishly Lagging The Market

POTX, the Global X Cannabis ETF has lost -61.16% over the past year, losing -66.82% from their 52-week high in August of 2022, but has improved +1.36% since their 52-week low in June of 2023 (ex-distributions).

POTX ETF - Global X Cannabis ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
POTX ETF – Global X Cannabis ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is just above oversold levels at 30.31 after a long, steady decline over the past few years, with their MACD also bearish.

Most of the past week’s candlesticks were dojis, including two dragonfly dojis midweek as they declined on below average volume as investors really don’t seem to know what to make of this ETF currently & are most likely waiting for some regulatory news to spark a turnaround.

While their 5.44% distribution yield is generous, I’m not certain that this is worth the risk for the reasons outlined above, but for those who want to take the risk be advised to have insurance for the position just in case.

There is no support level as they are at an all time low with Friday’s close, with resistance overhead at the $6.95 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0), $7.08 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.25:1), $7.40 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.25:1), $7.82 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.25:1) & $7.91/share (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.25:1).

POTX Price:Volume Levels At Current Price & Neighboring Price Levels That Contain Support & Resistance Points From The Past 2-3 Years

ERX, Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2x Shares ETF has gained +12.39% over the past year, but has fallen -36.18% from their 52-week high in November of 2022, while rebounding +28% from their 52-week low in July of 2022 (ex-distributions).

ERX ETF - Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2x Shares ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
ERX ETF – Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2x Shares ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is on the oversold end of neutral at 40.48 & their MACD crossed over bearishly last week.

Trading volumes have been well below average for a while now compared to the year prior, signaling investors are not feeling confident in their prospects, with Friday’s -1.7% gap down & spinning top candle further adding to the uncertain/bearish sentiment.

While ERX does offer a 3.44% distribution yield, that is not much protection against downside losses, making it wise to have a form of options strategy in place to protect existing positions from losses while waiting to see how they behave around support levels.

ERX has support at the $48.95 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 3.2:0*), $48.47 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 3.2:0*), $47.95 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0) & $47.31/share (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0) price levels, with resistance at the $48.95 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 3.2:0*), $50.43 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.36:1), $50.84 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.36:1) & $52.54 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.06:1) price levels.

ERX Price:Volume Levels At Current Price & Neighboring Price Levels That Contain Support & Resistance Points
ERX Price:Volume Levels At Current Price & Neighboring Price Levels That Contain Support & Resistance Points From The Past 1-2 Years

MCHI, the iShares MSCI China ETF has declined -16.66% over the past year, losing -22.6% from their 52-week high in June of 2022, while gaining +26.16% since their 52-week low in October of 2022 (ex-distributions).

MCHI ETF - iShares MSCI China ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
MCHI ETF – iShares MSCI China ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is on the oversold end of neutral at 40.86, with their MACD just having crossed over bearishly this past week.

Recent trading volumes have been below average compared to the year prior (with exception to a couple of days in the past 2 weeks), which is further confirmed by last week’s two gap down sessions that cleared below all of their major moving averages & continued downward & include a shooting star & dragonfly doji midweek.

Their 1.81% distribution yield for long-term holders is not very much protection against further downside, making it imperative to have some form of an insurance strategy in place for any open long-positions.

MCHI has support at the $43.91 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.71:1), $42.18 (Volume Sentiment: Even, 1:1), $41.45 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.17:1) & $41.22/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.17:1) price levels, with resistance at the $44.60 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.19:1), $45.70 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.41:1), $45.97 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.41:1) & $46.28/share (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.2:1) price levels.

MCHI Price:Volume Levels At Current Price & Neighboring Price Levels That Contain Support & Resistance Points
MCHI Price:Volume Levels At Current Price & Neighboring Price Levels That Contain Support & Resistance Points From The Past 2-3 Years

GNR, the SPDR S&P Global Natural Resources ETF has nudged ahead +6.93% over the past year, declining -15.21% from their 52-week high in January of 2023, but gaining +11.6% from their 52-week low in July of 2022 (ex-distributions).

GNR ETF - SPDR S&P Global Natural Resources ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
GNR ETF – SPDR S&P Global Natural Resources ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is on the oversold end of neutral at 41.96, with their MACD being bearish.

Recent trading volumes have been below average for the year prior, with two gap down sessions last week & a dragonfly doji on Thursday & a -1.61% gap down doji session further confirming near-term uncertainty among investors.

Their 4.29% distribution yield will provide some protection against losses, insurance would be wise to have in the coming weeks against further declines.

GNR has support at the $51.50 (Volume Sentiment: Even, 1:1), $51.27 (Volume Sentiment: Even, 1:1), $51.01 (Volume Sentiment: Even, 1:1) & $50.48/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.32:1) price levels, with resistance at the $52.80 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.18:1), $54.02 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.56:1), $54.06 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.56:1) & $54.36/share (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.56:1) price levels.

GNR Price:Volume Levels At Current Price & Neighboring Price Levels That Contain Support & Resistance Points
GNR Price:Volume Levels At Current Price & Neighboring Price Levels That Contain Support & Resistance Points From The Past 4-5 Years

Tying It All Together

This week starts off on a quiet note, with no major data announcements on Monday, and Carnival reporting earnings.

Tuesday we get Durable-Goods Orders & Durable-Goods Minus Transportation data at 8:30 am, followed by the S&P Case-Schiller Home Price Index (20 Cities) at 9 am, and New Home Sales & Consumer Confidence data at 10 am.

Also on Tuesday, Walgreens Boots Alliance, AeroVironment, Jefferies & Schnitzer Steel will report earnings.

Wednesday kicks off at 8:30 am with Advanced U.S. Trade Balance in Goods, Advanced Retail Inventories & Advanced Wholesale Inventories, followed by Fed Chair Powell speaking at 9:30 am.

BlackBerry, General Mills, H.B. Fuller, Korn/Ferry, Micron Technology, National Beverage & Worthington Industries all report earnings on Wednesday.

Thursday at 2:30 am Fed Chair Powell is set to speak, followed by Initial Jobless Claims data at 8:30 am & Pending Homes Sales data will be reported at 10 am.

Nike, Greenbrier, McCormick, Paychex, Rite Aid, Simply Good Foods are among the earnings reports set for Thursday.

Friday morning will be busy on the data front, beginning at 8:30 am with Personal Income (nominal), Personal Spending (nominal), PCE Index, Core PCE Index, PCE (year-over-year) & Core PCE (year-over-year), followed by the Chicago Business Barometer at 9:45 am & Consumer Sentiment (final) data at 10 am.

Constellation Brands will also report earnings on Friday.

See you back here next week!

*** I DO NOT OWN SHARES OR OPTIONS CONTRACT POSITIONS IN SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA, ARGT, ITB, ELD, EWP, POTX, ERX, MCHI, or GNR AT THE TIME OF PUBLISHING THIS ARTICLE ***

Weekly Stock & ETF Market Review 6/11/2023

SPY, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF added +0.46% last week, with stocks remaining relatively flat in the index all week, prior to Thursday’s session & Friday’s +0.18% gap up day on a gravestone doji candlestick (we will jump into that in a moment).

SPY ETF - SPDR S&P 500 ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
SPY ETF – SPDR S&P 500 ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is approaching overbought levels at 66.68 (per Friday’s close), with volumes being average at best during the week compared to the year prior, as this week’s data & rates announcements are high on investors’ minds.

SPY’s MACD is still showing bullishness, but their candlesticks are signaling a bit of uncertainty amongst investors.

Monday through Thursday, their candles look like a shelf of books, all tightly tied to the closing price of the previous Friday’s session (which also happened to be a gap up).

The gravestone doji is a major showing of uncertainty, if not bearishness, as the day’s session had enough range of prices to create the shadows of the candlestick, but the opening & closing price were near identical, and on the lower end of the day’s overall trading range.

Clearly, there are some concerns about the near-term future performance about the S&P 500, which the CPI, PPI & Fed interest rate announcement are causing.

SPY has support at the $426.37 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.56:1), $424.85 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.56:1) , $416.72 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.33:1) & $414.13/share (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 3:1) price levels, with resistance at the $438.53 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.32:1), $442.12 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.35:1), $449.09 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.89:1) & $454.37/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.25:1) price levels.

SPY ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
SPY ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
SPY Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels
SPY Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels

QQQ, the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF took a modest -0.04% decline last week, in a slightly more bearish, but similar appearing week to the S&P 500.

QQQ ETF - Invesco QQQ Trust ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
QQQ ETF – Invesco QQQ Trust ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI looks set to cross back into overbought territory after closing on Friday at 69.47, but trading volumes all week were nothing spectacular & their MACD looks ready to make a bearish crossover in the coming days’ sessions.

QQQ’s Monday through Thursday candlesticks also behaved as an extension of the range that the previous Friday’s gap up created, with a similar gravestone doji candlestick on Friday’s +0.39% gap up session.

It goes without saying that this would be the case for the tech heavy NASDAQ index, who would be more adversely impacted by further interest rate hikes, whether one happens on Wednesday, or one becomes evident in the coming months based on the data being reported Tuesday & Wednesday before the announcement.

QQQ has support at the $351.92 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Even, 1:1), $332.51 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 3.2:1), $328.09 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.8:1) & $313.19 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 3.64:1), with resistance a the $368.99 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 0.75:0*), $375.07 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1:0*) , $378.49 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.33:1) & $401/share (Volume Sentiment: Even, 0:0*).

QQQ ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
QQQ ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay

QQQ Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels
QQQ Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels

IWM, the iShares Russell 2000 ETF gained +1.93% last week, as investors retreated to safety in small cap stocks in anticipation of further uncertainty.

IWM ETF - iShares Russell 2000 ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
IWM ETF – iShares Russell 2000 ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

To no surprise, the small cap oriented Russell 2000’s chart offers a different view than the S&P 500 & NASDAQ’s, with IWM’s RSI being at 62.42 & with the week’s overall volume being above average compared to the year prior.

Their MACD has been in a steep bullish incline, but is beginning to show signs of faltering in the near-term.

Friday’s session confirmed that even the investors who flocked into the small cap names are still on edge & nervous, as Wednesday’s gap up was followed by a down session with a spinning top & then a -0.84% Friday session.

IWM has support at the $183.56 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.23:1), $180.23 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.1:1), $179.28 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.84:1) & $178.26/share (200 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.84:1) , with resistance at the $185.44 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.84:1) , $186.81 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.91:1), $187.48 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.91:1) & $187.77/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.91:1) price levels.

IWM ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
IWM ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
IWM Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels
IWM Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels

DIA, the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF added +0.35% last week, started the week off on a down day, but managed to scrape together a decent week overall.

DIA ETF - SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
DIA ETF – SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is trending towards overbought, but remains at 61.09, but the week’s volumes were subdued compared to the year prior.

Their MACD is still bullish, but beginning to show signals of weakening sentiment.

Tuesday’s dragonfly doji prompted the rally into the end of the week after Monday’s losses, but their upcoming resistance tests pose some difficulty for the index.

DIA has support at the $337.20 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.01:1), $334.75 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.20:1), $334.63 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.20:1) & $327.05/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.19:1) & resistance at the $340.80 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.71:1) , $341.13 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.71:1) , $341.85 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.71:1) & $344.72/share (Volume Sentiment: Even 1:1) price levels.

DIA ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
DIA ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
DIA Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels
DIA Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels

Semiconductors (SOXL), Brazil (BRZU), Latin America 40 (ILF) & Housing (HOMZ) Have All Been Bullishly Leading The Market

SOXL, the Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares ETF has gained +45.44% over the past year, gaining an impressive +260.71% since its 52-week low in October of 2022 (ex-distributions), to close at $22.40/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.57:1).

SOXL ETF - Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
SOXL ETF – Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is approaching overbought territory (at 66.84 at Friday’s close), but their MACD is beginning to signal a bearish crossover in the coming week.

Weaker than average volumes last week compared to the week prior confirm investors are feeling on the fence with SOXL & their sentiment is a signal of impending weakness.

Last week’s candlesticks’ opening & closing levels being tied tightly to a $22-range also confirm that investors are feeling on the fence at the moment.

Their 0.54% distribution yield does not provide much of a cushion to protect against losses.

Shareholders who are not looking to trim positions should have an insurance policy (selling calls, buying puts) & non-shareholders should be eyeing how they behave around their support levels in the near-term to find where they might like to enter a position when an uptrend has been established.

SOXL has support at the $22.09 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.57:1), $22.01 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.57:1), $20.43 (Volume Sentiment: & $19.22 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.94:1) , with resistance at the $24.80 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), $26.03 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), $27.87 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) & $32.77/share (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) price levels.

SOXL ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
SOXL ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
SOXL Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels

BRZU, the Direxion Daily Brazil Bull 2x Shares ETF has climbed +22.47% over the past year, posting a +62.7% gain since their 52-week low in February of 2023 (ex-distributions) to close at $86.19/share on Friday (Volume Sentiment: Even, 0:0*).

BRZU ETF - Direxion Daily Brazil Bull 2x Shares ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
BRZU ETF – Direxion Daily Brazil Bull 2x Shares ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is overbought at 72.99 (per Friday’s close), after the prior Friday’s gap up spurred an +11.67% climb last week.

While their MACD is still bullish, volumes have been lighter than the year prior’s average, signaling uncertainty, which is confirmed by the many spinning top candlesticks of last week & Friday’s candle’s open & close occupying the bottom of the candle, with an upper shadow but no lower shadow.

BRZU pays a 3.71% distribution yield, which offers some protection for investors against losses, but an additional insurance policy through an options strategy would be wise in the near-term, while watching their behavior at support levels.

BRZU has support at the $84.36 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), $84.26 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), $84.01 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) & $80.92/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.67:1) price levels, with resistance at the $86.93 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), $87.30 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), $92.79 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) & $92.93/share (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) price levels, with resistance at the $86.93 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), $87.30 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*), $92.79 (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) & $92.93/share (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) price levels.

BRZU ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
BRZU ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
BRZU Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels
BRZU Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels

ILF, iShares Latin America 40 ETF has risen +23.77% over the past year, notching +29.1% since their 52-week low of July in 2022 (ex-distributions) to close at $26.78/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.02:1).

ILF ETF - iShares Latin America 40 ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
ILF ETF – iShares Latin America 40 ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is overbought at 72.53 & their MACD is bullish, after last week’s rally continued the jump of the previous Friday’s gap up session.

Last week’s volumes were below average compared to the week prior, which when combined with the candlesticks of the week signal that investors are beginning to feel nervous in the near-term & a consolidation is imminent.

ILF offers an 8.56% distribution yield, which will provide some protection against declines, but shareholders should be looking for an insurance play to protect themselves in the near-term, while watching their behavior at support levels.

ILF has support at the $25.59 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.41:1), $25.50 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.41:1), $25.32 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.41:1) & $24.87/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.15:1) price levels, with resistance at the $27.26 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.27:1), $27.28 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.27:1), $27.39 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.27:1) & $27.51/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.27:1) price levels.

ILF ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
ILF ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
ILF Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels
ILF Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels

HOMZ, the Hoya Capital Housing ETF has posted +17.42% gains over the past year, climbing +27.1% from their 52-week low in October of 2022 (ex-distributions) to close at $36.82/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.15:1).

HOMZ ETF - Hoya Capital Housing ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
HOMZ ETF – Hoya Capital Housing ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is returning towards neutral, but still close to overbought at 64.46 & their MACD looks primed to roll over bearish in the near-term.

Wednesday’s gap up session was followed by two days whose price action was entirely contained within the range of Wednesday’s candle, showing that investors are somewhat unsure as to which way to go.

While they offer a 2.05% distribution yield as a cushion, caution should be exercised in regards to opening a new position until seeing how their support levels hold up in the near-term, and trading an insurance style options strategy in the meantime will provide portfolio protection until a stronger uptrend emerges.

HOMZ has support at the $35.78 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.4:1), $34.93 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.64:1), $34.63 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.64:1) & $33.67/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.33:1) price levels, with resistance at the $37.18 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.62:1), $37.39 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.62:1), $39.65 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.64:1) & $43.99/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2:1).

HOMZ ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
HOMZ ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
HOMZ Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels
HOMZ Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels

Utilities (UTSL), Malaysia (EWM), Energy (PXI) & Zero Coupon 25+ U.S. Treasury (ZROZ) Have All Been Bearishly Lagging The Market

UTSL, the Direxion Daily Utilities Bull 3x Shares ETF has fallen -19.09% over the past year, losing -46.6% from their 52-week high in August of 2022, but reclaiming +19.03% from their 52-week low in October of 2022 (ex-distributions), to close at $26.08/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.13:1).

UTSL ETF - Direxion Daily Utilities Bull 3x Shares ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
UTSL ETF – Direxion Daily Utilities Bull 3x Shares ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is on the oversold end of neutral at 47.34, with last week’s volume being above average compared to the year prior.

However, their MACD is signaling further near-term weakness, with a bearish crossover on the horizon.

While their 2.34% distribution yield offers some form of protection against losses, unless trading an insurance strategy with options, it will be best to watch how their support levels hold up in the coming weeks before entering or adding to a position.

UTSL has support at the $25.04 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.22:1), $23.84 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.5:1), $23.69 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.5:1) & $23.47/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.5:1) price levels, with resistance at the $26.17 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.13:1), $26.71 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.13:1) , $26.73 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.13:1) & $27.01/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.13:1) price levels.

UTSL ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
UTSL ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
UTSL Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels
UTSL Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels

EWM, the iShares MSCI Malaysia ETF has lost -5.84% over the past year, losing -16.42% from their 52-week high in January of 2023, but has recovered +2.86% since their 52-week low in October of 2022 (ex-distributions), to close at $20.16/share (Volume Sentiment: Even, 1:1).

EWM ETF - iShares MSCI Malaysia ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
EWM ETF – iShares MSCI Malaysia ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is approaching oversold levels at 31.19, with last week’s volumes falling relatively in line with the year prior’s average.

Their MACD is about to cross over bullishly, which may help them break free of the range that their candlesticks were trading in on Tuesday, Wednesday & Friday.

Friday’s hanging man candle is a cause for concern among investors thought, and their distribution yield only provides 2.9% of protection against losses for longterm holders.

EWM has support at the $20.01 (Volume Sentiment: Even, 1:1), $19.65 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.06:1), $19.64 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.06:1) & $19.07/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.05:1) & resistance at the $20.20 (Volume Sentiment: Even, 1:1), $20.27 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Even, 1:1) , $20.52 (Volume Sentiment: Even, 1:1) & $20.56/share (Volume Sentiment: Even, 1:1) price levels.

EWM ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
EWM ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
EWM Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels
EWM Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels

PXI, the Invesco DWA Energy Momentum Fund ETF has fallen -14.57% over the past year, declining -23.17% from their 52-week high in November of 2022, but has reclaimed +15.04% since their 52-week low in July of 2022 (ex-distributions), to close at $38.71/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.33:1).

PXI ETF - Invesco DWA Energy Momentum Fund ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
PXI ETF – Invesco DWA Energy Momentum Fund ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is on the overbought end of neutral at 56.55, while their MACD is still bullish.

Volumes were below average last week, signaling uncertainty by investors, and it will be interesting to see if their 50 day moving average can provide enough support to keep them from filling the gap from Wednesday’s session.

They offer a 3.85% distribution yield for long-term holders, which can provide some protection against losses, but an insurance strategy would be beneficial to have in the near-term.

PXI has support at the $38.36 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.33:1), $38.26 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.33:1), $37.52 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.1:1) & $36.67 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.73:1), with resistance at the $38.93 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.33:1), $39.57 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.30:1), $40.08 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.67:1) & $40.94/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.67:1) price levels.

PXI ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
PXI ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
PXI Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels
PXI Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels

ZROZ, the PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon U.S. Treasury ETF has lost -10.37% over the past year, falling -21.87% from their 52-week high in August of 2022, but has gained +15.92% since their 52-week low in October of 2022 (ex-distributions), to close at $89.85/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.67:1).

ZROZ ETF - PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon U.S. Treasury ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
ZROZ ETF – PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon U.S. Treasury ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is on the oversold end of neutral at 48.77, with their MACD signaling a bearish crossover in the coming days.

Volumes were below average last week compared to the year prior, as their price consolidated, signaling uncertainty among investors.

Their 2.88% distribution yield will provide some relief against potential losses, but watching to see how their support levels hold up in the coming week will be important before deciding on where to enter a position.

ZROZ has support at the $89.75 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.67:1), $89.17 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.67:1), $86.90 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.71:1) & $86.79/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.71:1), with resistance at the $90.27 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.39:1), $91.11 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.08:1), $91.28 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.08:1) & $91.80/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.08:1) price levels.

ZROZ ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
ZROZ ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
ZROZ Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels
ZROZ Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels

Tying It All Together & The Week Ahead

Monday looks to be quiet on the data being reported front next week, with Oracle’s earnings report being the most anticipated data for the day.

Tuesday heats up with the NFIB Optimism Index at 6 am, followed by the Consumer Price Index, Core CPI, CPI Year-over-Year & Core CPI Year-over-Year being reported at 8:30 am, with no noteworthy earnings reports on tap.

Wednesday kicks off at 8:30 am with the Producer Price Index, Core PPI, PPI Year-over-Year & Core PPI Year-over-Year being reported at 8:30 am, with the biggest news of the week coming at 2 pm when the Fed Decision on Interest-Rate Policy is announced & Chairman Powell gives his press conference at 2:30 pm.

Lennar will also be reporting earnings on Wednesday.

Thursday will have a busy day on the data reporting front, with the morning kicking off at 8:30 am for Initial Jobless Claims, U.S. Retail Sales, Retail Sales minus Autos, Import Price Index, Import Price minus Fuel, the Empire State Manufacturing Survey & Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey data, followed by Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization at 9:15 am & Business Inventories data at 10 am.

Thursday’s earnings reports include Adobe & Kroger, along with some others.

The week winds down quietly on Friday, with Consumer Sentiment reported at 10 am & no noteworthy earnings calls on schedule.

See you back here next week!

*** I DO NOT OWN SHARES OR OPTIONS CONTRACT POSITIONS IN SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA, SOXL, BRZU, ILF, HOMZ, UTSL, EWM, PXI, or ZROZ AT THE TIME OF PUBLISHING THIS ARTICLE ***

Weekly Stock & ETF Market Review 6/4/2023

SPY, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF gained +1.88% over the past week, as the largest U.S. stocks & A.I. related names continued to show strength over the past week.

SPY ETF - SPDR S&P 500 ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
SPY ETF – SPDR S&P 500 ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is approaching overbought territory at 66.5, with healthy volume all week with the exception of Friday’s session, which was a +1.44% gap up.

Their MACD is still bullish, however, their $426.37/share support level will be a key mark to watch next week, as they try to not fill in Friday’s gap.

SPY has support a the $426.37 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.24:1), $418.50 (10 day moving average; Volume Sentiment: 1.33:1) , $416.72 (Volume Sentiment: 1.33:1) & $410.48/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.57:1) price levels, with resistance overhead at the $438.53 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.32:1), $442.12 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.35:1) , $449.09 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.89:1) & $454.37/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.25:1)

QQQ, the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF added +1.79% over the past week, but closed on a spinning top candle, which was an odd twist to the week, as suddenly the low-volume spinning top Friday showed there is some hesitancy & uncertainty after a week & a half of strong performance for NASDAQ names.

QQQ ETF - Invesco QQQ Trust ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
QQQ ETF – Invesco QQQ Trust ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI has gone into overbought territory following Monday’s session & is currently at 75.91, with strong volume all week with the exception of Thursday & Friday.

QQQ’s MACD is also bullish, but Friday’s session’s spinning top on a +0.75% day signals that there is uncertainty in the strength of their near-term performance.

QQQ has support at the $343.19 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.2:1), $332.51 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 3.2:1), $323.75 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2:1) & $313.19/share (Volume Sentiment: 1.55:1), with resistance at the $368.99 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 0.75:0*), $375.07 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1:0*), $378.49 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.33:1) & $401.00/share (Volume Sentiment: NULL, 0:0*) price levels.

IWM, the iShares Russell 2000 ETF fared the best this past week, climbing +3.3%, as small cap names also showed strength alongside the mega-cap names that dominated the week’s headlines.

IWM ETF - iShares Russell 2000 ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
IWM ETF – iShares Russell 2000 ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI has remained the most tame, but is still approaching overbought conditions at 62.25, with Friday’s volume being the strongest of the week on their +3.6% gap up session.

Their MACD is bullish, but their 200 & 10 day moving averages will be the main places to watch next week, as they fall within the range of Friday’s gap & will be the primary support for keeping it from filling.

IWM has support at the $179.78 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.84:1), $178.93 (200 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.84:1), $176.45 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.06:1) & $175.83/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.45:1) price levels, with resistance at the $184.07 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.75:1), $185.95 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.75:1), $187.32 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.91:1 ) & $187.89/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.91:1) price levels.

Let’s dive into some of the best & worst performing sectors, industries & geo-locations in the market now, based on our technical analysis ratings of their respective ETFs!

South Korea (KORU), Greece (GREK), Russell 1000 (IWB) & Industrials Momentum Stocks (PRN) Are All Bullishly Leading The Market

KORU, the Direxion Daily South Korea Bull 3x Shares ETF has fallen -38.05% over the past year, but rebounded a remarkable +109.65% from their 52-week low in October of 2022 (ex-distributions), to close at $10.13/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.32:1).

KORU ETF - Direxion Daily South Korea Bull 3x Shares ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
KORU ETF – Direxion Daily South Korea Bull 3x Shares ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is approaching overbought territory at 66.25, with below average volume over the past week, signaling uncertainty among investors.

Their MACD is still pointing bullishly, but Friday’s candlestick confirms the uncertainty implied by the week’s volume, with the open & the close taking place in a very narrow range.

Investors thinking about entering a position in KORU would be best suited to watch their behavior around support levels in the near-term, to find a target entry level for when the market has returned into an uptrend.

Their 0.78% distribution yield will not provide much cushion against losses, highlighting the importance of having an defensive insurance policy at play, such as buying puts or selling calls.

KORU has support at the $10.08 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.32:1), $10.02 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.32:1), $9.96 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.74:1) & $9.66/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.74:1) price levels, with resistance at the $11.01 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2:1), $11.42 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2:1), $11.72 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2:1) & $15.34/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 4:1) price levels.

KORU ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
KORU ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
KORU Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels
KORU Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels

GREK, the Global X MSCI Greece ETF has improved +31.03% over the past year, but climbed +65.96% from their 52-week low in September of 2022 (ex-distributions) to close at $34.31/share (Volume Sentiment: Even, 1:1).

GREK ETF - Global X MSCI Greece ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
GREK ETF – Global X MSCI Greece ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI has retreated slightly from the verge of overbought conditions during the past week, after their gap up on 5/22/2023, with last week’s volume being above average on selling sessions, but underwhelming on the positive days.

Their MACD has begun to curl over bearishly & a bearish crossover looks impending in the coming week, which is confirmed by the uncertainty seen in their candlesticks since the 5/22 gap up, where there are a couple of spinning tops & hanging men (and close but not quite hanging men), with most of the candles’ being contained in the range of Friday’s closing price.

While GREK offers a 2.19% distribution yield for long-term holders, this will have limited impact in terms of cushioning investors against losses, making it imperative to have an options strategy in place for loss protection in the near-term.

Investors should have their eyes peeled to see how they behave around support levels in the near-term, especially the 10 day moving average, as that is the last line of defense before they begin to refill the end of May gap mentioned prior.

GREK has support at the $34.03 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Even, 1:1), $33.12 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2:1), $32.50 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.86:1) & $31.96/share (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.2:1) price levels, with resistance at the $33.84 (Volume Sentiment: Even, 1:1), $35.24 (Volume Sentiment: No Data, 2012 Level), $36.30 (Volume Sentiment: No Data, 2012 Level) & $36.57/share (Volume Sentiment: No Data, 2012 Level) price levels.

GREK ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
GREK ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
GREK Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels
GREK Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels

IWB, the iShares Russell 1000 ETF has gained +2.09% over the past year, while climbing +20.46% from their 52-week low in October of 2022 (ex-distributions) to close at $234.94/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2:1).

IWB ETF - iShares Russell 1000 ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
IWB ETF – iShares Russell 1000 ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is approaching overbought conditions at 66.53, with the past week’s volume levels being below average compared to the year prior (including on Friday’s +1.57% gap up session).

Their MACD is still bullish, but it will be interesting to see if they try to fill in the gap created at the end of last week.

With a 1.42% distribution yield for long-term holders, there is limited cushion against losses, calling for an options strategy to protect existing shareholders against near-term losses.

For those considering entering a position, it would be advised to watch how they behave in the coming weeks, especially around support levels that fall below Friday’s gap window.

IWB has support at the $230.60 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.45:1), $229.54 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.45:1), $226.64 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.23:1) & $224.80/share (Volume Sentiment (Buyers, 1.23:1), with resistance at the $235.72 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 2.24:1), $240.33 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.32:1), $245.02 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.35:1) & $249.40/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.07:1) price levels.

IWB ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
IWB ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
IWB Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels
IWB Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels

PRN, the Invesco DWA Industrials Momentum ETF has risen +2.52% over the past year, but has gained +19.65% since their 52-week low in June of 2022 (ex-distributions) to close at $97.28/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 3.36:1).

PRN ETF - Invesco DWA Industrials Momentum ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
PRN ETF – Invesco DWA Industrials Momentum ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is on the overbought end of neutral at 59.74, with slightly above average volume this past week.

Their MACD looks primed to cross over bullishly after Friday’s +3.28% session, which has one of the largest candle real body sizes of the year on their chart.

With only a 0.91% distribution yield for long-term holders, those who are not in the name yet may want to see how their 10 & 50 day moving averages hold up as support, as both fall within Friday’s candle’s real body, before watching how their other support levels behave to time an entry.

Existing holders would be wise to purchase some insurance in the form of options to protect their holdings from losses, while generating some additional money for when the market begins trending upwards again.

PRN has support at the $95.18 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.25:1), $95 (Volume Sentiment, 1.25:1), $94.81 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.6:1) & $93.84/share (Volume Sentiment: 1.73:1) price levels, with resistance at the $98.24 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.22:1), $98.46 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.22:1), $101.36 (Volume Sentiment, Buyers, 9.33:1) & $104.62/share (Volume Sentiment, Sellers, 0.25:0*) price levels.

PRN ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
PRN ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
PRN Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels
PRN Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels

North American Natural Resources (NANR), Pharmaceuticals (XPH), Metals & Mining (XME) & Global Energy (IXC) Are All Bearishly Lagging The Market

NANR, the SPDR S&P North American Natural Resources ETF has declined -15.08% over the past year, falling -19.21% from their 52-week high in June of 2022, while regaining +11.8% from their 52-week low of July 2022 (ex-distributions) to close at $50.41/share (Volume Sentiment:Buyers, 2:1).

NANR ETF - SPDR S&P North American Natural Resources ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
NANR ETF – SPDR S&P North American Natural Resources ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is approaching the neutral level of 50 (currently at 45.67), after being in oversold conditions following their most recent selloff.

Friday’s gap up created a bullish MACD crossover, but recent trading volumes have been below average, putting Friday’s 2.4% gap up session in question in terms of a signal of strength.

While they offer a 3.29% distribution yield to long-term holders, an insurance position using options would be best advised in the near-term, while waiting to see how their price holds up at support levels.

The 10 day moving average in particular will be of interest, as it is at the beginning of the window created by Friday’s gap & will act as the gatekeeper that determines whether or not they will continue to decline through filling it or not.

NANR has support at the $49.84 (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.5:1), $49.16 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.5:1), $48.26 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 14:1) & $47.85/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 2.2:1), with resistance at the $50.91 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 3:1), $51.05 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.75:1), $51.39 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.75:1) & $51.61/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.75:1) price levels.

NANR ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
NANR ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
NANR Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels
NANR Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels

XPH, the SPDR S&P Pharmaceuticals ETF has lost -4.1% over the past year, losing -11.73% from their 52-week high in August of 2022, while recovering +3.67% from their 52-week low in June of 2022 (ex-distributions) to close at $40.44/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.19:1).

XPH ETF - SPDR S&P Pharmaceuticals ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
XPH ETF – SPDR S&P Pharmaceuticals ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is returning to the neutral level as well (currently at 46.47), after crossing into oversold territory a handful of sessions prior.

Their MACD is sharply bullish, after 3 straight advancing days, including Friday’s +2.17% gap up, with recent trading volumes being slightly above average compared to the year prior.

Thursday’s spinning top candle before Friday’s gap up also adds another layer of uncertainty into how strong the last 3 sessions were vs. how much of it was just broader market influence on an ETF that had recently been oversold on their RSI.

With a 1.5% distribution yield there is a small amount of cushion against losses for long-term holders, making an insurance policy important for the near-term.

With limited support levels between Friday’s window, it would not be prudent to enter a new position now, but watching how they behave at support levels on their descent will help investors figure out where they might want to enter once an upward trend begins.

XPH has support at the $40.05 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers 1.19:1), $39.88 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.03:1), $39.43 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.03:1) & $39.07/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.03:1), with resistance at the $40.69 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.19:1), $40.86 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.19:1), $40.98 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.19:1) & $41.25/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.05:1) price levels.

XPH ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
XPH ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
XPH Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels
XPH Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels

XME, the SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF has shed -5.25% over the past year, declining -20.7% from their 52-week high of March 2023, while reclaiming +17.95% from their 52-week low of July of 2022 (ex-distributions) to close at $47.52/share (Volume Sentiment: Even, 1:1).

XME ETF - SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
XME ETF – SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is neutral at 50.28, but this past week’s volume was below average compared to the year prior, bringing questions about how sure investors were behind the +4.26% gap up during Friday’s session.

While their MACD has recently crossed bullish, there does not look to be enough enthusiasm among investors to take a position, until after seeing how they handle Friday’s gap & whether or not it begins to fill in the near-term.

While watching their support levels, there is a profit opportunity for traders looking to employ an options strategy to fundraise for buying more shares after the market begins an uptrend again.

XME has support at the $47.25 (Volume Sentiment: Even, 1:1), $47.12 (Volume Sentiment: Even, 1:1), $47.04 (Volume Sentiment: Even, 1:1) & $46.09/share (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.23:1), with resistance at the $48.16 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.43:1), $48.31 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.43:1), $48.40 (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.43:1) & $48.56/share (Volume Sentiment: Sellers, 1.43:1) price levels.

XME ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
XME ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
XME Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels
XME Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels

IXC, the iShares Global Energy ETF has lost -7.72% over the past year, losing -15.98% from their 52-week high in June of 2022, but notching +18.28% from their 52-week low in July of 2022 (ex-distributions) to close at $37.09/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.11:1).

IXC ETF - iShares Global Energy ETF's Technical Performance Over The Past Year
IXC ETF – iShares Global Energy ETF’s Technical Performance Over The Past Year

Their RSI is approaching the neutral 50 mark (currently at 49.51), with investors showing hesitance at these price levels, as volumes have been below average over the past week.

Their MACD looks set to crossover bullishly, but the 10 day moving average will be the main place to be watching, as that will act as the gatekeeper for the window created by Friday’s gap up.

Like the other names we’ve mentioned, this is another “wait & see” case for those who are not in positions actively & those that do not wish to sell their positions would be best suited with a protective options strategy in the meantime, while waiting for IXC to resume an uptrend.

IXC has support at the $37.06 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.11:1), $36.89 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.43:1), $36.88 (Volume Sentiment: 1.43:1) & $36.74/share (10 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: 1.43:1), with resistance at the $37.18 (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.11:1), $37.81 (200 Day Moving Average & Additional Support Touchpoint on Chart; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.11:1), $37.85 (50 Day Moving Average; Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.11:1) & $37.95/share (Volume Sentiment: Buyers, 1.11:1) price levels.

IXC ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
IXC ETF Point & Figure Chart With Volume Overlay
IXC Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels
IXC Volume Sentiment At Current Price & Next Support & Resistance Levels

Tying It All Together & The Week Ahead

Next week is relatively quiet on the data front.

Monday kicks off with S&P U.S. Services PMI data at 9:45 am, followed by Factory Orders & ISM Services reports at 10 am.

GitLab & Science Applications will report earnings on Monday.

Tuesday currently has no scheduled data announcements.

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store is set to report earnings on Tuesday, along with Casey’s General, Dave & Buster’s, J.M. Smucker, Stitch Fix, Thor Industries & others.

U.S. Trade Deficit data is reported on Wednesday at 8:30 am, with Consumer Credit at 3pm.

Campbell Soup, Lovesac, Ollie’s Bargain Outlet, United Natural Foods & Verint Systems are some of the more notable earnings reports due out on Wednesday.

Thursday morning we get Initial Jobless Claims data at 8:30 am, with Wholesale Inventories data reported at 10 am.

Thursday’s earnings reports include DocuSign, Signet Jewelers, Designer Brands, FuelCell Energy, Toro & Vail Resorts.

Friday currently has no data scheduled for reporting & the most anticipated earnings report for the day will be from Nio.

See you back here next week!

*** I DO NOT OWN SHARES OR OPTIONS CONTRACT POSITIONS IN SPY, QQQ, IWM, KORU, GREK, IWB, PRN, NANR, XPH, XME, or IXC AT THE TIME OF PUBLISHING THIS ARTICLE ***